Paul Ryan to Campaign in Minnesota TODAY!

I has gotten this rumor earlier today but checked the official site and found nothing. But now this…

From the Associated Press:

Paul Ryan coming to MSP airport, Hudson event today

Paul Ryan will make a stop at the Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport this evening. He is scheduled to arrive at 4:15 p.m.

He will then head for a storm relief and volunteer appreciation event in Hudson, Wis. The Romney-Ryan campaign will be collecting supplies at their campaign offices to deliver to those affected by the East Coast storm.

Minnesota poll tonight:

That’s 7pm ET. I’ll do my best to break the poll down. Last time Survey USA’s awful poll inspired me to write that Minnesota would be this year’s election night surprise, so who knows what’s in store for us with this result.

 

56 Comments

  1. Pete
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 12:52 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Exciting, but looks like a “dip the toe in the pool” sort of approach. Hope it is more than that however.

    • nvClark
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:15 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Dip the toe in the pool? That would be really crazy. It would be like dipping your toe in the pool 15 minutes before you know your mom is going to call you home for dinner (apologies to kids these days who never get to leave the yard without parental supervision). It’s not time for toes, it’s time to get in or stay out (so you don’t have to spend a bunch of time drying off before dinner). My guess would be closer to the idea that it is a small buy so as not to freak out the media who will probably only give a lot of coverage to the first buy, then they can make much larger buys without as much close scrutiny. The media glare and being watched affects people, perhaps they want that to be minimized as they run ads in Minnesota. I admit that this contention is kind of odd but I can’t imagine how putting a toe in the water at this point is anything but a pointless abundance of timidity.

    • nvClark
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:18 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Oops, my bad, I was mixing up the Pennsylvania ad buy and the Ryan Minnesota visit. Got my wires crossed, sorry about that.

  2. Dave
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 12:55 pm | Permalink | Reply

    “Gov. Christie: Obama deserves “great credit” for storm response”

    If Christie is out saying this kind of thing, no matter how true it may be, 1 week before a pres election, you have to wonder if they already know who the winner will be.

    http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-505263_162-57542354/gov-christie-obama-deserves-great-credit-for-storm-response/?tag=MaxDeep

    • stuckinmass
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 12:57 pm | Permalink | Reply

      It’s the right thing to do. I suspect he doesn’t want to be seen as politicizing the storm

      • Pete
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:22 pm | Permalink

        Exactly. It strains credibility to think a Dem governor doing the same for a GOP incumbent prior to election.

    • Chris
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:05 pm | Permalink | Reply

      I wouldn’t read anything into it. Frankly, I’m not sure what Obama has done that’s so special…other than his job, that is. Which, in the face of the last four years and, especially, the events in Benghazi, is I guess a nice surprise.

      • RhodyKev
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:53 pm | Permalink

        Right – he could be doing alot more. He could tour some relief shelters show moral support and urge and appeal to the country to donate time and treasure to help with some of that lofty rhertic . I agree with other posts saying he’s depressed and has essentailly thrown in the towel. A pity it’s affecting what a president could be doing to rally the country in the aftermath of this storm.

    • DAMIEN
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:35 pm | Permalink | Reply

      how dare christie show some class…so lets spin it…nice try dave

    • Dave
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:45 pm | Permalink | Reply

      “how dare christie show some class…so lets spin it…nice try dave”

      Spin? No. The point being…there’s such a cushion he feels comfortable to heap praise. Let’s be real. These guys are politicians. So much $$$ have been spent and time and energy, don’t muck it up now with an unknown variable by complimenting your opponent…I don’t care how much class we think it has….the right thing to do at this point is getting your man into the white house. Accolades can come after Nov 6. If this were close (and it’s not in his state so use that as context) no way would I want any high profile repub focusing positive attention on my opponent. It’s not a sin (or politicizing) to just keep quiet and there’s plenty of time to do the “right thing” after the election.

