Tag Archives: Reno

The Reno Gazette-Journal Endorse Romney (endorsed Obama four years ago)

The Reno Gazette-Journal endorsed John Kerry in 2004 and Barack Obama in 2008:

Nevada needs a change now; elect Mitt Romney president

RECOMMENDATION: Republican Mitt Romney
OUR VIEW: Nevada, the state hit hardest by the Great Recession, cannot afford four more years of the same, and President Obama hasn’t offered any tangible proposals to change course.

The Gazette-Journal recommends a vote for former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney for president of the United States.

It wasn’t an easy decision. A recommendation against an incumbent can’t be taken lightly.

President Barack Obama inherited a ghastly mess when he took office in January 2009. He demonstrated a clear understanding in his inaugural address, when he stated, “That we are in the midst of crisis is now well understood. Our nation is at war, against a far-reaching network of violence and hatred. Our economy is badly weakened …”

Nevada was the state hit hardest by the great recession, and four years later, the state continues to lag well behind the others as the U.S. economy shows signs of slow improvement. Its unemployment rate remains worst in the nation; the foreclosure rate, while no longer No. 1, is still among the worst; and the tourism industry continues to struggle. And because of that, public services have been decimated and our schools, in particular, are failing to meet the needs of a state determined to diversify its economy.

However, while he had to contend with a Republican Party that was determined to deny him a second term at any cost, Obama cannot avoid the consequences of poor decisions and misplaced priorities.

Foremost among them was his early focus on an overreaching health-care reform plan that wasted 12 very valuable months of his and Congress’ time and cost him precious political capital. The manner in which the legislation was drafted violated Obama’s pledge to govern openly, and its passage — leveraged through a supermajority — served to further galvanize the partisan divide in Congress. Fear of the impact of that reform and the costs associated with it continue to play a major role in preventing businesses from hiring new employees at a time when nearly everyone agrees that jobs must be the president’s foremost goal.

A vote to re-elect Obama promises four more years of the same. In the two debates between the two candidates so far (a third, on foreign affairs, is scheduled for Monday), the president has shown little understanding of how his failures are affecting the nation, and he hasn’t offered any tangible proposals to change course.

That said, Romney is not without failings. The Republican candidate has shown a troubling willingness to shift his position on key issues, and the Romney who sat down with the Gazette-Journal’s Editorial Board in January did not appear to be the same one seen on the primary campaign trail, and that Romney seemed to be different than the one we saw at the two presidential debates held thus far.

But the United States, and Nevada, cannot afford four more years of the same. The change Obama promised four years ago is needed right now.

As president, Romney’s most important task will be to convince a recalcitrant Congress — including unhappy Democrats who will want to emulate the Republican blockade of the past few years — that there are good reasons to work with him. We’re hopeful that his willingness to shift positions is the hallmark of a consensus builder who can work across party lines to govern the country effectively and not political expedience.

In 2008, the RGJ warned that a vote for the little-known Obama was a gamble, albeit one that Americans should embrace. The country was in need of a course correction.

Based on our current fiscal condition, a still-weak economy and a Congress deeply divided along party lines, our next president will continue to face a daunting challenge, one that must be met for the good of the country. Four years later, we find ourselves in need of change yet again.

Romney must be the leader to get things moving.

Romney Campaign Announces $12 million Ad Buy Across 9 States

Not much going on out there in news-land (btw, anyone seen my trolls?  They disappeared again ….) so I thought I’d blog some ad spending.  With ~190 million cash-on-hand following the $170 million September fundraising cycle, the Romney campaign is unleashing one of its largest ad buys of the election. The math seems to be quite clear on Michigan and Pennsylvania: Mitt Romney may well win those states, but to do so he will have already cleared 270 electoral votes in one of the enumerated states below.  Therefore why spend money on states that don’t necessarily win the election for you but only increase your margin:

The Romney campaign, flush with cash from its impressive haul of $170 million last month, is reserving large quantities of airtime for the coming week. In one of his biggest ad buys of his campaign so far, Mitt Romney, the Republican nominee, has booked about $12 million worth of television advertising for a six-day rotation of commercials that will begin on Wednesday.

