It’s a Little Crowded at the Romney Rally in Newport News, Virginia

10 O’Clock at night in 40 degree weather on a Sunday night and Romney’s packing the house (or in this case hangar):

Waiting for Romney to deplane:

95 Comments

  1. Posted November 5, 2012 at 1:10 am | Permalink | Reply

    Someone in National Review said a quickie prediction on Tuesday result: Over the past 70 some years’ records reveal, on prior to Election weekend, if Red Skins won at home game, then the incumbent won, if Red Skins lost its home game, then the incumbent lost. On Sunday (11/4), Panthers came to Red Skins home ground and conquered them 21-13! Game over!

    • NWConservative
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 1:17 am | Permalink | Reply

      I like the look of these chicken entrails!

  2. Brad
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 1:10 am | Permalink | Reply

    PPP has a slew of polls out tonight. Of which has OH O+5, D+8 and VA O+4, D+5.

    • Posted November 5, 2012 at 1:38 am | Permalink | Reply

      Why do PPP polls get reported everywhere even though they are a DEM firm? R firms don’t ever get quoted…

      • ElmerF
        Posted November 5, 2012 at 10:22 am | Permalink

        Because most of the reporting organizations are part of the same Obama Ministry of Truth. This is their last gasp at psy-ops to try and discourage Republicans from voting. Won’t work as we are wise to their games and would crawl over broken glass to vote.

  3. Brad
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 1:13 am | Permalink | Reply

    “Another round of swing-state polls, this time from The Wall Street Journal, NBC News and Marist College, shows the president leading Mitt Romney by small but notable margins:

    Mr. Obama holds a 49%-46% lead in Wisconsin among likely voters, half what it was two weeks ago, and a 49%-47% lead in New Hampshire, down from his lead of 7 percentage points there in September.

    In Iowa, where Mr. Obama launched his presidential quest in 2007, the president holds a more formidable 50%-44% lead among likely voters, due in large part to outsize support among women and young voters. …”

    These are crazy Marist polls by the way.

    • trux
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 1:17 am | Permalink | Reply

      They will get lots of comment on the morning shows, which will help to drive coverage for the day.

    • NWConservative
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 1:19 am | Permalink | Reply

      Marist only had Romney leading in ONE of their polls this WHOLE SEASON. When other pollsters were showing Romney leads Marist/NBC will come in and crap on everything with their polls from Narnia (thanks Keith). Very much like PPP.

      • Dave
        Posted November 5, 2012 at 1:34 am | Permalink

        NBC is the WORST liberal POS nightly news organization in the country….I used to watch them but after this election, no more. Even my cousins 81 year old Mom said she doesn’t trust them anymore and has “lost all respect for Brian Williams.” When the seniors of your core viewership start to recognize your fraud you know you’ve become nothing more than a overt partisan shill. Probably why Microsoft parted ways with them before the election season got going.

      • Rick
        Posted November 5, 2012 at 1:49 am | Permalink

        The Romney campaign isn’t pushing back on these media polls. Maybe that is because it doesn’t want supporters to become complacent about turning out. The campaign wants its voters to be eager to vote Tuesday!

    • Pete
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 1:19 am | Permalink | Reply

      I don’t ever recall this many polls released by so many different pollsters so often in a campaign.

      • Rick
        Posted November 5, 2012 at 1:44 am | Permalink

        Wisconsin Walker recall election in June was heavily polled. Polling just before the election showed the race to be too close to call. It turned out to be a 7 point landslide for Walker. The current race has the same feel…

  4. Posted November 5, 2012 at 1:34 am | Permalink | Reply

    Chicago early voting way down.

    http://weeklystandard.com/blogs/massive-decrease-early-and-absentee-voting-chicago_660299.html

  5. M. White
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 1:39 am | Permalink | Reply

    This article says all we need to know about PPP polling. They are a undeniably bias, democratic polling agency, paid to show the results they want you to see not what they actually are. They are leaning hard now trying to show Obama with some large leads by oversampling Democrats. This is called voter suppression in the worst form because in trys to convince people that there is no need to vote, Obama is winning. They came with these polls tonight for the liberal media and blogs to use for Monday narrative to suppress the GOP vote on Tuesday. I live in NC where they are located and they tried to destroy Senator Richard Burr in his re-election campaign a couple of years ago, purposefully putting out polls to make it look like he wasn’t going to win but guess what…he’s still my Senator! I will tell you this, if Republicans that don’t find places like this one here, it may serve to suppress the vote a little, but that’s why Romney, Ryan, RNC and other groups are working so hard to keep enthusiasm up because they knew what would happen at this time. If Mitt wins it will be an amazing feat, with all the headwinds he’s had to face, a liberal bias media trying their best to ruin him.