      • stuckinmass
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:51 pm | Permalink

        Except this struck before the election. I don’t think it’s wise to start something like the post-Katrina blame-game. That could spiral out of control and have unpredictable effects, maybe backfiring, stopping Romney’s momentum or giving Obama a chance to score some points. He should be saying what he is saying

    • Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:51 pm | Permalink | Reply

      VERY proper response from the Governor of a state in a disaster area. I applaud Obama for FINALLY putting his job above politics and cancelling his campaign stops to head back to handle the storm. I think everyone across the board has learned from the issues of Katrina. I do not consider Katrina’s issues MISTAKES by the federal government. They were gross errors by the governor of LA and the mayor of New Orleans for not formally requesting disaster aid which the federal government cannot storm into a state without that request.

      Govs and Mayors have learned to ask for it straight away and the federal government has learned to be ready to declare and provide aid at a moments notice. Really what this does is free up using federal resources and federal disaster monies for clean-ups so that storms not bakrupt states and cities.

      Obama is in a tenuous position in that he has to do his job but cannot be see as grand standing.

      • Svigor
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 9:50 pm | Permalink

        I think everyone across the board has learned from the issues of Katrina.

        Agreed. Gun ownership is way up post-Katrina.

  3. zang
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:02 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Surveyusa has had a pretty strong Democrat lean all year

    • Eric
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:28 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Survey USA has been horrible in all their polls so far. They have Florida tied. If they have Minnesota within 7 that’ll be a good sign.

  4. John
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:24 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Romeny camp memo on expanding the electoral map to Pennsylvania and other “blue” states: http://www.mittromney.com/blog/memo-pennsylvania I hope this isn’t all a giant shell game. The only thing for sure is that I will be hungover on Wed Nov 7th, either in despare or jubilation (hopefully the later).

    • stuckinmass
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:54 pm | Permalink | Reply

      So what if it is? They are making Obama defend these states, and that means less resources for him in the states that matter 🙂 Plus it has to be demoralizing to the other side

  5. M.Remmerde
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:31 pm | Permalink | Reply

    I am getting a sick feeling in my stomach that this is less of R/R making a play to expand the map…and that’s it more of an admission of “Ohio is stubbornly sticky, and we need an alternate, desperation path to 270.”

    I need some updated Ohio early vote numbers to assuage my fear.

    • Haus
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:36 pm | Permalink | Reply

      I am with you Remmerde. Favorable Ohio data would be welcome. I am all for expanding the map and hope that this is not just to find an alternative path.

      • SR
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:43 pm | Permalink

        If this was simply a headfake, why would Bill Clinton, their star campaigner, be going to MN, when he could be spending time in OIHO?

    • DAMIEN
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:37 pm | Permalink | Reply

      ya minnesota within three per the red star tribune…oh that desperation…romney is in trouble

    • Chris
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:42 pm | Permalink | Reply

      If so, Obama wouldn’t be spending money in those blue states, or sending surrogates there. No reason to if he’s got them in the bag. Just compare to ’08…Obama was expanding into red states at this point. Now? He’s defending bluish ones.

    • zang
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:43 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Well, there is favorable data… Rasmussen and that 49-49 poll from the Ohio Newspapers.

    • Brian
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:44 pm | Permalink | Reply

      So basically you’re siding with……………….Stephanie Cutter and Jim Messina.

      Absurd.

    • stuckinmass
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 2:05 pm | Permalink | Reply

      If MN and PA are that close, then other republican-friendly states have to be even closer. Correct me if I’m wrong, but if you are plotting an alternate map to 270 without Ohio, MN and PA are not your first picks?

      For instance FL-VA-NC-CO-NV-IA and either NH or ME-2 gets him to 270 without OH, MN, WI, or PA. I think that’s a doable path except NV might be tough.

    • Posted October 30, 2012 at 2:56 pm | Permalink | Reply

      i too feel nervous, very very nervous. But as someone said to me yesterday…if Ohio is lost….Pennsylvania and Minnesotta would probable be the last two blue state’s you’d pick to try and flip last minute.
      Most would double down on Iowa, Colorado, NH and Nevada before you’d go into MN and PA.

