President Obama Goes Full Bush 41 Re-Election Campaign

In a few posts I’m mentioned that this Obama re-election campaign looks more and more like the failed George Herbert Walker Bush re-election campaign and less like the George W Bush re-election campaign they are trying to emulate.

First you had the video of David Axelrod critiquing HW Bush’s re-election campaign saying Bush was trying to sell an improving economy while the middle class suffered but he was doing it from the 9th hole of a golf course. This clip caught fire around the 100th or so Obama golf outing while unemployment worsened.

Then I argued the anemic economic recovery actually looks closer to 1992 when comparing the monthly jobs reports through the first half of 2012.

At this year’s Democrat Convention, they went full culture wars on abortion and any host of social issues just like HW Bush in Houston ’92.

Now the petty attacks on Romney have reached full name calling with Obama calling Romney a “bullshitter” while relating an anecdotal story about children. This starkly reminds me of when completely out of character HW Bush called Bill Clinton and Al Gore “two bozos”.  I was working for the RNC at the time (my first job out of college)  and I knew in that moment the race was probably over.

38 Comments

  1. Pete
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 10:45 am | Permalink | Reply

    What a pathetic embarrassing jerk.

    • Posted October 25, 2012 at 10:51 am | Permalink | Reply

      Watch the name-calling. Leave that to the losing campaign. We don’t want to join them.

  2. zang
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 10:48 am | Permalink | Reply

    Exactly. Just compare campaign themes:

    http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/23/us-usa-campaign-idUSBRE89M11220121023

    http://articles.baltimoresun.com/1992-08-21/news/1992234040_1_george-bush-bush-rhetoric-acceptance-speech

  3. zang
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 10:53 am | Permalink | Reply

    Romney up 2 in new Ras poll of VA. 59% respondents female per cross tabs

  4. JGS
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 10:54 am | Permalink | Reply

    Yes but PPP has new poll saying Obama +5 in VA. I don’t trust PPP at all but in the interest of full disclosure . . . .

    http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-lead-in-virginia-up-to-5-points.html

  5. beach91
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 10:56 am | Permalink | Reply

    When thinking of Obama and his minions, I always think that whatever he or they say about R/R is actually what they really are. Kind of like the old adage of ‘when you point the finger, be careful because there are three pointing back to you.’

  6. allthingsgeography1
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:06 am | Permalink | Reply

    *Facepalm*

    • Jon
      Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:10 am | Permalink | Reply

      You facepalming the Obama campaign?

      That name calling doesn’t have any place in an adult conversation and I think it’s a sign of desperation.

      You start with the name calling when you got nothing new on the idea front. In the boston market, te radio ads are becoming lame.

      • Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:14 am | Permalink

        Yes, that is what allthingsgeography1 is doing. He’s a good defender of his side but is willing to see their short-comings as well.

  7. petep
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:15 am | Permalink | Reply

    Jon Podhoretz wrote a book about his experience in the Bush 41 government and the 92 campaign, called “Hell of a Ride”. I never thought much of Bush 41 and the folks he brought in, getting rod of the Reagan people and this book confirms just how awful things were. O seems to be going down the same path…

  8. Todd
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:16 am | Permalink | Reply

    According the the all knowing NYT, Obama is clearly pulling away??? It is almost criminal in how much they are sacrificing any integrity in this election cycle.

    • Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:19 am | Permalink | Reply

      And if Obama wins will you recognize you were wrong?

      • Todd
        Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:23 am | Permalink

        Absolutely. If Obama wins all the credit to Sliver and his gang for sticking to their model. If not, I would hope they eat crow but I’m sure the devil will be ice skating before that will happen.

      • Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:40 am | Permalink

        There is not a single poll based model that has R winning. If polls remain as today and Romney wins all of the poll aggregators will have to rethink their models.

        Having said that many of these models, including 538, are probabilistic, so even if they are correct that O has a 70% chance of winning that also means that R should win 30% of the time.

      • Todd
        Posted October 25, 2012 at 12:11 pm | Permalink

        Understood, but looking situation pragmatically, as I would in my own business, I would be foolish to blindly expect that I could not only duplicate “a perfect storm” in the face of stronger completion but also increase market share( +5 or 6 dem in ’08 to now projecting +8 or 9 this year).

