Romney Rally in Yardly, Pennsylvania Today (Nov 4) 5pm

Massive rally for Mitt Romney in Bucks County, Pennsylvania scheduled later today. The crowd is going to be huge so get there hours early because you won’t want to miss this rally!

You’re Invited to a Victory Event with Mitt Romney & the Republican Team! with The Marshall Tucker Band!

When: Sunday, November 4th, 2012

Doors Open 2:00 PM | Event Begins 5:00 PM

Where: Shady Brook Farm, 931 Stony Hill Road in Morrisville, PA 19067

To register for the event, click here.

All attendees will go through airport-like security and should bring as few personal items as possible. No bags, sharp objects, umbrellas, liquids, or signs will be allowed in the venue. Cameras are permitted.

For questions, contact us at: TeamPA@mittromney.com | (717) 746-8098
For Important Campaign Updates: Text (PA) to GOMITT (466488)

81 Comments

  1. JAF
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 10:42 am | Permalink | Reply

    Michigan
    Romney 47
    Obama 46

    Who are you most likely to vote for in the Presidential election – Democratic President Barack Obama, or Republican Nominee, Governor Mitt Romney, another candidate, or are you undecided?

    Republican Nominee Mitt Romney 46.86%
    President Barack Obama 46.24%
    Another candidate 4.94%
    Undecided 1.96%

  2. Neil in NC
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 10:47 am | Permalink | Reply

    This should be a great rally!

  3. No Tribe
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 10:49 am | Permalink | Reply

    THis is going to be an election night to remember for the ages. I can’t wait.

  4. Brad
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 10:50 am | Permalink | Reply

    FWIW, ABC/WAPO tracker out today that shows the race tied is D+4.

    • Medicine Man
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:01 am | Permalink | Reply

      D+4 🙂

      • Freddie
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:18 am | Permalink

        This is MI “tied” at D+4? LOL! What incumbent has ever won a state polling a few days before election at 46.2%?

    • Brad
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:30 am | Permalink | Reply

      The poll I was pointing was a national tracker…not the MI poll.

    • Jim S.
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:32 am | Permalink | Reply

      Encouraging. Also, the Ras 49-49 tracker has Romney getting only 87% Republican support, does ANYONE believe that to be true?

      • stuckinmass
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 12:22 pm | Permalink

        Seems questionable to me. What % of Dems does Obama get in that tracker? I can’t imaging that percentage would be equal or higher

      • Matt
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 12:43 pm | Permalink

        No, that number should be in the 90’s for sure if not mid 90’s. I hate polls, they are all flawed in their own right. I’ve attended two rallies for Romney in Colorado and one in Wisconsin and I’m going off enthusiasm and attendance. Obama can’t draw anyone to his rallies unless he’s with Springsteen, Dave Matthews, Katy Perry, or Jay-Z and they have to be on a college campus to do it. Not promising for them.

    • NAVYBLUE
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 4:09 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Obama has NOT been over 50%. It’s over. He’s toast. Oh, by the way his surrogate (Penny Pritzker) just closed on his $35 Million estate in Kailua on Oahu’s windward coast next to the University of Hawaii. Can you say ” Presidential Library and hookah parlor”

      NAVYBLUE

  5. No Tribe
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 10:50 am | Permalink | Reply

    Michigan

    Republican Nominee Mitt Romney 46.86%
    President Barack Obama 46.24%
    Another candidate 4.94%
    Undecided 1.96%

    Striking that nearly 5% is going 3rd party.

    • Brad
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 10:51 am | Permalink | Reply

      I’m just happy to finally see a few shock polls that breaks up the OFA camp’s crowing of inevitability based on the OH polls. Love this poll and Susquehana’s poll out last night for PA. And yet again O is at 47!

    • JGS
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 10:52 am | Permalink | Reply

      Easier to tell a pollster you’re wasting your vote than to actually do it. Obama well below 47% does not augur well for him if this poll is accurate.

      • Brad
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 10:55 am | Permalink

        augur! Nice word play!

  6. kenberthiaume
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 10:52 am | Permalink | Reply

    they have two rallies at the same time in PA, one in Morrisville and one you just mentioned in Yardly. That’s going to cause confusion.

    • kenberthiaume
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 10:55 am | Permalink | Reply

      i guess it’s the same thing

  7. Posted November 4, 2012 at 10:53 am | Permalink | Reply

    Is Penn really in play? What happened in the las week? Is there precedent for a State no one was talking about, switching in the last week

    • Freddie
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:19 am | Permalink | Reply

      Coal and jobs.