      There is something to this…not sure it is winnable. But the thinking may be you pull MN and PA close enough (1-2 pts) then you pull the rest of the country to your favor. The odds Romney (or anyone) wins the popular vote by more than 2 points and loses would be very very slim.

      I think they are cautiously optimistic about Ohio. I think there could be some worry about losing Virginia though and perhaps these two states are to offset that….other issue is looks like end of week before we will get polling back. With power out, phones out, cell towers out going to be hard to get accurate counts East

  6. lotmini
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:38 pm | Permalink | Reply

    this race is over. Do not fear. RR will sweep all “swings states” and a couple of surprises.

  7. zang
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:39 pm | Permalink | Reply

    I read that Obama has now cancelled campaigning for Wednesday as well. People on this blog seem to discount the impact of the storm, but I am definitely more than a bit nervous. Obama is going “Rose Garden” strategy for the final week. It is hard to know how people will react.

    • Brian
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:45 pm | Permalink | Reply

      You know who else tried the Rose Garden strategy? Jimmy Carter.

    • SR
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:46 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Maybe he knows its a lost cause. Or maybe he hopes that will make Mitt give up campaigning too? maybe to appear presidential? This guy was willing to go to a fundraiser after Bengazi….he would only stop campaigning if he thinks he will get something from it. People forget, but he never went to New Orleans for the longest time two years back, till Carville had to yell at him.

    • nvClark
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:56 pm | Permalink | Reply

      I kind of hope he does, because if he makes one wrong move or says the smallest thing indelicately it could really backfire. Plus I’m not sure what the upside is because anything that he does it is his job to do. So at best he looks like he’s doing his job, and at worst he bungles it. It’s a razors edge to try to play a public tragedy for political capital and if Obama’s strategy is to walk that edge then he must be really desperate.

    • Porchlight
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 5:02 pm | Permalink | Reply

      It’s very hard for a guy like Obama not to politicize something like this, so his people must understand the danger and are keeping him under wraps. Plus I think was said in previous threads, Obama is probably happy to be “forced” to take a break. He looks every bit like a guy who knows he’s going to lose.

      • Posted October 30, 2012 at 8:14 pm | Permalink

        I saw Obama on TV tonight and he appeared drawn, downcast, somber, and resigned. And it had nothing to do with Sandy.

  8. lotmini
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:46 pm | Permalink | Reply

    think about the status of the race a month ago. We were told Obama was a shoe. in. Then it was tied for a couple of weeks, then RR had a small lead and would probably win pop vote but obama would win college. Now its RR will win pop vote and is buying ads in PA, MN etc. Look at the map from 2008. ask urself, will Obama do better or worse than 08? Hint, he didnt even fight for IN this time. All u have to do in all the presidential races every four yrs is decide if the winner last time will do better or worse and then look how the race trends and see where they campaign. Obama is just trying to stem a blowout. OH has been over for a while. even bfore the first debate, RR was doing 9% better than mccain in early vote. Fear not, RR are building a landslide win.

    • EpiphoneKnight
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 5:14 pm | Permalink | Reply

      I think your reasoning is right. O isn’t interested in Indiana or Montana or Arizona… although he is still pushing for NC and VA. If Mitt’s campaign isn’t furiously defending Montana, Arizona, Indiana, etc…. they’re either missing something or they are winning.

  9. zang
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:46 pm | Permalink | Reply

    One thing I’ve noticed is Obama lackeys seem to be out daily spinning poll numbers and early voter data, and there is hardly a word from the Romney campaign itself. The response to the Obama spin is left to blogs like this and Adrian Gray on twitter. Kind of odd.

    • nvClark
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:52 pm | Permalink | Reply

      I kind of hope he does, because if he makes one wrong move or says the smallest thing indelicately it could really backfire. Plus I’m not sure what the upside is because anything that he does it is his job to do. So at best he looks like he’s doing his job, and at worst he bungles it. It’s a razors edge to try to play a public tragedy for political capital and if Obama’s strategy is to walk that edge then he must be really desperate.