    Union partners with liberal blog to produce 2012 polling (PPP)

    By Michael O’Brien – 03/08/11 11:12 AM ET

    A top union and a top liberal blog announced Tuesday that they’ll team up to sponsor polling through the 2012 elections.

    Daily Kos and the Service Employees International Union (SEIU) said they will join forces to conduct issue and campaign polling in key states and races over the next two years.

    The joint poll continues an effort by Daily Kos, a premiere liberal blog founded in 2002 by Markos Moulitsas, a contributor to The Hill, to take its advocacy a step further, and provide raw political information to readers, especially on races and issues of importance to that online community.

    “Rather than sit around and have know-nothing pundits and politicians in DC tell us what the American people think, we prefer to ask them directly,” Moulitsas said in a statement. “And this partnership will allow us to conduct significantly more polling than any other media organization in the country.”

    “We continue to work to ensure our members have their voices heard in the political process and honest, objective polling plays an important role in identifying the issues that concern working families and the politicians that can best advocate for working people,” added SEIU National Political Director Brandon Davis.

    The SEIU/Daily Kos poll will use Public Policy Polling (PPP), a Democratic firm that uses automated polling rather than live, over-the-phone survey methods. Moulitsas contracted with PPP in June of 2010 after severing ties with Research 2000, which faced allegations of producing faulty poll results.

    Daily Kos, like other liberal blogs, have taken an increasingly active role in advocacy, campaigns, and fundraising. The Progressive Change Campaign Committee (PCCC), for instance, has used Daily Kos as a medium to help raise over $500,000 to support recall efforts against Republican state senators in Wisconsin.

    Source:
    http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/148037-union-partners-with-liberal-blog-to-produce-2012-polling

    • Posted November 5, 2012 at 1:48 am | Permalink | Reply

      OMG Daily Kos and SEIU! And these polls get reported and posted on RCP. More like Propoganda!

      • Ron
        Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:35 am | Permalink

        After the speeches, after the pundits, after the debates, after the polls, there’s the turnout. And these rallies say more than a hundred polls about Nov.6.

      • jmar
        Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:24 am | Permalink

        +1, Ron.

  6. Zee45
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:15 am | Permalink | Reply

    The CNN poll has this …. “Respondents who reported that they had already
    cast an absentee ballot or voted early were automatically classified as likely voters. Among those likely voters, 41% described themselves as Democrats, 29% described themselves as Independents, and 30% described themselves as Republicans.”

    What do you make of that??? its weird…

  7. Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:26 am | Permalink | Reply

    Someone posted on that new St. Augustine Times/Insider Advantage Florida poll showing Romney up 5. A very important tidbit and what looks to be a snowballing movement of independent voters going into the Romney column.

    Look at the St. Augustine blurb:

    “Mitt Romney’s lead with independent voters has propelled him to a 5-point lead in Florida two days before election day, according to a Times-Union/InsiderAdvantage poll released Sunday night.

    Likely/registered voters favored Romney 52 percent to 47 percent for Barack Obama, but Romney holds a 25-point lead with independent voters.”

    We have numerous national pollsters picking up a big independent voter movement toward Romney in the last 48 hours, most notably the CNN D+11 poll and Gravis D+8 national poll. Rasmussen is also confirming a growing independent voter movement toward Romney as well in their 3 day national tracking poll. Pat Caddell has picked up on this as well and talked about it on Fox today. It is also confirmed in the Boston Herald Poll showing Scott Brown now up on Elizabeth Warren by 1. That can only indicate a big indy movement toward Romney and it is having a down ticket effect in Massachusetts.

