How serious is Romney in Pennsylvania, Minnesota, and Michigan?

Mark Murray of NBC has the ad spending numbers from the Romney campaign and his SuperPAC supporters:

Plenty of this money is the SuperPAC moreso than the actual Romney campaign, but the point stands that in these outer Battlegrounds Team Romney is committing serious dollars at a 3:1 pace over Obama.

79 Comments

  1. Brian
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:22 pm | Permalink | Reply

    jmartpolitico ‏@jmartpolitico

    I’m told it’s 7 figures RT @mmurraypolitics:Earlier, ad trackers noted Romney’s PA buy was $120K+. That’s now been upped to at least $785K..

    • AC
      Posted October 31, 2012 at 12:22 am | Permalink | Reply

      I would like to see even more spending in MN, PA, and MI. Does someone know how much money Romney and his Superpacs have in the bank? Seems like they could afford to spend 3, 4, 5 times those amounts and still have plenty left for the other battleground states. I also want to see more spending in Maine.

      • Guest
        Posted October 31, 2012 at 4:26 am | Permalink

        How much money can you spend in Maine? And for one district’s electoral vote… :p

        Wisconsin needs a blitz as well. With lots of Walker, Ryan, Johnson, and Thompson.

    • Tbowflyer
      Posted October 31, 2012 at 10:26 am | Permalink | Reply

      Brian I posted this reply way down in the thread, but here’s my take in case all of us miss it:

      Folks – I haven’t seen anyone post this scenario here, but here’s my take on why the RR Campaign is spending money in these other states. I feel they KNOW they have the key swing states locked up (VA, FL, and yes OH) which will get Romney to 270. What I think they are worried about is that IF Romney JUST squeaks by in say OH, by let’s say and I am guessing <100,000 votes, gets 271 EVs to Obama's 267, then Obama could force a recount challenge there or wait another 13 days for the provisional ballots to come in and draw out the election results even further. I think team Romney wants to avoid this and pick up another non-key swing state like PA, MI or WI (MN not as much) and have that "insurance" policy that gets him over 300 EVs. This way, if OH or one of the other states is close, and he (Romney) picks up WI, PA, MI or all three, there is no way Obama can challenge and the election is over. I think this is the most logical reasoning. If you read the Romney scenario between the lines, the mention the "path to 300" which tells me they want insurance in case it's a close call in OH. My 2 cents.

  2. zang
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:25 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Adrian Gray says watch where candidates go, not where they spend.

    • Brad
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:30 pm | Permalink | Reply

      It’s both….but I’d certainly agree that I’d put more weight on where Romney is (not Ryan).

  3. Brad
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:27 pm | Permalink | Reply

    9.7M to 3M…yeah, that’s pretty beefy for ad buys. Interesting.

  4. Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:30 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Where will Romney be over the next few days? Anyone know?

    • stephanie
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:54 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Tomorrow Romney will be in FL, tomorrow night he has a rally n Jacksonville.

  5. Kirk
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:33 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Is anyone else worried that we are expanding into these outside states because the internal polls show us severely down in Ohio? I’m encouraged by the early vote and what I’m seeing on the ground but I can’t shake off the feeling that this might be a last gasp desperate effort by Romney. Lol! I guess it’s that ‘too good to be true’ mentality. Cant’ wait for November 6th! Let’s get this done

    • Medicine Man
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:38 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Do you need any links to early voting or absentee requests which compare to 2008? Every time I look at that, I sleep like a baby.

    • William Jefferson
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:42 pm | Permalink | Reply

      If he was “severely” down in Ohio, I doubt that happened overnight. If he was severely down in Ohio, he would have been in Minnesota and PA earlier, harder.

    • stuckinmass
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:42 pm | Permalink | Reply

      severly down? no
      very close? maybe
      look at it this way.. Romney now has several paths to 270 that dont require Oh
      Obama doesnt. if he loses OH he’s done. if he loses PA he’s done. That romney is moving into these states shows he is on office and Obama is not in a good spot.