      • Ron
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 3:44 pm | Permalink

        And religious freedom. Lots of Catholics in PA.

  8. Guest
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 10:55 am | Permalink | Reply

    Any time for a surprise trip back to his home state of Michigan?

    • No Tribe
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 10:59 am | Permalink | Reply

      Its possible. Romney has a 2:45 pm event (starting time) in Fairfax VA and then a 6:25 pm (starting time) in Columbus OH. He gains an hour there in flight too. I have been wondering if that is enough time to touch down in Detroit in-between. I think it is. Final event is at 10 pm in NH.

      • JGS
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:32 am | Permalink

        You have to have some lead time in order to get a crowd there and make the event a success. If he wants to be in MI tomorrow late afternoon, he’d have to decide and announce that today, I would think.

      • Bob San Diego
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:40 am | Permalink

        Ohio, Michigan and VA all in the East time zone.

  9. No Tribe
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 10:56 am | Permalink | Reply

    Weather pretty normal on Tuesday. Rain in Chicago and Florida is all. That’s right, Obama’s rally is outside and its going to be raining Tuesday in Chicago.
    http://www.weather.com/weather/5-day/Chicago+IL+USIL0225:1:US

    • Adam
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:01 am | Permalink | Reply

      That’s before the tears start too.

    • Porchlight
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 4:41 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Is it outside? I read that it was at McCormick Place, which I thought was indoors – capacity 10K I think. Kind of a comedown from 240,000 people in Grant Park in 2008.

  10. M. White
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 10:56 am | Permalink | Reply

    3, 2012

    TCJ Research National Tracking 11/1-11/2: Mitt Romney-50%, Barack Obama-48%

    Follow us on Twitter (@TCJResearch) to get results and updates on our next polling areas!

    TCJ Research National Tracking

    Mitt Romney- 50% (=)
    Barack Obama- 48% (+1)

    11/1-11/2
    1500 likely voters, M.O.E. 3%.
    35% Democrats, 33% Republican, 32% Unaffiliated

    All ID

    Democrats

    Republicans

    Independents

    Romney

    50.4

    9.7

    92.1

    52.2

    Obama

    47.9

    88.4

    6.8

    46.1

    Undecided

    1.6

    1.9

    1.1

    1.7

    • Neil in NC
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 3:01 pm | Permalink | Reply

      That’s a good cross-over for GMR – 10% of Dems.

      Is this national or PA?

      • Neil in NC
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 3:01 pm | Permalink

        Oops – just saw the NATIONAL.

  11. M. White
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 10:56 am | Permalink | Reply

    TCJ Research Florida Poll: Mitt Romney- 52%, Barack Obama- 46%

    November 2, 2012

    Follow us on Twitter (@TCJResearch) to get results and updates on our next polling areas!

    TCJ Research Florida

    Mitt Romney- 52%
    Barack Obama- 46%

    10/31-11/1
    1000 likely voters, M.O.E. 3%.
    35% Democrats, 38% Republican, 27% Unaffiliated

    All ID

    Democrats

    Republicans

    Independents

    Romney

    52.1

    11.3

    90

    51.6

    Obama

    46.3

    86.7

    9.2

    46.2

    Undecided

    1.6

    2

    0.8

    2.2

    • Neil in NC
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 3:03 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Also good news – 11% of Dems crossing over for GMR.

  12. No Tribe
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:00 am | Permalink | Reply

    M. White, no offense but TCJ is not a legit poll. They release no cros-tabs and show no proof that they are nothing but a sham.

    • Neil in NC
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 3:04 pm | Permalink | Reply

      buggers – i was getting excited.

  13. Blackcloud
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:02 am | Permalink | Reply

    It’s Yardley with an “e.”

  14. Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:05 am | Permalink | Reply

    Dan Henninger of the Wall Street Journal was just saying on FOX that Cuyahoga County still has 250,000 customers without power due to Sandy and may help supress voter tunout in a county O deperately needs.

    • JGS
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:09 am | Permalink | Reply

      Dems will sue if this situation still exists on election day. Mark my words. They will sue somewhere for something regardless — they have 4,000 lawyers “on standby”.

      • Neil in NC
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 3:05 pm | Permalink

        Well – they only had A MONTH TO VOTE.

        I hope it doesn’t mess up traditionally late voting Repubs.

