Not That I’m Counting or Anything

 

88 Comments

  1. Hestrold
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:13 am | Permalink | Reply

    Make it so number one!

    • Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:33 am | Permalink | Reply

      As a complete nerd, I wish I could +1 the Star Trek reference. πŸ™‚
      ~ Brittany

    • AC
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:45 am | Permalink | Reply

      Engage!

  2. wholefoodsrepublican
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:17 am | Permalink | Reply

    actually it’s about 81.5 more days

  3. Bryan
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:18 am | Permalink | Reply

    NOW LET’S DO THIS THING!!! ALL OUT PUSH!!!

  4. Carol
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:22 am | Permalink | Reply

    Love it.

  5. arizona rules
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:23 am | Permalink | Reply

    I so need a good nights sleep…Tuesday is gonna be a blissful sleep!!!!

  6. TeaPartyPaul
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:27 am | Permalink | Reply

    Contact your friends, family…ANYONE you know in the battlegrounds GOTTA GET EM OUT! Vote time!

    • MikeS
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:32 am | Permalink | Reply

      My nephew is voting for the first time this year….for Romney in Toledo, Ohio

    • AC
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:46 am | Permalink | Reply

      I just talked to my brother in Ohio, and he is going to vote for Romney.

      • MikeS
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:59 am | Permalink

        I have a friend that only votes every now and then. He recently moved and did not re-register at his new address. We were out the other night and he said he didn’t think he was able to vote this year. I QUICKLY informed him that he can cast a provisional ballot at his new address’ polling location (which I looked up for him). I even offered to give him a ride on election day. He said he would just walk down there since it’s only a couple of block away….another vote for Romney in Ohio

      • AC
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 2:30 am | Permalink

        I have a friend in Ohio who didn’t register in time. The cutoff was October 9th. He had moved from Michigan and declined voter registration when he registered his car. Arrgghh! He was definitely going to vote Romney.

  7. Angelina Joseph
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:28 am | Permalink | Reply

    Hallelujah ! πŸ™‚

  8. bks
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:30 am | Permalink | Reply

    You guys are whistling past the graveyard. Obama will win re-election with over 300 electoral votes. The polls were terrible for Romney today. Virginia and Florida are balanced on a knifeblade, while Obama has NV, OH, IA and NH locked up.

    –bks

    • stuckinmass
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:34 am | Permalink | Reply

      Uh huh

    • TeaPartyPaul
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:35 am | Permalink | Reply

      Yep…we hear ya bks…come back election night…be glad to have ya

    • Tom
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:36 am | Permalink | Reply

      Ok, do you have any data to back those claims up, or do you just spew the lib talking points? Make your case.

      • Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:39 am | Permalink

        No, they never do. That’s why it has gotten really old, really fast. I just think “yawn” every time I see one of these.
        ~ Brittany

      • bks
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:56 am | Permalink

        I’ll back up every claim. But I’m just giving you the conventional wisdom. Let’s start with Ohio. In the past 25 polls Romney has led in three. 2 from Rasmussen and 1 from Wenzel Strategies.
        It is much more likely that Obama will win Florida than that Romney will win Ohio.

        –bks

      • Evan3457
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:08 am | Permalink

        That IS a lot of data, BKS. Unfortunately, most of it’s flawed. And not by a little.

      • Frederich
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:56 am | Permalink

        BKS – Obama is toast in Florida. He has lost the Catholic vote, lost a lot of the Jewish vote. He is barely winning his best counties – Broward and Palm Beach. He won both of those by 20 points in 2008.

    • Evan3457
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:42 am | Permalink | Reply

      You just stick to that narrative. Things’ll be just fine.

    • Angelina Joseph
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:48 am | Permalink | Reply

      Dream on.

    • Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:01 am | Permalink | Reply

      Yep. No chance of Democrats taking back the House and yet the electorate they are modeling in those polls indicate that they should retake it with that many Democrats voting. Sure, D+9 is reasonable. That D+9 poll for Florida was completely reasonable seeing as our governor and all elected cabinet members are Republican here, both houses in our state legislature are 2/3 majority Republican and 19 out of 25 of our current House seats are controlled by Republicans (3/4 of our House seats). Yeah, D+9 ALL THE WAY!

      Romney is winning Florida by 7-10 points and that may pull Mack over Nelson too. That’s why he’s been here over the past week.

      • Brad
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:30 am | Permalink

        And don’t forget early voting has D’s up by a paltry 1.8% now rather then 8% like four years ago when they ended with a mere 3% advantage over Rs. Duh. Everyone knows that Obama is going to exceed Hope and Change turnout numbers by 300% this cycle.