      You don’t see Obama moving into any solid red states, do you?

      • stuckinmass
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:43 pm | Permalink

        ugh, damn autocorrect made my post unreadable!

    • Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:57 pm | Permalink | Reply

      The opposite really. Romney has never moved on from a state unless he was certain he’s wrapped it up or at worst is looking very strong. He was doing rallies in North Carolina weeks after Obama had packed up and moved out.

      If he was truly worried about Ohio, he’d be camped out there all week, holding rallies in every town for 7 days running. Clearly, he feels confident enough to being expanding into bluer states.

    • Ron
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:24 pm | Permalink | Reply

      I think the fact that some on the left are criticizing Obama is some indication that there’s tremendous disappointment with his campaign. Look at the media’s unhappiness lately. Not a cheerful face in the crowd. They certainly can smell defeat a mile away.

    • Posted October 31, 2012 at 12:04 am | Permalink | Reply

      1,257,320 early voters in Ohio. Roughly 80,000 more Dems than Repubs have voted. If we assume Dems are as loyal to the nominee as Repubs (every poll shows they lag in this area by 2-4%), that’s an 80,000 vote lead among early voting D’s and R’s with early voting 80% done. That would point to an Obama early voting edge among D’s and R’s of 100,000.

      More than 140,000 more Repubs showed up for McCain on election day last time than Dems showed up for Obama, during the biggest Democratic wave since 1964. If Romney equals that (he will exceed it), he wins Ohio, even if he runs even among Ohio independents. His average lead among Ohio independents is in double digits.

      Most probable outcome:

      a) early voting D’s and R’s – Obama +100,000

      b) election day D’s and R’s – Romney +150,000 to 200,000

      c) independents (1,700,000 X 8%) = 136,000

      RESULT: Romney by 186,000 to 236,000, which is 3 to 5%. With regard to the polls, Rasmussen, Suffolk and the Cincinnatti Enquirer all are setting up this scenario. SurveyUSA did a D+8 poll (2008 = D+5) and still only had Obama by 1. A half dozen organizations who are deeply committed to reelecting our first black president and most liberal president have published D+8 polls that show Obama 2-4. I readily concede if election day is D+8, Romney loses, just as an R+7 poll would show Obama losing. Neither is going to happen and these organizations know it.

      In order to somehow keep Obama in the game, Obama cheerleaders like Professor McDonald at GMU and Nate Silver have floated the theory that massive numbers of Democrats voted in the Republican primary and are now switching back to vote for Obama, so his early voting lead is really much larger. This is what people say when they are going to lose. It fails to account for the fact that Obama’s D+ advantage in Ohio is down in the same proportion to his Florida, Iowa and Colorado numbers and it fails to account for the fact that the 2012 GOP primary had voter numbers in line with the 2004 and 2008 primaries, adjusted for population growth and competitiveness. It also fails to account for the fact that there was no surge to Santorum and THERE IS NO EVIDENCE WHATSOEVER TO SUPPORT THIS IDIOTIC ARGUMENT.

      If Nate Silver came out and said what I am saying tomorrow, you would see Dem enthusiasm collapse and all the Europeans investing in intrade (long story) would drop Obama to zero. Ben Smith even tweeted that he had discussed this very fact with Silver. This is why neither Nate Silver nor anyone else with influence is going to admit that Obama does not have enough of an early vote lead to carry Ohio.

      • Evan3457
        Posted October 31, 2012 at 12:11 am | Permalink

        Bingo. Wish I’d said this.

      • C-Bus GOP
        Posted October 31, 2012 at 12:35 am | Permalink

        You are right about the “D’s masquerading as R’s” BS in Ohio. I’ve looked at primary and election totals the last several years. There is not a shred of evidence to support this.

        I would wonder though, how many R’s crossed the lines to vote for Hillary in 2008 (per Rush Limbaugh’s recommendation in that tight primary) and skipped the 2012 primary as it was non-competitive – and now have D ballots for this election. I’m willing to bet Nate Silver has not considered this possibility…..

