You can guarantee Connie Mack will vote whichever way Romney wants if he’s able to drag him across the finish line, however unlikely that may be:
And unlike the Dems, these are not Astroturf crowds full of union thus and bussed in supporters coming to see pop stars.
Does anyone really think that a person coming to see Katy Perry is going to go out of their way to vote? Superficial crowds don’t vote, and fans of pop stars are incredibly superficial.
Very true petep, they’re don’t have bused in Union members, or bused in groups that Community Organizers bribed with a $50 gift card.
Fantastic early morning crowd. That many people turning out early on a Monday is great.
Keith, thanks for providing such an incredibly valuable site under such difficult and challenging circumstances. One day out, is there one thing that makes you most optimistic about a good outcome tomorrow? Conversely, what is your biggest concern? Thanks again for all you do.
Would like to include the answers in a bigger write-up I intend to run later but with all the inconveniences it may not happen… grrrr
Thank you; we appreciate it. Hang in there!
There are a lot of good signs.
The enthusiasm gap favors Republicans.
The Indie support
the fact the battleground fight is pushing into blue states that were never expected to be competative
The University of Colorado model that correctly predicts every election since 1980 based on economic factors predicts a large romney win
the decreased early voter turnout among dems vs 2008
Experts like Michael Barone, George Will & Karl Rove all predict a Romney win. True they are all republicans, but they did predict Obama in 2008 and I don’t think they’d put their credibility on the line, unlike Dick Morris.
The Battleground projection showing Romney by 5
The party id surveys by Gallup and Ras showing a pretty even or slightly republican electorate.
“Here’s one last point we want to make about our national poll: The survey found that 9% of the likely voters are up for grabs (meaning they’re undecided or just leaning to a candidate), and these folks have more positive feelings toward Obama than Romney. Obama’s job approval with them is 48% approve, 41% disapprove. What’s more, Obama’s fav/unfav with them is 46%/29%, vs. Romney’s upside down 22%-49%. Bottom line: Our pollsters see more of an opportunity for Obama among these voters and more of an uphill climb for Romney. ”
stuckinmass I was looking for this information… “Experts like Michael Barone, George Will & Karl Rove all predict a Romney win. True they are all republicans, but they did predict Obama in 2008 and I don’t think they’d put their credibility on the line, unlike Dick Morris.”
So Michael Barone, George Will, and Karl Rove thought Obama was going to win in 2008? I was trying to find this online with no success. This would give me more comfort.
NBC poll in favouring Obama shocker
You’re really getting desperate
Hope- I know for sure that Rove and Barone predicted an Obama win. Not positive on Will, but I don’t see him as the type of guy who would hype up unrealistic expectations for a Republican win.
And the biggest reason is the economy. 7.9% unemployment. Worse is the workforce participation rate, it’s the lowest since 1977, and it’s declined all 4 Obama years. What this suggests is there are many many unemployed workers not counted in the 7.9% because they gave up looking, the most since the economic malaise of 1970s and that’s very bad news for Obama. Nobody wins with a 7.9% unemployment rate unless you are FDR. Reagan may have won with 7.5%, but there was much stronger job growth at the time. People could ‘feel’ the economy was recovering. People don’t feel that now.
Bathhouse Barry, it’s an NBC/Wall Street Journal poll. The WSJ is owned by Rupert Murdoch who is openly supporting Romney.
Michael Barone’s prediction
And last but not least. Virtually everyone is forgetting the 1.5 MILLION secret, stealth voters that no one seems to be talking about. The 1.5 Million evangelical voters who sat out the 2008 elections. Ralph Reed, who started the Faith and Freedom Coalition in 2009 will get the evangelicals to the polls in Iowa, Ohio, Pennsylvania, VA and NC where they are most concentrated. Obama’s pro abortion stance and Obamacare edicts thrust upon christian organizations will be bring them out in droves. A lot of the NON swing states will not be having exit polls because of cost cuts by media outlets so they won’t be showing up in the exit polls but hey will have made their mark.