    • AC
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:49 am | Permalink | Reply

      Go back to your Dem websites bks. Garbage In Garbage Out on those polls. Any 2nd grader can average the poll results like Nate Silver does; only smart and experienced people can sift and analyze the data.

  9. GAF
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:38 am | Permalink | Reply

    Sandy beginning to deteriorate into a Katrina-like phenomenon on the East Coast and the unemployment rate expected to tick up to 7.9% tomorrow (per the NY Times). Wind rapidly coming out of the sails for Obama. Meanwhile, Romney is campaigning in PHILADELPHIA 2 days before the election. Can anyone say Mitt-mentum?

    • Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:40 am | Permalink | Reply

      I personally say “Ro-mentum” just because it sounds more like the word momentum but the message is of course the same. πŸ™‚
      ~ Brittany

      • Tom
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:49 am | Permalink

        I’ve seen you say Ro-mentum before, you rebel.

      • Angelina Joseph
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:51 am | Permalink

        πŸ™‚

      • Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:53 am | Permalink

        I blame Greg Gutfeld, he started me saying it. I will gladly start saying Mitt-mentum for you Tom! πŸ˜‰
        ~ Brittany

    • Tom
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:48 am | Permalink | Reply

      Mitt-Mentum

    • valleyforge
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:55 am | Permalink | Reply

      Gallup is reporting their seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for October dropped .5% to 7.4%. ADP reported 158k jobs under their apparently must more conservative methodology, up from 114k previous month. If true that’s good news for (some) American workers, but I’m apprehensive we’re going to get more freakish anomalies in the household survey that further conceal the real 11% unemployment rate and give Obama undeserved help at the last minute.

      • M. White
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:02 am | Permalink

        I agree, notice ADP reduced it’s numbers from the previous month, down almost 50,000 but it was revised later in the month, not well reported. So the numbers may look like 158,000 at this time, but I guarantee it will be revised down after the election, just like they have been for months now. I also see the number tomorrow being tampered with. Some of these states in the North East may not have reported all their numbers and will skew the job number. Also, it was reported today the people filing for unemployment fell 9,000 from last week, but it was not in the headline that NJ wasn’t able to report their numbers and also one more state but I didn’t catch what state that was. They will do anything to skew these numbers at this point.

      • GAF
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:04 am | Permalink

        Jobless rate seen rising, offering Obama no relief

        (Reuters) – The U.S. unemployment rate probably rose in October as employers stepped up hiring only slightly, underscoring President Barack Obama’s vulnerability in next week’s presidential election.

        Employers likely added 125,000 jobs to their payrolls last month, according to a Reuters survey of economists. That would be up from 114,000 in September, but would fall short of what is needed to quickly cut the jobless rate.

        Indeed, economists expect the unemployment rate — a key focus in the neck-and-neck race for the White House — to tick up by a tenth of a percentage point to 7.9 percent, reversing part of a surprise drop seen in September.

        http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/11/02/us-usa-economy-jobs-idUSBRE8A106620121102

      • AC
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:51 am | Permalink

        I read that the BLS had gathered all the necessary data before the Hurricane hit.

  10. M. White
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:49 am | Permalink | Reply

    http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/11/02/New-Jersey-Turns-Away-Nonunion-Relief-Crews
    Get a load of this…people suffering and unions are telling non-union workers that have traveled hundreds of miles to help out to be turned away! Christie, get of your ass and stand up to these union thugs while you still have a chance, get off your high horse of romance with “The One” and do your job! And one more thing, please stop talking about that stupid roller coaster you rode as a kid, my God man, people have lost everything, doubt they care about the coaster at this point!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! We all have memories but we have to grow up and move on!

  11. M. White
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:49 am | Permalink | Reply

    http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Peace/2012/11/01/Documents-found-Benghazi-troubling-surveillance
    Here’s another nail in the coffin!

    • EpiphoneKnight
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:04 am | Permalink | Reply

      Yeah. Biggest WH scandal ever (possibly) and least heard about.