      • Ron
        Posted October 31, 2012 at 1:18 am | Permalink

        Bingo. People have lives. There are not that many people around willing to take time out to play games.

      • jeff
        Posted October 31, 2012 at 3:32 am | Permalink

        Correct me if Im wrong but it would seem that the Romney campaign feels that it hss banked enough early votes in places like Ohio and Colorado thst it feels pretty confident of victory through a strong GOTV on election day.

      • Medicine Man
        Posted October 31, 2012 at 6:53 am | Permalink

        Do those include absentee’s? (That 1.257 mill #). I see it on the website. I know there is about 80k difference in about 80k in requests in absentees also…but obviously, they have to be returned..just wondered if you’re 80k difference number you got (where u got it) and if it was an update from 10/30…

  6. petep
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:34 pm | Permalink | Reply

    The expansion is real. Romney saved up his money and waited to buy ad time until he could attack at the right spots. It was a hard strategy, letting O attack and define Romney. It took guts to stay with it. Amazing vision.

    • Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:44 pm | Permalink | Reply

      I have to agree, the strategy of the Romney campaign is fascinating. I am really, really impressed with it.
      ~ Brittany

    • DAMIEN
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:49 pm | Permalink | Reply

      lets not go over board in our praise of our guy…it was one night in denver that made this happen

      • Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:51 pm | Permalink

        I will praise him as much as I want, thank you very much.
        ~ Brittany

      • Ron
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:29 pm | Permalink

        No, it was all three nights of debate. The first night he came on strong and showed his brilliance and his decency. The second night he showed himself willing to slug it out, that for all his politeness he was no pushover and was more than equal to Obama’s hostility. The third night he talked about world affairs with more knowledge and sophistication than the president himself. All of that lingered. Obama won twice on points only–but he did so by looking and sounding petty and petulant–and boring. People are sick of the man.

      • Evan3457
        Posted October 31, 2012 at 12:14 am | Permalink

        No, but it was a tough judgement call from the Romney camp, perhaps even from the candidate himself, going rope-a-dope, allowing Obama to “define him” with hundreds of millions of dollars of negative ads, believing in the candidate, and counting on the fact that the man could undo whatever damage those ads did to him in the debate.

        A tough call, but a shrewd, possibly brilliant one, and one that saved his money for the knockout punches, to be determined at a late date, and in the times and places where they can hit the hardest.

        I only hope it’s decisive.

    • TheTorch
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:57 pm | Permalink | Reply

      It has been a solid campaign all along, and especially now. Debates did help no question, but the strategising by the Romney team has been top notch, and is now coming to fruition. Contrast that with the opposition – which is one of the worst campaigns I have ever seen. It is almost if they want to throw the election.

      • Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:02 pm | Permalink

        I don’t think they want to lose, I think their arrogance was their downfall. Obama had this historic sweeping victory in 2008 and for 4 years people have been kissing his butt and acting like he walks on water. I truly think he thought he wouldn’t have to even try to win re-election.
        ~ Brittany

    • easternimm
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:23 pm | Permalink | Reply

      if it works out…

  7. Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:35 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Actually no I believe Team Romney is feeling good about Ohio, just like they are feeling good about Iowa and Colorado which went to O last time….they are just seeing very soft support for O in MN,MI and PA so they are attacking at the last minute to turn this into a romp on Nov. 6….and I believe it just may work!

    • JGS
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:55 pm | Permalink | Reply

      If Romney was running ads in NY, VT, CT and MA, Obama would not be countering. He knows that a final week push by Romney in MI, WI, PA, and IA could doom him (if he’s not doomed any way). No choice but for Obama to respond because those states are all now within the MOE.