    Getting excited…with caution 😉

  8. hillbilly
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:27 am | Permalink | Reply

    if this is true he will win

  9. indie
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:28 am | Permalink | Reply

    Polling ignoramus here. Can the numerate and poll method experts among you tell me if this is really how it works:

    “In other words, year after year, the election is decided by how many independents break for or against Republican candidates. Republicans numbers also fluctuate greatly, but Democrats tend to hover around 36-38% pretty consistently. . . . You run some common statistical methods on it, including the margin of error (which you can look up if you don’t already know what this is), and you might wind up with the following simplified data for 1,000 participants:

    Dems 620
    GOP 304
    Indep 66

    As you know, it tends to be a bit more complicated than this, because the polls factor in your gender, age, ethnicity, income level, and so on in order to figure out how to better categorize this information. But stick with us.

    Looks good. But this tells you nothing, as you might have magically called the only 620 Democrats in the US somehow. So the pollster normalizes the numbers to make them more reflective of the total population. For this, you can use oversampling—you might focus more on one group than another. Or, you can just look at historical results.

    If we know that Democrats routinely make up 37% of voters, and then we can assume that 620 voters is probably too high. 620 out of 1000 is of course 62%, not 37%. So if we got 620 voters to indicate they are Democrats, than the actual number of Republican voters out of every 1,000 is probably closer to 493…all we do is multiply 304 actual Republican participants by 1.62 to normalize the number. And we see that the proportions are maintained pretty well. We can then figure out the probable number of independents from there. The results wind up:

    Dems (620) 37%
    GOP (493) 29%
    Indep (553) 33%

    Of course, this seems very scientific but it is of course absolute horseshit. It assumes that the fact Democrats average 36-38% of the vote makes a safe baseline for you to beef up the other numbers. You still have no idea whether or not your sample was good. For example, in 1980, the pollsters must have called nearly every Democrat household in the US and very few Republican ones.”

    From: http://www.gormogons.com/2012/11/why-polls-are-screwy-best-to-ignore-them.html

    Is this an accurate description of the mathematical mojo applied by polling firms?

    • Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:37 am | Permalink | Reply

      Don’t know. Everybody has their own formulas and models so it is tough to say. Good analysis though 🙂

    • edtitan77
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:58 am | Permalink | Reply

      They worry too much about getting minority percent right, don’t want to cross Axlerod, this minorities are heavily weighted and thus poll skews Dem.

      Romney won’t lose getting more than 60% of white vote.

    • Rick
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 3:13 am | Permalink | Reply

      Besides all this, the pollsters have to get you to complete their survey. According to Pew, only 9% of contacts complete the surveys.

      • spottedreptile
        Posted November 5, 2012 at 5:47 am | Permalink

        The other thing surely, is that by 48 or 72 hours out from election day, pollsters have reached saturation point with the market. I imagine their response rate must be lower than it was a couple of weeks or a month ago for example. If it’s normally 9% then I could imagine 48 hours out it could be something like 3%. People must be really sick of being polled. This must factor into the accuracy and margin of error hugely.

        Is this probable? I am guessing here.

      • Posted November 5, 2012 at 7:47 am | Permalink

        How many polls over the last 3 months? 300 polls (??) x 1,000 each = 300,000. Then it took 10 times that to contact the 300,000, so that’s 3 million out of a voting population of what? 150 million. 3,000,000/150,000,000 = 1 in 50. I don’t think that means people are sick. The average person has a 2% chance of being polled once. If anybody has better numbers than my guesses, please post them.

  10. hillbilly
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:28 am | Permalink | Reply

    how much independents on rasmussin leaning

    • Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:31 am | Permalink | Reply

      Went from 3 on Friday, to 5 Saturday, to 9 yesterday

      • NMVM
        Posted November 5, 2012 at 9:18 am | Permalink

        +15 with indies today, R 49 O 48

  11. hillbilly
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:32 am | Permalink | Reply

    firebird in will be +15 on election day

  12. hillbilly
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:33 am | Permalink | Reply

    the storm will have no effect guaranteed

  13. hillbilly
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:34 am | Permalink | Reply

    it will have one effect romney winning PA

  14. hillbilly
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:35 am | Permalink | Reply

    romney has a chance in michigan, wisconsin, PA, minnesota, If he carries one or two of these it is all over

    • Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:38 am | Permalink | Reply

      Yup. Interestingly, George Will in his final prediction on this week today said Romney would carry Minnesota because of the marriage amendment ballot which was going to pull in evangelicals to vote. Interesting.

