That had been the Democrats problem for decades. It changed in 2008 and repeated itself in 2012.
The limits to running such an insular campaign out of Boston, Massachusetts reared its head at the worst possible moment for Mitt Romney. The more numbers that come out the more it shows the GOTV effort was an epic failure that likely cost him the election. It sure seems like they etch-a-sketched enough conservatives out of the fold to prevent Romney from overcoming Obama’s greatly reduced vote from 2008.
Like I wrote on election night when I was still optimistic:
I’m watching the turnout % in Dem precincts. We know Republicans will show up, the question is how many Dems are still left out there and will they show up. Anecdotal things look really good right now but I know how the #s ebb and flow and then suddenly in a deep urban precinct 120% of votes come in and everything you were modeling goes out the window. The only states I’m watching are Ohio, Iowa and Wisconsin — the acknowledge Obama firewall.
The fatal flaw is obvious now. I’m incredulous.
This captures my attitude today every time I look at the data:
Reason many of us are shocked: We had the margins we wanted on election day. Then no one on our side showed up.—
John Ekdahl, Jr. (@JohnEkdahl) November 08, 2012