The ad buy — timed to start the day after the second presidential debate — will cover both cable and broadcast television in nine states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin. The biggest amounts will be spent in Ohio (about $2 million), Virginia ($1.5 million) and Florida (more than $3 million).

The advertising onslaught coming from the Romney campaign only adds more political noise to the thoroughly saturated airwaves in battleground states. From now until Election Day, candidates and “super PACs” have set aside more than $83 million for advertising, all of it concentrated in 10 states. (Michigan is the one state where neither campaign is advertising, despite the efforts of a pro-Romney super PAC there.)

And the barrage of ads is only going to get heavier. The Romney campaign typically books its advertising time only a few days in advance because it is wary of tipping its hand to Democrats. But with so much money at its disposal — and a group of top advisers who have long said the election will be decided in the final days of the race — the campaign is certain to buy heavily over the next three weeks.

Commercial time in many states like Nevada, which is the epicenter of the 2012 political advertising binge, has been completely bought out on some programs. Las Vegas is the most saturated media market in the country, data from Kantar Media show. Cleveland is No. 2, followed by Denver, Reno and Columbus, Ohio, rounding out the top five.

New Romney Web Ad: “These Hands: Nevada”

More of Obama’s words “in context”

The Nevada Battleground and Democrat Overconfidence

Reading so many articles every day, I am fascinated how often Democrats or mainstream media talk about Nevada as if it is a lock for Obama barring some huge upset.  No credible polling supports that thesis (PPP polls always over-represent Democrats) and plenty of polls reveal Romney is even leading.  But no matter the evidence, media still write headlines like “Nevada isn’t a sure bet for Obama?”  “Sure bet?” Is there a credible person out there arguing it IS a sure bet?  Regardless, the LA Times wrote that headline in an in-depth look at the Silver State:

For decades, casinos were the golden key to prosperity, luring in tourists, cranking out jobs around the clock and flooding the state treasury with a perpetual stream of cash. Those days are over…The local economy is in shambles, done in by the double whammy of the national recession and the rise of Indian casinos in California. Unemployment is rampant. That presents a serious challenge to President Obama as he tries to repeat his 2008 victory in Nevada, a key swing state then and now.

Battleground County

Washoe County, which includes Reno and neighboring Sparks, is the swing region of Nevada, and as such will play an outsized role in the presidential campaign between Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. To the south, Las Vegas and surrounding Clark County is a Democratic and labor union stronghold. The rural counties that make up most of the rest of the state are overwhelmingly Republican. That leaves Washoe, where Republicans have a slight registration edge and once had a near lock on elections. That is no longer the case, as Obama proved in 2008 by winning the county with 55% of the vote, matching his percentage statewide. Washoe County “kind of holds the balance of power now,” said Dave Damore, a professor of political science at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas. “Basically, if a Republican loses Washoe County, they lose the state.” That isn’t as true of a Democrat, as Bill Clinton demonstrated when he lost Washoe twice while winning the state by thumping opponents in the southern part. But a Republican blowout in Washoe would spell doom for any Democrat in a statewide race.

There have been no independent polls to show how the region is trending, but it seems fair to say that the economy has created a tough environment for any incumbent. By multiple measures, Nevada has been the hardest-hit state in the nation, with an unemployment rate that peaked at 13.7% in 2010 and remained the nation’s highest at 11.6% in May. Nevada’s home foreclosure rate fell to No. 2 in the nation (behind Arizona) in March after 62 months in the top spot.

Permanent change in Reno

The Las Vegas area suffered the most, but Reno was not far behind. And economists and local officials say much of the damage to Reno-area tourism is probably permanent. Unlike Las Vegas, with its international reputation, Reno has always been more of a regional attraction, drawing tourists from Northern California and the Pacific Northwest. With the advent of large, full-service Indian casinos in Northern California, many of those tourists have no reason to visit anymore. Bill Eadington, an economics professor and director of the Institute for the Study of Gambling and Commercial Gaming at the University of Nevada, Reno, said his studies showed that gambling revenues from tourists in Reno declined by two-thirds between 1990 and 2010.

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Romney “Super Saturday” in Nevada Details

I can’t find anything on the wires so here is the official release from the campaign for the Nevada Super Saturday.  Remember Team Nevada is the real state GOP party following the Ron Paul supporters coup of state party officer positions.