    • EpiphoneKnight
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:52 am | Permalink | Reply

      What about New York? Lack of Dems getting to polls, rampant anti-Bloomberg sentiment (who I believe endorsed O)….

      • gutenburg
        Posted November 5, 2012 at 7:10 am | Permalink

        I think Obama will still win NY but it should be alot closer than 2008.

        Some upstate counties voted Obama in 2008 will not do so this time. I think some counties will be 75% Romney, maybe higher. Of course in Erie, Albany, etc. there are alot of blacks/public workers/liberals but I think Romney will win almost all upstate counties, some by a large margin. I live upstate and I know only one person who is voting Obama and he is black.

        The main problem in NY is Bronx, New York (Manhattan), Kings and Queens but I am expecting alot better this time for Romney (better than Bush 2004) because I think Romney appeals more to some of the more affluent populations down there than Bush and because Hurricane Sandy problems should limit some of the voting of Obama’s core constituency.

        I think 55/45 Obama is likely in NY, maybe a little a little closer but I don’t know if the vote in the counties in NYC can ever be close enough for a Republican to win the state again. If Obama were not Black it might be easier.

      • Evan3457
        Posted November 5, 2012 at 7:35 am | Permalink

        Not nearly enough to take NY. I know, I live here.

  15. hillbilly
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:40 am | Permalink | Reply

    close race

  16. hillbilly
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:42 am | Permalink | Reply

    I can’t tell who is going to win there is so much lies

  17. Bob San Diego
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:53 am | Permalink | Reply

    ““Another round of swing-state polls, this time from The Wall Street Journal, NBC News and Marist College, shows the president leading Mitt Romney by small but notable margins:”

    Why does the WSJ participate in this tripe?

    Certainly they (owned by Murdoch) aren’t in the tank for obama.

    • edtitan77
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 3:00 am | Permalink | Reply

      I suspect Marist will go down the tubes along with Silver when the dust settles. It’s ok to be wrong but to be so spectacularly wrong is nothing short of gross malpractice.

  18. hillbilly
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 2:55 am | Permalink | Reply

    marist is all lies

  19. hillbilly
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 3:00 am | Permalink | Reply

    rasmussin today and tomorrow will show us the direction

  20. hillbilly
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 3:02 am | Permalink | Reply

    i live in New York it will never go romney

  21. Posted November 5, 2012 at 3:05 am | Permalink | Reply

    http://tcjresearch.wordpress.com/2012/11/05/tcj-research-ohio-mitt-romney-51-barack-obama-48

    TCJ Research Ohio: Mitt Romney- 51%, Barack Obama- 48%

    • Bob San Diego
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 3:40 am | Permalink | Reply

      Yeah, I know, Republican hacks.

      DRI 34/34/32. Sound reasonable?

      if the national is D+2, I think that’s about right.

      Although … D+8 in 2008 (vs. D+7 national).

    • zang
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 3:54 am | Permalink | Reply

      Hard to tell if they do any actual polling. Just a WordPress site. No names, no contact info. .

    • AussieMarcus
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 4:00 am | Permalink | Reply

      Well if PPP and their buddies get Obama up 3-5 with D+5-8 type samples, then R+3 with an Even split looks fine to me.

      And Even is probably where I’d put it. Wasn’t it D+5 in 2008 and R+5 in 2004?

  22. hillbilly
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 3:05 am | Permalink | Reply

    nate silver got lucky

  23. hillbilly
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 3:05 am | Permalink | Reply

    then romney won 🙂

  24. hillbilly
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 3:16 am | Permalink | Reply

    I noticed one good thing for mitt all the battleground poll averages keep on shrinking for obama. Mitt leveled the field

    • jeff
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 4:10 am | Permalink | Reply

      I just cant see Obama winning with Romney getting all those independents yet all these polls have it tied. I get the sense that they want to keep it close to increase ratings on election day and manipulate the numbers to justify the end result.