    • nvClark
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:54 pm | Permalink | Reply

      oops, posted in the wrong place, shouldn’t have refreshed page, I’m gonna quit posting after this, I’m obviously losing it. 🙂

  10. lotmini
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:50 pm | Permalink | Reply

    zang, RR do not want to say outloud, we are winning and may win big. No need to motivate the other side. If you are winning, with time still to go, you dont talk trash. You keep playing hard with class.

  11. Bob
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:55 pm | Permalink | Reply

    I agree it’s odd about Christie.

    There’s plenty of time to say nice things later. Unless he feels he has to say nice things now to get the response his state needs, which might also be a possibility.

    As fara as Ryan and Minnesota go, they have to be careful. With the president not campaigning, they have to walk the line by not appearing crass and taking advantage of the situation.

    Frankly, with the mo on Romney’s side, I think the president is just fine with a “time out,” especially one that lets people see him in the trappings of office in a “normal” way.

    • zang
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 1:58 pm | Permalink | Reply

      I believe that Biden and Clinton have continued to campaign, so there is certainly no reason why Ryan needs to stop.

      As far as Christie, he strikes me as pretty self-centered, as was noted by the tenor of his convention speech, which hardly even mentioned Romney at all.

      • Svigor
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 9:57 pm | Permalink

        Really, Biden and Clinton campaigning give Romney the green light, never mind Ryan. Biden is the VPotUS, but he can campaign and Romney can’t? Which duties would Romney be shirking, exactly?

    • Dave
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 2:41 pm | Permalink | Reply

      There’s no potential upside to it. No ones going to vote for R because Christie is showing “class.” There is potential downside to reminding people Obama has been on top of things domestically in response situations and is working in a bipartisan way. In NJ it probably doesn’t matter. Elsewhere not as clear cut unless there’s a bigger cushion than we realize. Or, maybe he does need the $$$.

      • Porchlight
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 4:57 pm | Permalink

        Indies hate what they perceive as partisan mudslinging. It’s all about indies now. Don’t rock the boat is the strategy as far as I see it. Plus, Christie does have his own job to do in NJ right now. For better or for worse, his state will need federal help. It’s not all about the Romney campaign.

  12. nvClark
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 2:08 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Supposedly Obama is at the White House “monitoring the storm”… but the possible double meaning of that just struck me. Which storm is he monitoring? Sandy? Or the storm of Romney momentum?

  13. Bob San Diego
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 3:00 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Just … ugh.

    Politico Headline: Hurricane Sandy 2012: Chris Christie heaps praise on Obama

    Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1012/83042.html#ixzz2AoIITEMk

    And frankly, by the quotes I’ve read, the headline isn’t an exaggeration.

    • wmart
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 3:32 pm | Permalink | Reply

      The glowing press that Obama is getting out of this is every bit as bad as I feared. I was assuming Christie believes that Obama is going to win, and so wants to stay on his good side.

      • Posted October 30, 2012 at 3:46 pm | Permalink

        no way…this is called your state just got smacked in the face hard by a storm. You HAVE to thank the president. Because by Christie doing that coupled with Romney not campaigning a couple of days you have taken a big stick out of Obama’s hand…he has to play nice. If he comes in and makes any comment about Romney not supporting FEMA or this is why you have a big fed government…he is instantly seen as politicizing a disaster.

      • Svigor
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 9:58 pm | Permalink

        If glowing press mattered, it’d be 0bama in a landslide.

  14. M. White
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 4:17 pm | Permalink | Reply

    I have a question for all of you? The last two days each time Obama has spoken to the nation about the storm he finds a way to say “Lean Forward”. Has anyone else noticed this? When I heard him earlier today he said when talking about power companies and workers telling them to lean forward. This is his campaign slogan “Forward” which I have never understood. I think it’s stupid but when you talk to Obama supporters all you hear is “Forward”. I mean everybody moves forward, it’s something we do naturally so not sure what the slogan mean exactly. But it’s almost as if he and his campaign are attempting to indoctrinate people with their slogans and I forgot, MSNBC’s slogan is “Lean Forward”. The irony! Maybe it’s a shout out to them or some way of trying to convince people to watch MSNBC. Just not sure what the heck it means??? Can someone enlighten me???