Hang in there
I agree with David. Thanks much for providing a good site with reliable information, especially under challenging conditions. I feel good about tomorrow. FWIW, a Romney canvasser stopped by my house on Saturday. Making sure we’ll actually vote. After assuring her that was the case, we chatted for a while. Still work to do, but they feel good about Virginia at this point. But if you are in Virginia, VOTE!!!!, don’t assume anything tomorrow. If you are in OH, NC, FL, NH, MI, PA, WI, MN, NV, CO, IA, etc, VOTE !!!!
yes, thanks Keith. Great site.
I posted this last night on a different thread, but its worth repeating. My daughters is are interns at the local Romney Victory Office here in St. Petersburg, FL. For fun last Sunday we sent them into the local 0bama office to pose as a volunteer. We were getting reports that FL offices were calling OH voters, which would indicate they were giving up here. One of my daughters called all local numbers, the other was given a list with area codes we checked later, and found out they were in WI, IA, NH, MI, MN, among others. She filled out a form saying she was eager to volunteer again. Never got a follow-up call. Said the office was completely disorganized compared to ours, and there were only two volunteers there. And this was the only Sunday for early voting in FL! Should have been a big day for them. FWIW, but I think we can all agree FL is a safe state for Romney at this point.
Thanks for this. I love it! And yes, Florida is done. At least a 5-point win.
As if going in wasn’t bad enough, actually saying what you would have to say to a potential Obama voter must have been sheer torture.
Clear eyes full hearts we can’t lose!
Amen to that!
After two days of tie Rasmussen daily tracking has given Romney one point upward bounce at 49%. Also given clear win for Romney in Virginia. Things are looking better than last two days. The response in the rallies,the expectant faces,energy and the enthusiasm is the best poll reading for pollsters – no need of any sampling in the conventional way in last week
Yes, thank you Keith, this sight has been my saving grace! Can’t wait to do a happy dance tomorrow night!
Monster? Monster is what O’Downer did in 2008, especially all of the morons that turned out in my city Portland, OR.
Anyone have figures on the “In-Person Absentee” voting in FLs Strong Dem counties. I want worried about the Orange county one due to the bomb scare but the areas that are doing this absentee voting are a little frightening.
I’ve been thinking about the psychology of all these polls, and the spinning by the LSM. My head tells me each day that Romney will win and big. All the indicators other than polls – the campaign schedule for both candidates – all in blue or swing states, none in Republican territory; Obama constantly appealing to his base and not trying to capture the middle; Romney’s growing confidence and increasingly moderate ads and speeches to fill the void left by Obama; independents showing so strongly Romney; polls desperately trying to eke out an Obama lead despite using ridiculous samples – all these point to a decisive Romney victory.
And yet in the last 24 hours I have been uneasy. It’s probably just nerves, but the constant barrage of lies and deceit, and the reports of voter fraud, and the aligning of all the polls into a manufactured tie – these all compound with me, and I can’t help but be affected by them. It’s stupid, but it’s there. That’s why they do it. Because it can be effective. It wears you down. You get those tiny little doubts creeping in, where logic tells you they should never be.
However, what we’re feeling on the Right must be amplified ten times on the Left, those that are honest with themselves that is. So there’s that. But also, it’s just human weakness to baulk at the final hurdle. Sportsmen and women have been doing this for centuries. The final prize is within our grasp, and we choke over the enormity of it all. Greg Norman anyone?
If this election wasn’t so crucial to the future of the USA, I probably wouldn’t feel so torn. But we know it is, we know the awful consequences of an Obama victory, and it makes us tremble. The stakes are too high.
But I tell myself that Romney has this covered. He runs TOWARDS problems so they don’t get bigger. He has America’s back. He won’t choke. I have to live up to his standards here. I have to adopt a little Democrat arrogance. It’s in the bag. Read the signs. Don’t be a Greg Norman. America will choose, and it won’t be destruction, it will be recovery.
Romney’s ‘giddy’ with excitement. Yes, that’ll do it. He KNOWS. Trust him. Trust Ann – she spoke to her “new neighbours” in VA last night. The Dems have been too obvious in their tactics. They are the ones with the fears. Clear Eyes. Full Hearts. Can’t Lose.
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