      • easternimm
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:31 pm | Permalink

        my question is how many people could change their mind based on a few commercials? How many people change their toothpaste based on a commercial? I am under the assumption that political opinions change only gradually, even for somebody who is truly not affiliated with one of the parties. I am skeptical this push would make sense unless the Romney camp has some indication they would give him a benefit…

      • Guest
        Posted October 31, 2012 at 4:28 am | Permalink

        Few commercials?

        Well, I’m sure there’re lots of voters who’d like to know the truth about Medicare, taxes, GM, Obamacare, and Solyndra?

    • Evan3457
      Posted October 31, 2012 at 12:16 am | Permalink | Reply

      A good question, easternimm. However, 2%, or 1 in 50, might be all Romney needs to turn the tide in 2 or 3 battleground states, and with it, the entire election.

  8. Medicine Man
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:36 pm | Permalink | Reply

    He can’t drop the ball on FLA (like Bush 2000), VA or OH. I guess he could jump around like BO from state to state in a day (easier with R governors)… NOW this is fun to discuss…not photo ops and worry and fret..

  9. Rick
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:38 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Romney website has him in Florida, Virginia, Ohio and Colorado over the next few days. Ryan is in Wisconsin tomorrow.

    • William Jefferson
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:43 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Few visits by either candidate to NH. Any theories why? Not enough electoral votes? Does one side have it wrapped up?

      • Brad
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:45 pm | Permalink

        4 evs in NH, I think. As for VA, OH, CO…leave no doubt.

      • stuckinmass
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:45 pm | Permalink

        i would guess its bc of the 4 votes and its away geographically from all the bigger swing states

      • Brad
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:50 pm | Permalink

        Leave no doubt.

      • Jim S.
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:57 pm | Permalink

        Exactly. If Mitt locks down FL,OH,VA,CO he wins. Use the warchest and surrogates for full effect in the “expand the map” states.

      • Ron
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:32 pm | Permalink

        He can’t be everywhere. Closing in NH brings Mitt full circle.

      • Evan3457
        Posted October 31, 2012 at 12:17 am | Permalink

        He has FL and VA, and I believe CO as well. He need only lock down OH to slam the door.

    • AussieMarcus
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:54 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Weren’t both O and R supposed to go to NH about now, but pulled out due to Sandy?

      • NHConservative
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:02 pm | Permalink

        Yes. He was supposed to be here tonight in Milford, NH but scrapped due to the storm. I heard he will be in Machester now, with Kid Rock, on Monday, likely at the Verizon Center which will pay in comparison to 0’s visit to Nashua on Saturday of 8k which I’m sure half of them were from MA. W came to Manchester a couple days before his re-election. I hope it will garner the same result.

      • NHConservative
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:05 pm | Permalink

        Pale not “pay”. Damn iPhone.

      • Guest
        Posted October 31, 2012 at 4:29 am | Permalink

        W ended up losing NH, unfortunately 😦

        But, of course, Kerry had the regional appeal, which Romney now has.

  10. docsazman
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:46 pm | Permalink | Reply

    The candidates can’t be everywhere. Of course Romney is going to focus on FL, VA, OH. But spending money in bluer states can’t mean nothing. The question is, are the libs right that this is a desperation move due to Ohio slipping away, or is Romney just expanding the map to make the victory as big as possible?

    • Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:50 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Look at the way each candidate is behaving. Obama is frustrated, angry, tired, calling childish names and using swear words and sex ads. Romney is confident, positive, upbeat, enthusiastic. I know it’s not hard data (believe me there is *plenty* of raw data to prove Romney is winning on this site!), but to me this is the biggest indicator that Obama is losing and Romney is winning. There is no way to say 100% either way though.
      ~ Brittany

    • Rick
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:50 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Expanding the map. Best prospects are WI, PA, MI, MN probably in that order.

    • Medicine Man
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:53 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Look at the objective data and one will see it is expanding the map: Dems down compared to 2008 in EV and absentee requests. 17 out of 20 polls showing Romney up 8-20 points up with Indies. Voter enthusiasm up.

      ROI. Any more money spent on adds won’t probably bring much more benefit in OHIO.