    • JGS
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:14 am | Permalink | Reply

      Actually, the 250,000 figure is based upon stories running 4 days ago (just checked). Here’s a story from yesterday stating that only 50,000 are without power, and another story about 9 polling places in Cuyahoga County being without power. The latter story quotes county election officials as being confident that the outages will not interfere with voting on Tuesday, and includes the following paragraph — so perhaps the 4,000 lawyers will have to find something else to sue about.

      “If we encounter outages, we have portable generators we could deploy to a limited number of locations and also have flashlight supplies on hand to help deal with that situation,” said Jane Platten, director of the Cuyahoga County Board of Elections. “At this point, we are encouraged by reports from the utility companies that they hope all outages will be restored by the end of Monday.”

      http://www.newsnet5.com/dpp/news/local_news/oh_cuyahoga/cuyahoga-county-executive-ed-fitzgerald-gives-update-on-superstorm-sandy-cleanup

      http://www.cleveland.com/metro/index.ssf/2012/11/9_polling_places_in_cuyahoga_c.html

      • Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:46 am | Permalink

        Thanks JGS. I do think however that this may somewhat minimally affect some voting in Cuyahoga Count as some voters will still be dealing with the aftermath and may not having voting high on their to do list if they haven’t done so already. As we all know every vote in Cuyahoga will be a very big part of the overall Ohio pic for both candidates

    • Freddie
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:23 am | Permalink | Reply

      What? Did Cuy County even get that much from the storm? Union power workers or maybe they are really Romney guys. When your power is down in America, the guys you want are the good old boys from the south (non-union). They work 18 hours a day to get people’s power back on. I have see them working in the dark at midnight after storms. It is dangerous work too.

      • M. White
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:35 am | Permalink

        Yes, they do. Southerners are much more hospitable, where known for that down here. My husband is a union member, which is rare in my state but the line of work he does, he has to be, they supply a lot of steel compaines and most of the steel companies won’t buy their stuff from non-unions. Also, his company is owned in Germany but all that being said, unions are not strong here in NC, it’s a right to work state. My husband hates the union tactics, it’s not too bad here in the south but up north it is terrible. He hates the thuggery. A company he used to work for had non-union and union facilities, one went on strike in Ohio several years back, my husband’s facility was non-union and the company sent my husband and several others go and work at the union facility where the workers were on strike. Every morning my husband had to walk past the strike lines and he had to fear for his life, death threats and the like. They had security with them at all times even when they went to eat and at their hotel. He had to go or risk losing his job. The facility where is works now, like I say, is union, they are really good to them but as far as them supporting Democrats, my husband will not take part in it and he tells them so. He attends his union meetings but not the political ones. He would never allow the union to tell him who to vote for. He has the option of not being in the union but then he would be called a scab, not worth it when you need your job. Anyway, unions use terrible tactics and thuggery. Most southern guys are true gentlemen and when we are without power here, they work 24 hours a day to get it back on.

      • Freddie
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 1:49 pm | Permalink

        Yup. i saw it in Florida after Wilma (?). Hundreds of trucks streaming into Florida from mainly southern states. We did get guys from PA and even Toronto but they were mostly linemen from the south. They worked like dogs too.

        Yes the unions play for keeps. They will not think twice of killing someone or hurting them. I had a relative who got a job at a defense manufacturer. It was a good job but you had to join the union. Job #1 by his co workers was to find out if he was a Democrat. I told him to keep his mouth shut and go along with their BS. They realized he was not Dem and they did everything they could to get him fired. They refused to show him the work or work with him. They forced him out.

      • Neil in NC
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 3:06 pm | Permalink

        Yep – Take them coffee when you see them. They also like “two-fisted” chocolate chip cookies.

  15. arizona rules
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:08 am | Permalink | Reply

    RAS out…national…has it tied stilled…said expects D+2 but Rom up by 8 with indies….hmmm…. not adding up how he is using D+2 and Rom up by 8 with indies but tied…

    • Brad
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:11 am | Permalink | Reply

      The only way that makes sense is if he has higher crossovers helping O….which doesn’t make sense this cycle.