On Saturday July 7th volunteers from Nevada will join with others around the nation to phone bank and go door-to-door for Mitt and the rest of the Team Nevada Republican candidates! Team Nevada is also excited to welcome former U.S. Commerce Secretary Carlos Gutierrez to Las Vegas this Saturday where he will thank Super Saturday volunteers for their hard work!

Team Nevada Office Locations

  • Las Vegas (Summerlin) Office; 9640 West Tropicana Avenue, Suite 106, Las Vegas, NV 89147
  • Henderson Office; 8915 S. Pecos Road, Henderson, NV 89074
  • Reno Office; 3702 S. Virginia Street, Suite G1, Reno, NV 8950

Obama Lost the Mood, the Muscle, and the Message this Month…and it’s Only June 10

To control the weekend news cycle the President called a Friday White House press conference so his pearls of wisdom would be the dominant story over the weekend.  It was … for all the wrong reasons and Obama has yet to recover from his own unforced errors.

As ABC News’ Rick Klein smartly writes:

First went the mood. Next, the muscle failed. Finally, to close out a horrific week for President Obama’s reelection bid, went the message…The beginning of June 2012 may be remembered as a time period that shook the pillars of the Obama reelection effort. If nothing else, it’s shown the 2012 landscape to be so different from 2008 as to make assumptions based on four years ago seem worthless.

In an attempt to avoid a similar disaster, the President is playing small ball on Monday by doing interviews from the White House with 8 local TV stations in key Battleground markets.

There are few surprises regarding states the President chose: Virginia, Florida, South Carolina (media reach is North Carolina), Iowa, Wisconsin, Colorado, Nevada and California (key fundraising market).

And the 8 TV stations are all in blue media markets central to any Democrat’s chances in statewide elections:

Battleground Media Markets

Roanoke, VA Green Bay, WI
Jacksonville, FL Colorado Springs, CO
Greenville, SC Reno, NV
Sioux City, IA Fresno, CA

What stands out in that list is the Green Bay, Wisconsin TV appearance in a post-Walker world.  There could be more than a few sore union members unhappy the President didn’t stand with them in their time of need as he promised. He better hope they don’t tweet their vote in November the way he tweeted his support or he will have to start thinking about what to do in a post-Obama Presidency.

Romney Expands Swing State Ads: Colorado, New Hampshire and Nevada

Campaign ad spending has had a decided concentration among four states thus far: Virginia, Ohio, Iowa, and North Carolina. The Romney campaign has announced expansion into Colorado, New Hampshire and Nevada with $411,00 of media buys:

The Romney campaign on Friday added Colorado, New Hampshire and Nevada to the states where it is running television commercials, according to a media buyer who monitors political spending. Its purchases were small and for just four days, with the new round of advertisements starting on Saturday — $216,000 in Colorado (Denver, Colorado Springs and Grand Junction); $82,000 in New Hampshire (Manchester only); $113,000 in Nevada (Las Vegas and Reno).

Importantly, many of these markets (Denver, Las Vegas and Reno) are Democrat strongholds where Romney must improve on John McCain’s dismal 2008 performance if he expects to carry these states. The comparatively small media buys are consistent with a campaign’s entry into new markets testing the impact of new ads before making a full commitment.

The Obama campaign, on the other hand, plans to spend an almost identical $415,000 in those three states and $2 million across a total of 7 states:

The Obama campaign pumped an additional $2 million into swing-state TV ads yesterday, for the period spanning June 9 and June 22, a media-tracking source tells me. The campaign put down $405,000 in North Carolina, $327,000 in Florida, $172,000 in Nevada, $174,000 in Colorado, $161,000 in Virginia, $118,000 in Pennsylvania and $80,000 in New Hampshire. The exact dates of the TV flights vary from state to state, but in each case it covers 30-second broadcast and cable advertising.

For both campaigns, the most heavily targeted state is Ohio, where Obama has spent $8.5 million on TV to Romney’s $2.7 million. The greatest disparity between the two campaigns in Florida, where Obama has spent $7.3 million and Romney has not yet purchased general-election airtime.