    • stuckinmass
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:05 pm | Permalink | Reply

      the way i see it, if Romney cant get OH, then thd most logical alternate path is VA CO IA NV NH
      but he is going into blue states instead, and they are turning toss up.. its not a path of desparation, he’s breached Obamas firewall!

    • easternimm
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:37 pm | Permalink | Reply

      it’s very hard to figure out. will find out a week from now… this is going to be such a nail bitter..

  11. DAMIEN
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:50 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Ive had it 52-47 romney for months…so I gotta think romney peels off 1 of these if not 2

  12. M Timer
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:51 pm | Permalink | Reply

    These states are all within the moe given the turnout models being used by the campaign. I don’t think we’ll ever get confirmation from third parties with their 5-600 likely voter pools. Those polls are getting MUCH lower response rates than the 9℅ being thrown around in various media. That was a Pew number based on general polling.

    Two points… most pollsters do not have the name recognition of Pew, and battleground state residents are suffering from massive polling saturation. The average SUSA, PPP, Gravis, Q, etc. state pollster would kill for a 9% response rate. It is not simply a matter of passing through almost any registered voter that is willing to stay on the line. They are having to make weighting calculations based on extremely small sub samples of the populations. Certain demos are just not picking up the phone.

    This is not a new phenomena, just a greatly exaggerated version of what we’ve seen in the recent past. The number of polls has exploded over the past few election cycles and the willingness of certain demos to pick up the phone has moved in the opposite direction.

    I can not prove that the under sampled demos lean Republican. But when I see party ID breakdowns that indicate higher relative Dem turnout than 2008, that is the deduction I make. I expect Romney to carry most of these battleground states and the ones he doesn’t carry will be very close.

    • Rick
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 10:56 pm | Permalink | Reply

      With the exception of NV, Obama doesn’t hit 50% in any other battleground state. With three and a half years under his belt, Obama’s numbers simply aren’t going to change. Being underwater in so many states is a huge obstacle for re-election.

  13. Brian
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:02 pm | Permalink | Reply

    John Ekdahl, Jr. @JohnEkdahl
    There’s that number again, 47% RT @Ted_Newton: BREAKING: Detroit News Michigan poll Obama 47.4% Romney 45%

    • Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:04 pm | Permalink | Reply

      I find it such poetic justice that Obama keeps hitting 47%, it’s just too great. I will laugh my butt off if Obama gets exactly 47% of the national vote.
      ~ Brittany

      • TheTorch
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:07 pm | Permalink

        Yes Obama at 47% on election night how sweet would that be LOL

      • Brad
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:09 pm | Permalink

        I thought Romney’s 47% comment was right on facts, but came to a wrong and cynical conclusion. He deserved a little pain for that remark. But the President trying to make that comment the centerpiece of his campaign was just as cynical and silly.

    • TheTorch
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:06 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Has crossed my mind whether Romney has some stealth ground game going on in Michigan. He would love that state in his column for obvious reasons. Could MI be an election night surprise?

    • Brad
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:06 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Oooo. That’s very interesting. Just looking at the polling in MI, you get the feeling it’s more in play than MN and PA. Wow just wow.

      • Jim S.
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:09 pm | Permalink

        Certainly seems that way, the Romney name is solid in MI plus the economy there is just terrible.

      • Brian
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:12 pm | Permalink

        It’s not as bad as it was, though. Conveniently, things have started to turn around once the GOP wave of 2010 began to go to work here in the mitten.

    • Jim S.
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:08 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Wow. Needs some internals though.

      • Brad
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:12 pm | Permalink

        Agreed. Let’s hope for 2008-like turnout assumptions.