  25. John
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 6:26 am | Permalink | Reply

    It’s often said that all politics are local. I don’t know if that is true but one measure of local politics are the house elections. According to a piece in Politico on Sunday

    “On the eve of the election, some party officials are privately worried that Democrats might even lose ground and drop one or two seats to the Republican majority.”
    Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1112/83298.html#ixzz2BLX6vNlZ

    No way we are looking at a sig D+ electorate if this is true. Electorate is closer to 2010 than 2008 but most all pollsters have defaulted to 2010 for their weightings.

    • John
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 6:28 am | Permalink | Reply

      Sorry, I meant pollsters have defaulted to 2008 for their weightings and pretend 2010 never happened.

  26. Posted November 5, 2012 at 7:33 am | Permalink | Reply

    PA
    A Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll released Sunday found Obama leading 49 percent to 46 percent among likely voters in the state, with Romney’s favorability rating in positive territory for the first time. A Pittsburgh Tribune-Review poll also out Sunday found a tied race, at 47 percent.

  27. Aaron
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:03 am | Permalink | Reply

    So I was looking through the 57 pages of crap in the CNN orp poll and this question jumps out at me.
    Which of the following statements best describes your view of the economy: It will only get better if Barack Obama is re-elected President, It will only get better if Mitt Romney is elected President, It will get better if either Obama or Romney is elected or It will not get better if either Obama or Romney is elected.
    November 2-4, 2012
    Will get better only if Obama is re-elected 34%
    Will get better only if Romney is elected 43%

    How can the poll be tied if that is what people think?

    • Aaron
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:05 am | Permalink | Reply

      Sorry also wondering how much greater in R favor if not for the plus D +11 skew?

  28. LandonC
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:05 am | Permalink | Reply

    Rasmussen- Romney 49, Obama 48. Just out on Drudge.

    • Medicine Man
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:10 am | Permalink | Reply

      No internals yet….will keep you updated…again…That big Thursday dropped off..

  29. Tedley
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:20 am | Permalink | Reply

    For what it’s worth – Ann Compton (ABC’s member of teh Bamster caravan) gets interviewed every morning on the biggest radio station in southwest Ohio, This morning she told millions of Ohioans that Bamster has conceded FL, NC and VA and is now hoping OH, WI and IA will be the firewall that will help him just hang on. Interesting because the MSM seems to be accelerating their fessing up process.

    • Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:27 am | Permalink | Reply

      Did you personally hear this or is it rumor.

      • Tedley
        Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:33 am | Permalink

        I heard it myself. She gets interviewed for 2.5 minutes every morning at 7:16 a.m. on 700 WLW – the biggest radio station anywhere near here. I listen on my way to the office. She almost always uses her time to spew Bamster spin, but this time it was all about how it was OHIO or Bamster is cooked.

    • Tara
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:31 am | Permalink | Reply

      So why is Romney in FL and VA today and not OH, WI and IA??

      • Tedley
        Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:34 am | Permalink

        I’m guessing it’s to pull three close Senate races through. Remember – Obamacare lives unless we win both The White House and the Senate.

      • Medicine Man
        Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:38 am | Permalink

        +1. This where watching O will be fun…Lets follow BKS and Live Free over to Daily Kos for some fun here today (especially) after Gallup is released..

    • Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:37 am | Permalink | Reply

      Wow that is great news being admitted from the left.

  30. Vadim
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:23 am | Permalink | Reply

    Drudge says that Rasmussen will show R49 O 48 this morning! Makes me feel a little better…

    • Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:44 am | Permalink | Reply

      remember that rasmussen is rolling average and romney is rising. would be higher tomorrow. with turnout we win. its that simple. If we turn out tomorrow there is nothing that can save Obama. Lets do this thing and bring America back for our kids and grandkids

  31. Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:31 am | Permalink | Reply

    Anyone know if Gallup will release his before the usual 1:00pm and what about IBD/TIPP?

    • Medicine Man
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:34 am | Permalink | Reply

      If Rassmussen is +1 at D+2, Gallup will be at least +3 (at even or R+1) IMO..TIPP has been D+7, so unless they adjust…who knows

      • Jim S.
        Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:43 am | Permalink

        Gallup doesn’t weight by party ID, just by demographic and they have a tight LV screen.

      • Medicine Man
        Posted November 5, 2012 at 9:06 am | Permalink

        Looking at their demographics, I think I saw Numbersmuncher had it R+1, (again the reason Gallup had R consistently up in Oct.)…I could be wrong..