  12. M. White
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:53 am | Permalink | Reply

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/george-will-obamas-empty-strident-campaign/2012/10/31/a674ca54-237d-11e2-8448-81b1ce7d6978_story.html?wprss=rss_opinions

  13. M. White
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:54 am | Permalink | Reply

    http://hotair.com/greenroom/archives/2012/11/01/iowa-slipping-away-from-team-obama/

  14. M. White
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:54 am | Permalink | Reply

    http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/10/31/hurricane-sandy-and-the-perils-of-nanny-state-governance/

  15. M. White
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 12:58 am | Permalink | Reply

    This is scary! Read carefully and with caution. This may turn out to be more true than I want to admit at this point. All I can do is pray!
    http://www.theblaze.com/stories/have-you-heard-about-spigot-cities-that-may-pump-votes-to-obama/
    Keith, can you look into the validity of this article??? John Fund makes some remarks and I find him creditable.

  16. bks
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:01 am | Permalink | Reply

    “Democrats crushing Republicans on sporadic Fla voters in early voting”

    http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/content/democrats-crushing-republicans-sporadic-fla-voters-early-voting

    –bks

    • Angelina Joseph
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:04 am | Permalink | Reply

      From a trusted Democratic operative ? Again dream on !

    • M. White
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:04 am | Permalink | Reply

      Lies and more lies from the Obama campaign! I think that was the point of the article.

    • Tom
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:06 am | Permalink | Reply

      The problem for dems is they only have a 59k early vote advantage. Not nearly enough to win FL. They are way behind their 2008 pace. Nice try though!

    • Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:09 am | Permalink | Reply

      60,000 votes is nothing in Florida. Secondly, those “sporadic” Democrats are mostly coming from the panhandle. Panhandle Democrats are notorious for voting for Republicans. In fact, Florida has a lot of old school Democrats who vote Republican. We usually have Democrat crossover that outpaces the rest of the country. A lot of them will be old school southern evangelicals who didn’t come out last time – many are senior citizens who will swing for Romney. Romney campaign is aware of them and thinks that more than 50% of those “sporadic” Democrats are actually likely breaking to Romney. In fact, we have targeted thousands of potential crossover Dems in door knocks and phone calls, so that number may be driven by the Romney campaign and not Obama.

      Obama’s campaign is grasping at straws. Florida is going to be R+2 or better when all is said and done. Romney will win by 7 or thereabouts here.

      • Frederich
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 2:03 am | Permalink

        Panhandle Democrats are blue dogs who usually vote Repub President and local canidate Dem, if they are not libs. Most white northern Dems in Florida are blue dogs. Pat Caddell is one and he despises Obama. Obama is barely winning Broward and Palm Beach counties which are his strong holds. He will lose Dade County and will lose the key I-4 corridor which runs from Tampa through ORlando and over to Daytona. Obama will lose FL. Obama phone banks in Tampa have been calling Ohio because they gave up on FL.

    • Evan3457
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:10 am | Permalink | Reply

      53K lead in sporadic early voters. Not nearly enough to offset the overall loss in early votes. But not bad. Made me swear for a moment.

      • MikeP
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 2:22 am | Permalink

        Remember, some of the democratic “sporadic” voter advantage comes from 2010 midterm ( where republicans had a 7 pt advantage) equal back out. I don’t think Romney will win by 7 pts, but could easily win by 1 or 2.

    • valleyforge
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:17 am | Permalink | Reply

      bks – apply some common sense. Obama is leading among the 400k early voters who haven’t voted in the last 3 general elections? Who do you suppose they are likely to be? Hmmm, perhaps people who weren’t old enough to vote in those earlier elections? That he leads by only 53k or about 13% is very bad for him.

      In any case, that 60k early vote lead (out of 3 million votes) will be a tire mark after the 400-500k election day Romney margin.

  17. valleyforge
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:06 am | Permalink | Reply

    I gotta say the MN-PA-MI move *could* easily be the finest bluff ever pulled in a presidential race. Axelrod/Plouffe have had the momentum narrative to themselves for so long they forget how to compete for it when it’s snatched away. It’s unlikely RR is so confident in OH, VA, and IA that they are gambling precious time on apparent longshots for their own value. These visits are intended for audiences in OH and other knife-edge states to rally supporters. And it’s working beautifully.

    I say this having predicted back in June that Romney would sweep all three of these states. And if Gallup/Rasmussen’s partisan ID is correct they will. But even if not, as a late campaign tactic it’s brilliant.

    • Tom
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:07 am | Permalink | Reply

      I agree Romney will win all 3.

    • Brad
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:21 am | Permalink | Reply

      Tom, he might win PA after this weekend’s hail mary is thrown. No chance in MN or MI.

      • Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:27 am | Permalink

        Disagree, though I think Minnesota is more likely than Michigan. Gay marriage ban is polling over 60% there and that will bring out a lot of Romney voters.