  14. C-Bus GOP
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:07 pm | Permalink | Reply

    1. I think RR feel very good about Ohio right now. I’m on the ground here in Columbus (C-Bus!) and I can tell you Obama has been figuratively stomped to a pulp here. RR signs are everywhere and most of the die hard Dems I know haven’t even bothered putting any signs up this year….The Ohio GOP is PUMPED!!!
    I’m not the kind to count anything as done until it is done, but as I read in one very good blog post from a guy in Cleveland “It’s all over but the cryin”

    2. If you did feel uneasy about Ohio, I would think you would go hard core at somewhere like Wisconsin. The RR strategy appears to be ride the Republican wave and try to grab some more states to expand their mandate. They’re spreading a lot of chips all over the table.

    3. If RR was not feeling great about Ohio due to something in their internals, you would see OB all over it and not spreading out to try to defend these Blue states. You would not be seeing Biden in WI or PA unless they thought something was problematic. It makes no sense to go all out after Ohio if you might lose PA in doing so.

    As Carville said, when Dems have to start defending PA, they’re toast. Think about that when you watch Biden stumping in Scranton.

    • stuckinmass
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:14 pm | Permalink | Reply

      is there a source for that Carville quote?

      • C-Bus GOP
        Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:46 pm | Permalink

        Cant find a source link but he said it on CNN 10/22

  15. GV
    Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:09 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Washoe county numbers for today look awesome!

    Dems = 3,360 Reps = 3,700

    • Brad
      Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:12 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Finally. Rs getting their act together in Washoe?

  16. Posted October 30, 2012 at 11:18 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Detroit News MI poll, just released:

    Obama 47
    Romney 45

    Romney has cut Obama’s lead by more than half compared to the last poll

    http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20121030/POLITICS01/210300442/Poll-Romney-closes-gap-Obama-Michigan?odyssey=tab|topnews|text|FRONTPAGE

  17. Alex
    Posted October 31, 2012 at 1:24 am | Permalink | Reply

    New Franklin & Marshall poll in Pennsylvania has Obama +4, with D+13. The make up of the poll is roughly 50 D, 37 R, 12 I. Apparently F&M still thinks that Obama and the Democrats are going to have a record turnout in 2012, better than 2008.

    http://lancasteronline.com/article/local/767700_New-Franklin—Marshall-poll-shows-Romney-closes-gap-on-Obama-in-Pennsylvania.html

    • Posted October 31, 2012 at 1:26 am | Permalink | Reply

      The issue is that is the party registration # which may be close to accurate. The party ID number will be very different from that. F&M suck this cycle so don’t waste your time.

  18. EpiphoneKnight
    Posted October 31, 2012 at 2:00 am | Permalink | Reply

    Someone on this site posted the ’04 final Ohio polls. Only two polling groups even had Bush winning there, one being Rasmussen who had him at 50 or 51. This time, polls keep showing O ahead, but then there’s Rasmussen showing Mitt with 50… My guess is the same is happening here… Ras will be right and the others will be wrong.

  19. EpiphoneKnight
    Posted October 31, 2012 at 2:01 am | Permalink | Reply

    Oh also… is Rasmussen gonna release a MN poll? PLEASE!

  20. Tbowflyer
    Posted October 31, 2012 at 10:24 am | Permalink | Reply

    Folks – I haven’t seen anyone post this scenario here, but here’s my take on why the RR Campaign is spending money in these other states. I feel they KNOW they have the key swing states locked up (VA, FL, and yes OH) which will get Romney to 270. What I think they are worried about is that IF Romney JUST squeaks by in say OH, by let’s say and I am guessing <100,000 votes, gets 271 EVs to Obama's 267, then Obama could force a recount challenge there or wait another 13 days for the provisional ballots to come in and draw out the election results even further. I think team Romney wants to avoid this and pick up another non-key swing state like PA, MI or WI (MN not as much) and have that "insurance" policy that gets him over 300 EVs. This way, if OH or one of the other states is close, and he (Romney) picks up WI, PA, MI or all three, there is no way Obama can challenge and the election is over. I think this is the most logical reasoning. If you read the Romney scenario between the lines, the mention the "path to 300" which tells me they want insurance in case it's a close call in OH. My 2 cents.

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