Tag Archives: Cincinnati

Winning the Battleground News Cycle — Cincinnati, Ohio

Following yesterday’s raucous rally in Roselawn, Ohio with one of the rowdiest crowd of the cycle we see a glowing front page in the Cincinnati Enquirer. This is the paper for all-important Hamilton County which Obama flipped blue in the last election:

Ryan Rally in Cincinnati, Ohio Monday (Oct 15) 12:00pm

The next big Presidential debate in Tuesday and ahead of that Paul Ryan is whipping up the crowd in all-important Hamilton County, Ohio:

Victory Rally with Paul Ryan And The Republican Team!

When: Monday, October 15, 2012

Doors Open 10:00 AM | Event Begins 12:00 PM

Where: Landmark Aviation South, Cincinnati Lunken Field, 358 Wilmer Avenue, Cincinnati, Ohio 45226

To register for the event: click here.

All attendees will go through airport-like security and should bring as few personal items as possible. No bags, sharp objects, umbrellas, liquids, or signs will be allowed in the venue. Cameras are permitted.

For questions, contact us at: OHEvents@mittromney.com | (614) 547-2290
For Important Campaign Updates: Text OH to GOMITT (466488)

Romney-Ryan Ohio Barnstorming Schedule

America’s Comeback team is heads to Ohio starting Monday.  They are going to break up some of the events doing joint and solo visits and then Paul Ryan will pass the baton off to Rob Portman.  I’ll put together the schedule as best I can but the itinerary is fluid, so I’m sure updates will be warranted:

Mitt Romney will trek through the Dayton area next week. Romney’s campaign says the Republican presidential hopeful and running mate Paul Ryan will make a stop in Dayton on Tuesday as part of a three-day bus your across the Buckeye State. Details of the time and place have yet to be announced. The tour will start Monday in Lima then come to Cincinnati and Dayton on Tuesday. It concludes Wednesday with stops in Columbus, Cleveland and Toledo.

The campaign is billing it as the “Romney Plan for a Stronger Middle Class” bus tour. With the presidential election fewer than 50 days away, the most prevalent concern in the Dayton region is the economy, according to a Dayton Business Journal online poll. More than half of 213 poll respondents said their “greatest concern heading into the presidential election” is the economy, followed by 23 percent who said it’s the national debt.

“Romney Plan for a Stronger Middle Class” Bus Tour

MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY
Join Mitt for a Victory Rally in Ottawa County
When: September 24, 2012 – 11:30am

Where: 109 East Perry Street, Port Clinton, OH 43452

To RSVP and get your ticket, please visit http://mi.tt/R3Cn5l

Join Paul for a Victory Town Hall in Cincinnati
When: September 25, 2012 – 9:00am

Where:Byer Steel Group, 200 West North Bend Road Cincinnati, Ohio 45216

Doors Open 9:00 AM | Event Begins 11:00 AM

To RSVP and get your ticket, please visit http://mi.tt/QIPRS1

Join Mitt for a Victory Rally in Westerville
When: September 26, 2012 – 6:00am

Where: Alum Creek Park Amphitheatre, 221 West Main Street, Westerville, OH 43081

Doors Open 6:00 AM | Event Begins 8:00 AM

To RSVP and get your ticket, please visit http://mi.tt/OMXjK5

Join Paul for a Victory Town Hall in Lima
When: September 24, 2012 – 12:30pm

Where: Veterans Memorial Civic Center, 7 Town Square, Lima, Ohio 45801

Doors Open 12:30 PM | Event Begins 2:30 PM

To RSVP and get your ticket, please visit http://mi.tt/R3Cn5l

Join Mitt for a Victory Rally in Dayton
When: September 25, 2012 – 3:30pm

Where: James S. Trent Arena, 3301 Shroyer Road, Kettering, Ohio 45429

Doors Open 3:30 PM | Event Begins 5:30 PM

Featuring special guest Senator Rand Paul and the GOP Team!

