In a state that I though would be a knife fight into election day, Virginia remains very close with Rasmussen showing a 2-point lead for Romney 50 to 48. It’s likely that Romney has opened a significant enough lead to call this state earlier in the evening tomorrow than I would have thought a few months back but people still have to show up and you never know the results so don’t get cocky:
Mitt Romney still earns 50% support in Virginia just before Election Day. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters shows Romney with 50% of the vote to President Obama’s 48%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. This is unchanged from two weeks ago and the week before that when it was Romney 50%, Obama 47%. Virginia which is critical to Romney’s fortunes in the election remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections as it has been in surveys for months. Polls close in Virginia tomorrow at 7 pm Eastern. The results from the state will be an early indicator of how the election is going: If Romney loses Virginia, he is unlikely to win the election.
Ninety-three percent (93%) of the state’s voters say they have made up their minds how they will vote, and the race is 50%-50% among these voters. Romney has the support of 90% of Virginia Republicans and leads 58% to 37% among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties. The president has 93% backing from the state’s Democrats. Virginia voters trust Romney more when it comes to handling the economy by a 51% to 45% margin. The challenger leads the president by two points – 49% to 47% – in terms of voter trust when it comes to national security and energy policy. These numbers are essentially unchanged from two weeks ago.
While the economy remains the number one issue on voters’ minds as they go to the polls, neither candidate has convinced voters in the state that he is clearly the better alternative. Forty-six percent (46%) think the economy will get better if Romney is elected and Republicans take over Congress, but only slightly fewer (40%) say the same is true if Obama is reelected and Democrats take charge of Congress. Thirty-eight percent (38%) expect the economy to get worse if Romney wins, compared to 43% who predict a worsening economy if the president wins. This, too, has changed little. The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on November 4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points.