  32. Japes
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:43 am | Permalink | Reply

    Anyone with latest info on IA? Saw some ,NBC Marist that had Obama +5. More craptacular sampling? Also, what’s the latest on EV in OH? Saw Stephanie cutter on Morning Bloe running her mouth that O was up by nearly 2-1 in EV. I thought the numbers aren’t out yet beyond October 30. Any ideas?

    • Tedley
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:57 am | Permalink | Reply

      That’s just plain silly. If you look, you’ll find the link to actual results for Cuyahoga County (Cleveland) on this blog. It’s down about 15% from last time. No way that’s good enough for bamster.

  33. Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:46 am | Permalink | Reply

    I wonder if this all comes down to Maine.

  34. Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:47 am | Permalink | Reply

    Mitt Romney has 5-point lead in Florida, Times-Union/InsiderAdvantage poll says

    http://members.jacksonville.com/news/premium/florida/2012-11-04/story/romney-has-5-point-lead-florida-times-unioninsider-advantage-poll-says

    • Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:53 am | Permalink | Reply

      Consistent with the 6 point lead shown in the Tampa Bay Times poll. I think Obama’s ad buys here are an attempt to make his base not panic and soft voters to not just decide to not turnout.

  35. jeff
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:50 am | Permalink | Reply

    Ras now gas it R 49 O 48. It looks like RR have regained momentum. Thr dimwits at MSNBC are already deckaring Obama the vuctor citing all those skewed polls.

    • Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:52 am | Permalink | Reply

      Tom night will be the best night ever to watch MSDNC it will be great. Hope they have straight jackets at the ready

    • jeff
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:53 am | Permalink | Reply

      Sorry has it at 49 Romney and 48 Obama. Very goid news. The trend is now towards RR.

    • wholefoodsrepublican
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:55 am | Permalink | Reply

      we’re waiting for the oracle at keith to speak…

  36. Medicine Man
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 8:56 am | Permalink | Reply

    Rassmussen just released Virgina R50 O48…Sorry Peter (I know, you won’t be up for 2-3 more hours)..

  37. John
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 9:02 am | Permalink | Reply

    Much farther up in this thread someone with a Rasmussen subscription posted that the independent split favoring Romney trended as follows over the weekend +3 Friday +6 Saturday +9 Sunday. Since these are three-day rolling averages it suggests the Saturday night poll (Sunday report) probably had Romney up at least 12 with independents. Wonder what today’s will show?

    • John
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 9:03 am | Permalink | Reply

      Thanks Medicine Man – awesome news.

  38. Medicine Man
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 9:03 am | Permalink | Reply

    Rass internals: R +15 Indies (R+13 before Sandy) + 6 from yesterday . O still holding on to base (no crossover). R: Certian 48, Likely 1. O: Certain 47 Likely 1 Lean 1

    • Jim S.
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 9:10 am | Permalink | Reply

      Looks like indies are breaking for Romney, solid news. I think Ras is fibbing on the crossover to be honest, even McCain won the crossover vote.

      • Medicine Man
        Posted November 5, 2012 at 9:13 am | Permalink

        The data is what it is…could be they haven’t decided yet..data is from Friday, Saturday and Sunday….he was getting 3-4%…it is only one pollster..so…

    • Medicine Man
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 9:11 am | Permalink | Reply

      What I like about Rassmussen is that he has been doing 1000 LV’s a night now….really brings down his MOE…really feeling good about 11/6 with Indies being at R+15 I would like to see his final Ohio poll. Feel good regarding EV for Dems being way down and Repubs being up…

  39. M. White
    Posted November 5, 2012 at 9:10 am | Permalink | Reply

    For some reason Romney seems disturbed this morning at his event in Florida, watching live on Fox News. Maybe he’s just tired. Can’t make out the look on his face.

    • Jim S.
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 9:13 am | Permalink | Reply

      He didn’t look that great in IA yesterday morning but got into gear for the evening events. Tired and maybe not a morning person lol.

    • M. White
      Posted November 5, 2012 at 9:17 am | Permalink | Reply

      I should have said that Obama looks just as bad if not worse. But both of them have traveling non-stop with very little sleep, surprised they still have their voice.

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