To RSVP and get your ticket, please visit http://mi.tt/QIPA1z

Join Mitt for a Victory Rally in Toledo
When: September 26, 2012 – 3:00pm

Where:  SeaGate Convention Centre, 401 Jefferson Avenue, Toledo, Ohio 43604

Doors Open 3:00 PM | Event Begins 5:00 PM

To RSVP and get your ticket, please visit http://mi.tt/QIPczY

We’re Gonna Need a Bigger Boat

I posted pictures of the oversized crowd at the Romney Rally in Jacksonville yesterday but Ohio pictures were in short supply.  The airport hanger Romney spoke at in Cincinnati maxed out at 4000 people so the overflow thousands had to go next door.  Here is a video of the overflow crowd exploding in support when Romney stopped by ahead of his formal remarks and introduced Ann Romney and Rob Portman:

Thousands turned out Saturday morning for a a brief but enthusiastic rally for Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney at Union Terminal. Romney – along side a host of Ohio GOP leaders, including U.S. House Speaker John Boehner, Sen. Rob Portman, and Ohio Treasurer and U.S. Senate candidate Josh Mandel – was critical of President Barack Obama’s efforts to create jobs. He stressed his plan to get Americans back to work. “We have seen in the last four years a lot of disappointment and a lot of families having hard times,” Romney said. “The jobs we lost were middle-income jobs and the jobs we are getting back are low-income jobs.

“(Obama) was going to heal the planet,” he said. “But we are going to help the American people and help the families of America. “I will do everything in my power to bring us together, because united, America built the strongest economy in the history of the Earth,” Romney said. “United, we put Neil Armstrong on the moon.” Romney’s wife, Ann, took the microphone briefly, telling the cheering crowd, “Help is on the way.” The 4,000 in attendance packed the museum center lobby waving signs and chanting “Mitt, Mitt.” The event was originally scheduled for outside with the historic building as a backdrop, but was moved inside due to the threat of wet weather.

Romney: America Poised to Come “Roaring Back”

The Guardian in the United Kingdom reports on the re-invigorated Mitt Romney in Ohio this morning:

Mitt Romney and Barack Obama vied for voter attention in battleground states Saturday as both used the break in conventions to woo undecided ballots and attempt to seize campaign momentum. Seemingly invigorated by his party’s get-together in Tampa, Romney gave one of his more passionate appeals while on the stump in Ohio. Hitting out at the “divisiveness and bitterness” of his rival’s campaign, Romney pledged that he could turn around America’s economic fortunes so that it would come “roaring back” under his presidency.

As he spoke, the man currently occupying the post was preparing to make his pitch for four more years at a set-piece event in Iowa. It kicks off a four-day tour of swing states as Obama makes his way to Charlotte, North Carolina, for the Democratic National Convention next week.

Saturday’s events serve as a potential political barometer as to where the momentum lies in the race at present.

And despite a convention that was blown off course – initially by tropical storm Isaac and then by a somewhat bizarre star turn by actor/director Clint Eastwood – Romney appeared to campaign with a little more swagger on Saturday. His rhetoric was delivered with greater passion than is usual for a candidate that many have accused of being too wooden. At one point, he even appeared to tear up a little, as an enthusiastic crowd in Cincinnati broke into a chant of “Mitt, Mitt, Mitt”. He was aided by a decision to give the candidate’s wife Ann a greater prominence. Mrs Romney was one of the stars of the Republican convention in Tampa, managing to humanise her husband in a much-praised address to the party faithful.

Romney Out-Raises Obama in Ohio

Money doesn’t equal votes on a 1:1 basis, but localized fundraising advantages do speak to noteworthy enthusiasm advantages that typically go to the incumbent. That is not the case this go-around:

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney continues to out-raise President Barack Obama in Ohio, according to the most-recent campaign-finance disclosures. Romney has raised $3.2 million in Ohio so far, including $410,993 in June, according to the reports. Obama, meanwhile, has raised $2.5 million in Ohio, including $292,416 in June. Nationally, though, Obama has a significant advantage — he has raised $300 million for his re-election bid nationally, compared to Romney’s $153 million.

Geographic homes: Romney = Cincinnati, Obama = Cleveland

Romney has drawn his most support from donors in and around Cincinnati — raising well over $1 million there. By comparison, Romney raised $422,190 in the Columbus metropolitan area, $825,539 from Cleveland, and $133,117 in Dayton. Obama, meanwhile, has fared best in the Cleveland area, raising $817,592 there, compared with $530,620 in Columbus, $606,153 in Cincinnati and $154,231 in Dayton.

Spending in the Buckeye state

Both candidates combined have spent about $1.5 million in Ohio — and that’s not counting the millions of dollars worth of airtime they’ve purchased on TV, money typically paid to a media buyer who in turn buys time on Ohio stations. Money from their campaigns has gone toward payroll, telephone services, rent and, in the case of Romney, $637,027 for Marquis Jet Partners, a private-plane company based in Columbus. Obama’s Ohio money, meanwhile, has mostly gone toward salary of his staff — $262,028 as of the end of June. He also spent $10,251 on his May 5 re-election kickoff rally at the Jerome Schottenstein Center at the Ohio State University.