      • arizona rules
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:15 am | Permalink

        true Brad…or since he talks about the white vs. non white numbers he is including a higher number of non whites and therefore a few more percentage points in party loyalty (sort of a cross over in a sense by not including those white democrats who would cross over)….

        guess it all comes down to republican turnout…which everything tells me gonna be high…

        end of the day do not believe it will be D=+2 it will be even to R+2 which means 2-4% win nationally for R

      • Adam
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:16 am | Permalink

        I fail to see the confusion – Obama is winning partisan voters and Romney is compensating by a 54-46 win of the smaller pool of indies. That said, I presume if you force the poll to a further (meaningless) decimal place it would show Mitt up.

      • Brad
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:31 am | Permalink

        Adam it’s not about making the math work, it’s about whether or not these numbers line up against other polls.

    • Medicine Man
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:11 am | Permalink | Reply

      Up 9 with Indies. +4 from yesterday

  16. Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:13 am | Permalink | Reply

    excellent article on Standard re Penn.
    http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/mitt-s-pennsylvania-push-real-or-fake_660255.html

    anyone live in Penn. with insight?

    • Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:15 am | Permalink | Reply

      That’s exactly the sort of analysis I wanted

    • TheTorch
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:16 am | Permalink | Reply

      There has been a number of articles on this, this is no headfake it is real and I am actually really coming around to the idea that Romney will take PA. The huge catholic vote there and they have been targetted, is interesting. The huge AD spend by Romney in the last few days, shows that they really think this is falling their way.

      • Neil in NC
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 3:54 pm | Permalink

        Here is a great ad. Very stirring – especially if you’re Catholic – like me!

    • JGS
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:19 am | Permalink | Reply

      Here’s what Rich Beeson (Romney’s political director) said on one of this morning’s national talk shows. You wouldn’t expect him to say anything other than this, but it rings true in light of everything we have been discussing and analyzing on this board.

      http://www.nationaljournal.com/sunday-shows/romney-s-political-director-predicts-big-win-on-tuesday-20121104

  17. Medicine Man
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:17 am | Permalink | Reply

    WATCH THIS. PRICELESS.
    http://moelane.com/2012/11/04/tweetyoutube-of-the-day-chris-wallace-makes-axelrod-squirm-edition/

    • Brad
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:20 am | Permalink | Reply

      Not exactly the flat denial you usually see from Team O.

    • Jim S.
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:43 am | Permalink | Reply

      That’s great. The smirk on Axelrod’s face it like “yeah you got me”.

      • Jim S.
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:43 am | Permalink

        is*

  18. John
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:30 am | Permalink | Reply

    It’s over folks, the talking heads on the George Stephonpolis Sunday show have just declared victory for Obama. Even George Will has caved. Too much momentum from Sandy and the “Christy moment”. In fact their entire round-table segment was like a 20-minute Obama commerical. It was said that you know a campaign is in trouble when they start saying the polls are biased and start campaigning willy nilly in states they know they have no chance in. The good news is that any Dems watching the Obama love fest on ABC will have little incentive to vote Tuesday because it’s already been declaired a lock for Obama.

    • TheTorch
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:31 am | Permalink | Reply

      Bingo! absolutely right. They have just depressed turnout for the Dems and fired up the GOP Base.

      LOL

    • edtitan77
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:39 am | Permalink | Reply

      ABC is a joke 4 libs vs George Will, 3 worked on Dem campaigns or administration.

      Sandy is not a big deal what do voters in Michigan care about a East Coast storm?

      • Freddie
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 1:51 pm | Permalink

        I stopped watching Obama TV in 2008 and watching any of Hollywood’s movies. I do not miss TV at all. I will never go back. I refuse to trade liberty for a clicker. S*rew TV. The NFL, NBA and other sports leagues came out for Obama. ESPN is one of the worst liberal slime networks owned by Disney/ABC I think. I will not go to Disney or Universal as their networks Disney/ABC and NBC/Comcast/GE/Universal support Obama as well.

    • Shane kovac
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:50 am | Permalink | Reply

      Think they are going for the easy, conventional wisdom bet. Look at polls, look at what your media brethren say, parrot.

      Hey maybe they are right but there is more to the story than meets the eye. I cannot imagine how you call Ohio gone and PN WI willy nilly when you have polls internal external showing them close.

      Face it no one in the media not even the so called right wingers have ever been fans of Romney. They have always thought he was a bad candidate running a horrid campaign.

      Last point Sandy bounce? From a photo op with there being gas lines, no food, no power, Crime everywhere. No FEMA, No Red Cross yeah right

    • Bob San Diego
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:54 am | Permalink | Reply

      “It was said that you know a campaign is in trouble when they start saying the polls are biased and start campaigning willy nilly in states they know they have no chance in.”

