Romney +2 in Virginia — Rasmussen

The latest from Rasmussen Reports in Virginia has Mitt Romney leading by 3-points 50 to 47:

Mitt Romney still earns 50% support in Virginia, but the presidential race remains a toss-up in the Old Dominion. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters finds Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 48%. Only one percent (1%) remains undecided. Last week, Romney hit the 50% mark for the first time here, while Obama earned 47% of the vote. With the exception of last week, however, the candidates have been within two points or less of each other in every survey in Virginia since April.

Virginia continues to be a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Ninety-two percent (92%) of the state’s voters now say they’ve made up their minds whom they will vote for. That’s up four points from last week. Romney leads 52% to 48% among these voters. Virginia voters trust Romney more than the president by a 51% to 46% margin when it comes to handling the economy. This is unchanged from a week ago. When it comes to national security and energy policy, it’s a near tie, with Romney posting a one-point edge over Obama in terms of voter trust on both issues. These findings are comparable to voter attitudes nationally. Forty-eight percent (48%) in Virginia expect the economy to get better if Romney is elected and Republicans take control of Congress. Just 38% think that’s likely if Obama is reelected and Democrats take charge of Congress. If Romney wins, 38% believe the economy will get worse, compared to 42% who feel that will be the case if Obama wins.

For President Percent
Barack Obama 48
Mitt Romney 50
Undecided 1


  1. uncdave
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 1:19 pm | Permalink | Reply

    I think you mean +2 50-48

  2. Posted October 25, 2012 at 1:21 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Might want to check that again Keith. Some are reporting Ras has VA 50/48. I think Ras has a typo in one of his pages.

  3. Posted October 25, 2012 at 1:26 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Ras has Romney +2 in VA? Wow, that means Obama likely leading!

  4. zang
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 1:41 pm | Permalink | Reply

    50-48 both among initial preference and with leaners. 54% of the sample is female. Romney would probably be up by another point with a more representative sample.

  5. No Tribe
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 2:38 pm | Permalink | Reply

    I have looked at the neighborhood, and found Obama with 20 signs, and Romney with 19 in my mile or so radius. For comparison, it was at least 2:1, with probably about 30 Obama signs, in 2008. If Romney is even in NoVA, he wins Virginia by 5-10%

    • Jeff
      Posted October 25, 2012 at 3:01 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Concur. I am in NoVA and we’ve had canvassers from both sides rap on our door in the last week, stuff in the mail, etc. The # of signs in my area do lean toward Romney. As No Tribe indicated, all Romney needs is to draw even in NoVA. He’ll win the southern part of the state and the I-81 corridor by a wide margin.

    • Posted October 25, 2012 at 3:06 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Keep in mind Tribe…yard signs and bumper stickers don’t vote. It is easy, on BOTH sides, to jam a sign in your yard or slap a sticker on. It’s another to go stand in line on a cold November morning, late for work or tired after work to vote.

  6. Kevin
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 3:36 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Now that the transcript of the interview Obama did with the Des Moines register is out, Obama is once again going to be exposed as the compulsive liar that he is.

    22nd paragraph into the interview.

    “So when you combine the Bush tax cuts expiring, the sequester in place, the commitment of both myself and my opponent — at least Governor Romney claims that he wants to reduce the deficit — but we’re going to be in a position where I believe in the first six months we are going to solve that big piece of business.”

    Yet, during the last Presidential debate, just three days ago, Obama said sequester won’t take place.

    Obama said during Monday night’s debate that the sequester “will not happen.” Republicans say they were taken aback by the comment, and there’s been speculation that this could weaken his bargaining power during the fiscal cliff negotiations.

    Maybe President Obama is having a case of, what does he call it, Romnesia?

  7. Posted October 25, 2012 at 3:59 pm | Permalink | Reply

    id really like to off the record pick the administrator of the RCP averages and find out how and why they chose the polls the do to figure the average state by state and nationally. In the national polls it seems they will include these weird out of left field polls but on the state level in some states they don’t include say the Marist but in others they do. They did not factor in the two polls showing a tie in Michigan nor the 4 point Romney advantage. Yet in other states they will include polls showing obama up 8 points despite all others being Romney tied or +2.

    Not because I doubt their wisdom but because to a laymen it makes no sense why they include some and not others.

    • zang
      Posted October 25, 2012 at 4:26 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Agreed. They have no responded to emails I have sent. The one thing I am fairly clear on is they will include polls which have been sponsored by a political organization. Thus, they will not include PPP’s Kos polls, but will include PPP’s polls when Jensen releases them on his own.

      • zang
        Posted October 25, 2012 at 4:30 pm | Permalink

        Wish there was an edit button. They will NOT include sponsored polls.

  8. zang
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 4:26 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Here’s an interesting “tell” on the true state of the race in VA — George Allen is trying to link Kaine to Obama:

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