Obama +5 in Michigan — Rasmussen

Rasmussen Reports has the latest in Michigan and President Obama is showing some daylight with only a few days left.  The President sports a 5-poimt lead 52 to 47:

President Obama continues to earn over 50% of the vote in Michigan in the final days of the campaign, but his lead over Mitt Romney in the state is down to five points. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Michigan Voters shows Obama with 52% support to Romney’s 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. This Michigan survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted on November 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points

For President Percent
Barack Obama 52
Mitt Romney 47
Other 1
Undecided 1


  1. Posted November 2, 2012 at 7:01 pm | Permalink | Reply

    BTW, people here keep trying to compare 2012 with 2004, but I just don’t see how they compare. Despite a decent economy back then, we were mired in two wars, the liberal media was showing body bags coming back from Fallujah everyday, the independents were largely against the war and blaming Bush for it, and we STILL won pretty handily. And now we have a candidate Romney who doesn’t have all that baggage who is doing much better with indies than Bush, I just don’t see how this can not end up as a huge blowout for Republicans. So this not 2004 at all, it’s more like 1980.

    • Svigor
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 7:28 pm | Permalink | Reply

      I keep thinking it’s a 1980 type election, too, except adjusted for the new demographics (USA! USA! USA!).

      It will be interesting to compare the white vote from then and Tuesday.

    Posted November 2, 2012 at 7:04 pm | Permalink | Reply

    By the way – note Rasmussen is in there too as a +7 – for all those who say he leans to the right. Most Conservatives were either holding their nose or pulling for HRC in that election

    • Brad
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 7:12 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Yeah, but he was still to the right of the (erroneous) average, right Peter?

      • Brad
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 7:13 pm | Permalink

        There should have been a /sarc tag in there….

  3. No Tribe
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 7:06 pm | Permalink | Reply

    PA has a writeup on Romney’s visit to Philly:

    The Gov says 250-300 polling places without power:

    • No Tribe
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 7:08 pm | Permalink | Reply

      The spending is about a 10:1 advantage for Romney in PA.

  4. uncdave
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 7:20 pm | Permalink | Reply

    big day for Reps in early voting in IOWA today…..now only down 63K… better than Bush in 2004 when he beat Kerry

    • Brad
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 7:24 pm | Permalink | Reply

      That’s great news. Win IA along with FL and VA, and all you need is WI or OH and the WH is yours.

      • Michael
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 7:36 pm | Permalink

        You don’t need IA if you get OH. But if you do get IA, it opens up a path via NV.

  5. arizona rules
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 7:23 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Why trust the actual numbers when we have the polls telling us the momentum is all with Obama? We are being had. In a race such as this just changing the weighting by a point or two changes everything.


    • No Tribe
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 7:48 pm | Permalink | Reply

      We’ve been here all along telling each other al along the gig is up.

  6. NHConservative
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 9:14 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Barak just had a Red Cross commercial herein NH asking people to donate for Sandy? Is this not politizing this disaster in a swing state?

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