      You would think George Will of all people would first try to figure out, you know, if the Romney people are right. Very disappointing.

      Let’s get back to basics – the incumbent is at less than 50% in a whole lot of polls two days out.

      Even the least sophisticate political analysis should say at worst this is a toss up.

      • Aaron
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 4:05 pm | Permalink

        How about when an administration sues one of the most respected polling firms in the nation..

  19. TheTorch
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:30 am | Permalink | Reply

    This definitely is an UH OH moment:

    Axelrod is shown a graphic of what is happening in Ohio with Early Voting by Chris Wallace, just look at the response of Axelrod…

    http://moelane.com/2012/11/04/tweetyoutube-of-the-day-chris-wallace-makes-axelrod-squirm-edition/

    Holy Moley! What the heck have they done!!

    • M. White
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:40 am | Permalink | Reply

      PRICELESS! Can’t wait for him to shave that stupid mustashe! He really didn’t have an answer, “uh, uh, uh oh, uh, we will know in 2 days who’s bluffing and not bluffing”, yes we will, and it won’t be O!

      • TheTorch
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:42 am | Permalink

        Sorry Medicine Man – Did not realise the was already posted. Still good to point it out again LOL

  20. John
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:41 am | Permalink | Reply

    So according to Rasmusen 13% of Republicans are voting for Obama? Who are these people? Bradley/Wilder effect perhaps? I wonder if Ras is hedging his bets and manipulating things just a bit for risk sake. Without Gallup he would be the lone wolf howling in the night for a Romney win and if wrong he’d be toast. By being tied any pollster can claim within margin of error so they were right (or at least not wrong). Thoughts?

    • Mass liberty
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:45 am | Permalink | Reply

      It’s been my theory for a while that for the automated polls, dems are voting for Obama and claiming to be republicans.

    • TheTorch
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:47 am | Permalink | Reply

      He does seem to be hedging, when he was on Fox News the other day he was doing the same. he knows what his own Party Affiliation is showing, at the moment it is R+2-3, we should have the latest update for that today or tomorrow.
      Also can someone confirm this? Is he usign D+4? I heard he is for the latest national poll?

      • trux
        Posted November 4, 2012 at 2:15 pm | Permalink

        His number from October polling was actually R+1.The R+2.6, I believe, was the average for July-September.

  21. Pete
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 11:43 am | Permalink | Reply

    Finish him!

  22. Jeni
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 12:29 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Has anyone been over to 538 this morning? I must admit a lot of this stuff is over my head, but here’s the headline:

    Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate; Quinnipiac, SurveyUSA Performed Strongly

  23. JGS
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 12:55 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Has anyone discussed this morning’s PA poll from the Morning Call, showing Obama +3 (49-46), with no internals yet?

    http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/blog_pennsylvania_ave/mc-muhlenerg-poll-obama-ahead-3-20121104,0,3073650.story?track=rss

    • Interested Party
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 1:44 pm | Permalink | Reply

      The race is tied, with the undecideds breaking for R and Smith, or I’ll eat my computer screen. Everything west of Harrisburg is solid R, with perhaps 60-70% in some counties. If Clinton rallies them in the Philly ring suburbs, maybe O can make it closer. I doubt it. They were winding down their GOTV when suddenly they started paying attention to what Rendell was warning about. Too little, too late, I’d say. I live in Western PA. I have seen one–one–O ad. They’ve been outspent 10-1 over the past week. Watch for O to suddenly make a surprise “stop” in eastern PA–if that happens, Mitt Romney is definitely our 45th President.

    • Blackcloud
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 1:51 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Internals below. Its sample is only 430 LVs, or just a little more than half the Susquehanna sample. Larger samples are always better. On the other hand, PID in this oneis 46/42/11, or D+4, which is less than the D+6 in the Susquehanna poll. I’m suspicious of the LV screen in the MC poll, though. It seems pretty loose. You only had to have voted in one of the last 8 generals or primaries, or register since 2009.

      : http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/blog_pennsylvania_ave/mc–morning-call-2012-pennsylvania-presidential-election-survey-20121104,0,3980627.htmlpage

  24. Hestrold
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 1:11 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Go get ’em bitter clingers!

    • Neil in NC
      Posted November 4, 2012 at 3:59 pm | Permalink | Reply

      bitter clingers?

  25. MrX
    Posted November 4, 2012 at 6:50 pm | Permalink | Reply

    35K+ @ rally

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