      • Brad
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:33 am | Permalink

        Gay marriage traditionally has support of a good chunk of Ds so I really don’t see that issue on the ballot as carrying RR. Would like to be wrong about that. I do see MN only going down by a couple points as it continues its trend more R, like its neighbor to the east.

    • Ken in Bama
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:28 am | Permalink | Reply

      The more I think about it the more I agree with you. Either he believes these states are in play or it’s a brilliant move to regain the momentum and fire up the base and hopefully independents and undecideds nationwide. I think only PA is a possibility right now, but it helps dramatically with WI and OH. I can imagine every Republican from Minnesota-Philly are fired up that we can really make a statement. Either way it’s a brilliant move at just the right time.

      With Obama being forced to campaign with everything going on from Sandy and it becoming apparent that it isn’t being handled as easily as he hoped, and the jobs report coming out tomorrow will leave a very bad taste in a lot of mouths over the next 4 days.

      • Brad
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:37 am | Permalink

        Yeah and again, I see MN and MI only being about 3-5 points down by Tues…and I think this is why they’re willing to throw some bucks at it and toss Ryan out there for a visit or two. If they send Mitt to MI on Monday/Tuesday, then I get excited because it means they’re seeing rapid movement that has broke their way over the weekend. One thing is for sure, it’s great to have options like this so late, and to have these states so close together so that you can barnstorm through 3 or 4 of them in a single day if you so choose..

  18. mchlgregg
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:25 am | Permalink | Reply

    Reblogged this on Michael Gregg.

  19. Mike
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:26 am | Permalink | Reply

    bks, is nothing but a troll…..nothing to see there guys…….Romney is going to win and there is not doubt in my mind about that…..

    • Ken in Bama
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:32 am | Permalink | Reply

      I go from being nervous to being confident a few times each day. My gut tells me Romney wins and I usually go with my gut. But I am stuck in Alabama and there isn’t a whole lot of Obama love down here to give me a real perspective on what’s going on in the swing states. Luckily I have this site to give me some facts and numbers to back up my gut.

      • Hestrold
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:40 am | Permalink

        Have the same but opposite problem. I go from nervous to confident all day long, but I’m in California and I’m surrounded by leftists. But even here only one Obama sign in my neighborhood. Four years ago they were like a forest.

      • Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:53 am | Permalink

        I’m in Oregon. I grudgingly accept it will go Obama, but there is no noticeable enthusiasm for Obama up here.

      • MikeS
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 2:05 am | Permalink

        I’m right in the heart of the biggest swing state….Ohio. Not only that but one of the most sought after counties in Ohio (Lucas Co., Toledo). I swear the last month has been non stop TV and radio ads. Every time a show goes to commercial you can bet on at least 1 or 2 ads. Even radio commercials have non stop ads. I’ll be glad when it’s finally over.

    • AC
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:56 am | Permalink | Reply

      bks needs to get back under his bridge — where the trolls live!

      • Guest
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 5:07 am | Permalink

        Trolls ought to turn to stone when the dawn comes on November 7.

  20. Haus
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:48 am | Permalink | Reply

    Clark County results are out. Dem advantage today was just under 6000. Total advantage is ~60,000

  21. Brad
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 1:54 am | Permalink | Reply

    This is funny…

    http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/332248/romneys-friday-night-ohio-rally-features-everyone-everyone

    Everyone is coming! Except the President’s new favorite governor….

  22. jeff
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 2:17 am | Permalink | Reply

    JUST RELEASED. ROMNEY 51 OBAMA 47 TCJ TRACKING POLL WITH D+2.

    • AC
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 2:20 am | Permalink | Reply

      Here’s a link.
      http://tcjresearch.wordpress.com/

    • Brad
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 2:22 am | Permalink | Reply

      Hey don’t do what I did earlier today…. Everyone” this is for WI, not national.

      • Brad
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 2:24 am | Permalink

        Oh wait…I did do it again…it was national. Good grief. I’m going to bed now.

    • Aaron
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 3:22 am | Permalink | Reply

      Hate to say it but these people are really just spam pollsters. Made up out of thin air, posted on a WordPress blog… oy.

      We all would love to believe it but let’s not lower our collective intelligence just to do so.

    • Medicine Man
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 6:45 am | Permalink | Reply

      Don’t look right. Indies in WI have never trended towards mitt. His lead had been through the intensity of the GOP….

  23. MikeP
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 2:50 am | Permalink | Reply

    David Alexrod admits he will lose independents in Ohio (in a conference call).

