Trying to drill down on Romney’s standing with Independents versus Bush’s standing at the same point, but this is a good sign:
IOWA: Romney needs to win election day vote by about 7% very similar to what Bush did in 2004.—
Adrian Gray (@adrian_gray) November 05, 2012
IOWA ABSENTEES ENTHUSIASM: Dems have sent in 88.4% of their ballots, Republicans 92% and indies/other 85.2%—
Jamie Dupree (@jamiedupree) November 05, 2012
I’m hearing that Bush lost Iowa Independents by 1-point while in Iowa polling Romney typically leads among Independents by 5-7 points making his hurdle slightly lower to clear.