The Ohio Battleground Map

Larry Sabatos’ Crystal ball troop do some of the best work every election season.  Today Kyle Kondik writes up the Battlegroup map of Ohio, complete with battleground counties we love so much. Despite its decreasing electoral value (much like it’s neighbor to the East — Pennsylvania), Ohio remains all-important to the 2012 election:

Ohio, the great maker of presidents, remains vitally important in presidential elections because it is one of the biggest of the 10-15 truly competitive states in the Electoral College. But it does not pack the electoral punch it once did. On one hand, the Buckeye State does have the seventh-most electoral votes of any state (only California, Texas, New York, Florida, Illinois and Pennsylvania have more). Of those states, only it and Florida have voted for the winning presidential candidate in each of the past five elections. On the other hand is this sobering fact for lovers of the Birthplace of Aviation — the last time Ohio cast less than 18 electoral votes for president (its new total after losing two votes following the 2010 census), Andrew Jackson was carrying it on his way to his first presidential win in 1828. That was 184 years ago.

In President Barack Obama’s Ohio victory, more than his whole winning margin came from Northeast Ohio, which provided about two-fifths of all votes cast for either Obama or Republican John McCain (for the purposes of this analysis, third party votes were removed). As is shown on the chart below, Obama won 59% of the two-party vote in Northeast Ohio’s 20 counties. In the state’s other 68 counties, McCain received close to 52% of the two-party vote, to Obama’s 48%.

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You can watch Mitt Romney’s Ohio Speech Live Here

Click on the link to view Mitt Romney’s speech in Cincinnati.

‘Romney For President’ Opens Ohio Headquarters In Columbus

Just as you can expect Kelly Ayotte with Mitt Romney next week when he visits New Hampshire, a favorite among the possible Vice President candidates was with the campaign when they opened their Ohio headquarters:

Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney opened his Ohio campaign headquarters in Columbus today. Notably present, Ohio Senator Rob Portman, whom political analysts say is on the short list of candidates for vice president. The “veepstakes” as it is known in political talk is the next wild card as the presidential race takes form. Other candidates said to be in the running include New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, Florida’s junior Senator Marco Rubio and the former governor of Minnesota, Tim Pawlenty.

Analysts say Portman would help Romney win Ohio, a battle ground state. No Republican has ever won the U.S. presidency without carrying Ohio, which went to President Barack Obama in 2008. When asked by reporters what he thought of a vice presidential bid, Senator Portman said he was very happy with his current job. Portman is originally from Cincinnati. The attorney and businessman served in Congress for 12 years starting in 1993 and is known to have a strong appeal to conservatives.

We mentioned many times the extensive roll-out of all-important field offices in Ohio.  This state is “ground zero” along with Virginia in the 2012 campaign. If one candidate wins these two, they almost certainly win the election so it’s great to see high level focus on this enormously important state.

Labor Unions and the Battlegrounds

The political world was understandably focused on Wisconsin this past week and spinning the results often presents more confusion than clarity.  But a big lesson was the impact of unions on state election outcomes.  The Wall Street Journal presents some incredible research on unions’ potential election impact in three Battleground states–Ohio, Colorado, and Virginia–in a post-Wisconsin world:

The one sure loser in the Wisconsin recall was organized labor. There is reason for Mr. Obama and the Democrats to be concerned about the decline of union power, particularly if Wisconsin is indeed some kind of turning point. It would suggest unions may be of less help to the Democrats in states they need to win, particularly in the 2012 issue environment.

Using the latest electoral breakdown from political analyst Charlie Cook, union membership by state unmistakably correlates to the likelihood a state votes Democrat or Republican:

Electoral Probability % of Union Workers
“solid Democratic” 17.7%
“likely Democratic” 15.1%
“lean Democratic” 14.6%
“toss-ups” 9.1%
“likely Republican” 7.6%
“solid Republican” 6.2%

That walk down the ladder in support is even more pronounced when you look at membership in public unions [the union at the crux of the Wisconsin controversy]– an orderly progression through “solid Democratic” to “solid Republican” states.

If only it were that simple. The Battleground states of Ohio, Colorado and Virginia illustrate the complexities of union membership translating to electoral wins:

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