    • AussieMarcus
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 5:34 am | Permalink | Reply

      Redstate linked to a story about a conference call Romney had with his supporters/fundraisers.

      Asked on his opinion of the state of the race, Romney was very bullish “Well nothing’s a certainty and we’re not getting ahead of ourselves, but it’s looking really good for us right now”.

      Of course, you might argue that he would say that no matter what. But there’s no benefit in lying this late in the game. And if he was losing, he’d something more like “We’ve tried our best….win lose or draw I thank you for all your help, etc”. You know, a bit like those mournful emails Obama is sending to his supporters!

      Also mentioned in the story is a GOP pollsters, who assesses how well the Repubs are doing. He was suprisingly Eeyorish on Ohio “Bounces from two points down to two points up”, but talked about New Mexico, Minn and Michigan as being seriously in play.

      Interesting read.

  24. Posted November 2, 2012 at 4:52 am | Permalink | Reply

    Remember all the flack that Romney took over the add that Chrysler would build cars in China,
    Well Yes, Chrysler said it would produce some Jeeps in China.
    Romney did not say they were taking jobs out of Ohio only that they were planning to build cars there.
    Stuart Varney was on Cavuto yesterday and said the add was absolutely correct. Yesterday the CEO announced that they would build cars there. Obama hammer Bain on outsourcing and Romney saying basically they are doing the
    same thing but of course Dem’s don’t like that.

  25. Rick
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 5:51 am | Permalink | Reply

    Some reasons why MN may be in play this year….

    1. Depressed Democratic enthusiasm – I commute 40-50 miles/day through the bluest of the Twin Cities. I can count the number of Obama bumper stickers that I see during my rush-hour drive on one hand!! That is the polar opposite from 2008 in which every third car had an Obama bumper sticker. Regardless of this anecdote, MN voters always turn out in high numbers but will vote for third party or independent candidates if they don’t like their own party’s. Many Dems here may vote Green Party here this cycle.

    2. Marriage Amendment – It is a huge deal this year with several ramifications. It is going to drive a lot of people to the polls this cycle. White urban liberals and libertarians will vote against it and white suburban/rural “values” voters will vote for it. Polling here shows a 50/50 split on the amendment which may help Republicans slightly. The urban African-American vote is a whole different matter. Obama’s support for gay marriage has cost him the enthusiasm (if not the support) of his most reliable voters…urban African-Americans. There are NO lawn signs supporting Obama in the black neighborhoods of north Minneapolis. Compared to 2008, the difference is almost unbelievable. A high black voter turnout may help Obama somewhat (since these voters are unlikely to vote Romney in significant numbers) but could also lead to passage of the amendment. My guess is that African-American voter turnout will be below 2008.

    Historically, MN is a tough state for any Republican presidential candidate. This could be the year to go red….

  26. Di
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 7:01 am | Permalink | Reply

    I know a 60 year old woman who has never voted in her life. She recently registered, and is planning to vote Romney/Ryan. She told me that all her friends from church and family, several of whom will be voting also for the first time are doing the same. Now to work on my confused 18 year old who thinks everything on CNN is straight down the middle and neutral.

    • Tara
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 8:29 am | Permalink | Reply

      Which is why the voting age should be increased to 21. All these college kids need to be get out into the real world and experience what it takes to survive before being allowed to vote. Otherwise all we’re left with is ‘hope and change’.

      • Di
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 10:38 am | Permalink

        I wholeheartedly agree! The problem with these young guys is this voting choice gets all mixed up with their developmental psychology – in other words they want to be independent, and so they think being independent is voting in an opposite direction from their parents. I take solace though in the fact that a very liberal, Jewish family I know, the parents are going R/R, but the 18 year old (friend of my son), still stuck on Obama. But, last election they all went for Obama. So progress, one vote at a time.

    • Tom
      Posted November 2, 2012 at 8:42 am | Permalink | Reply

      You should ban CNN from your house, except on comedy/fiction night(s).

      • Di
        Posted November 2, 2012 at 10:29 am | Permalink

        Seriously! Anyone have some good resources for helping our public-school brainwashed 18 year olds to make an informed decision? I need a good comparison of the issues complete with facts. Something he can digest in about 5-10 minutes – his current patience/attention span. πŸ™‚

  27. Di
    Posted November 2, 2012 at 7:03 am | Permalink | Reply

    Oh, and I’m from very blue Albemarle, Virginia…one if those battleground areas.

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