    • Bob San Diego
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 4:31 pm | Permalink | Reply

      It’s a part of politics.

      While a policy decision shouldn’t usually be made *because* of politics (although of course they sometimes are), if one is making a decision the political implications are almost always considered.

      If you can get your message out while effectively implementing what you honestly believe is the right policy, then frankly there’s not a lot wrong with that.

      • Porchlight
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 4:58 pm | Permalink

        Fortunately “lean forward” means just about zip to most Americans other than the MSNBC crowd that Obama already has in the bag.

    • TheTorch
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 4:59 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Obama though has to be careful with this – if he over plays his hand like he usually does, this will look like blatant political opportunism instead of being presidential. If that was to happen, that is the sort of thing that could lose him another state.
      Romney also needs to be very careful, the media are just waiting to rip him to pieces for anything, the slightest error will be made to be a zillion times worse than it actually is. I think his approach so far, is correct, he must keep it up, and be one step ahead.

      and this article at Ulsterman, pretty much sums up how I see this whitehouse and obama, and why Romney needs to be extra careful:
      http://theulstermanreport.com/2012/10/30/white-house-insider-obama-campaign-declares-gonna-shove-this-storm-up-romneys-ass-whi/

      • EpiphoneKnight
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 5:21 pm | Permalink

        So a hurricane hits and all the sudden Obama’s won? Something does not feel right about that at all. On the other hand, I couldn’t see why that “financial crisis” in ’08 election that he helped cause, made O win either. I think Mitt has this race wrapped up. I don’t believe the storm is gonna help O at all. If anything, it hurts him, since it may lower turnout in PA and other places and help Mitt there.

  15. M. White
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:51 pm | Permalink | Reply

    I have to say I am more than worried about this. Gov. Christie could have said that the federal government is working as it should and that he had been in contact with the President and was assured he would get help. But he went out of his way to heap praise on Obama. He was very disrespectful to Romney on Fox and Friends when they mentioned Romney may want to come to NJ to look at the damage. Christie said he wasn’t interested in him coming and didn’t give a damn about presidential politics. He was basically saying that Romney would be seeking to politize the situation but heaped praise on Obama coming to tour NJ. Something doesn’t smell right. Maybe something happened before the storm between Christie and the Romney campaign that pissed him off. Not sure what it would be but I think his comments which are being played over and over again on CNN and MSNBC and the broadcast networks will really hurt Romney. I know he is in a tough situation with the storm devastating his state but to directly dismiss Romney and praise Obama is very fishy. And not just on Fox but on MSNBC, CNN, CBS and so on. This will be seen on a wide variety of stations all over the country. And he knew it when he made the comments. People for some reason think Christie is great but from what I have seen he does what is good for him and only him which reminds me of someone else. His speech at the RNC convention was heavily promoted by the liberal media as being more about him rather than Romney. He will rip into Obama when it’s good at the time but turncoat when it’s beneficial to him. He is not a true conservative Republican anyway, not in my book. Christie has his own ambitions. He could care less about Romney. He knows if Romney wins he will be forgiven and if he doesn’t he has a new friend in Obama and then his eyes are on 2016! Either way he wins! But he did his party and their candidate a great disservice today in the midst of tragedy and a presidential election. One more thing if Romney looses Republicans will be quick to blame Christie and they would be right in doing so. This late in a campaign regardless of disasters his comments were devastating to the narrative that Obama lacks leadership and bipartisanship. His comments poke a huge hole in what had been working for Romney especially after Libya! I think we have real reason to be worried, even Fox is talking about it so it must be bad!

  16. Posted October 31, 2012 at 6:16 am | Permalink | Reply

    Check out the new Forward slogan O has adopted. “Forward” — a word with a long and rich association with European Marxism.
    http://www.washingtontimes.com/blog/inside-politics/2012/apr/30/new-obama-slogan-has-long-ties-marxism-socialism/
    They are confirming what we have all known for a long time.

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