      • Todd
        Posted October 25, 2012 at 12:14 pm | Permalink

        *spell check- stronger competition

      • Posted October 25, 2012 at 12:18 pm | Permalink

        But that’s based in the idea that you can compare Party ID across pollsters or against prior exit polls. And you really can’t, as Ras himself has admitted. They are asked in different ways by diff pollsters.

        And on top if that most of the Party ID disparity can be silly explained by prior Rs calling themselves Is (but still voting R). The Tea Party effect, if you will.

      • Jim S.
        Posted October 25, 2012 at 12:40 pm | Permalink

        Rasmussen Party ID in November 2008 was D+7.6%(D+7.6% Q4 2008), Rasmussen Party ID in September 2012 is R+2.6%(and the Q3 average is also R+2.6%). 2008 saw an enthusiastic Dem base and a depressed Rep base. I will agree it’s hard to pinpoint Party ID splits because there is no real guideline to setting them. The reality is we know what the 08 turnout was like and when we see a forecast D/R/I split that matches or *exceeds* that performance, it frankly doesn’t seem believable.

      • Posted October 25, 2012 at 1:31 pm | Permalink

        if the election were held today…according the RCP averages…with the assumption all polls are accurate on their merit thus making the averaging of said polls accurate…Romney would win the Popular vote by a small margin and Obama would win the Electoral College by about 11 votes.

        RCP makes sense because from what I understand they just simply just take most major polls and average them. The poll based models likes 538 have their own weighting that is just as problematic as what we are doing looking at party ID. Silver reweights polls by his methodology of looking at state party registration, economic issues such as unemployment, stock market, polls (which are weighted up or down by how own methodology). So yes if Obama pulls it off Nate Silver is set to be a very famous, very rich man and sought after by all candidates, pollsters and big business.

        But his model is problematic in the sense it based his “forecast” on benign issues such as Ohio’s unemployment level is lower than national so that fairly heavily favors Obama. Problem with that is you are assume the majority of citizens all look at that one indicator or others and judge whether Obama has done well. It does not take into account the human factor or reaction to such benalities as do they like Obamacare, do they support him ending dont ask dont tell, do they support tax increases, do they support abortion, etc. People are always a wild card and cannot be reduced to statistics that act rationally at all times.

        But yes if Romney wins, Silver will look like a moron. If Obama wins…. the Nate Silvers will take their bow in the spotlight

    • Dave
      Posted October 25, 2012 at 12:00 pm | Permalink | Reply

      “much they are sacrificing any integrity in this election cycle”

      They never had any integrity. They always have been a bastion of democractic propaganda. Especially in this election.

  9. Dave
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:22 am | Permalink | Reply

    “Obama calling Romney a “bullshitter””

    Now isn’t that the pot calling the kettle black.

    • Dave
      Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:45 am | Permalink | Reply

      Maybe he’s just trying to attract the male vote. You know, relate to guys on terms they can undersatnd better. LOL.

  10. MikeN
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:24 am | Permalink | Reply

    Annoy the media, reelect Obama?

  11. valleyforge
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:31 am | Permalink | Reply

    I’ve notice the Bush 41 parallel as well. Obama’s recent Ohio ad “Not one of us” made me think of this over-the-top Bush attack ad in late October 1992 entitled “America Can’t Take That Risk”:

    http://www.livingroomcandidate.org/commercials/1992/arkansas-2

  12. housebroken dad
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:36 am | Permalink | Reply

    http://www.gop.com/news/gop-blog/early-vote-update-gop-brings-in-new-voters-democrats-taking-from-e-day-voters/
    Interesting read but not sure how they measure this statistic.

  13. zang
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:37 am | Permalink | Reply

    Here is a link to an original article about the “bozos” remark : http://tech.mit.edu/V112/N53/bush.53w.html

    • Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:41 am | Permalink | Reply

      thanks. I included that link but wanted to keep my original one because it also showed Dole made the same remark in ’96 — an apparent hallmark of losing campaigns.

      • ed
        Posted October 25, 2012 at 1:08 pm | Permalink

        has Washington post ever endorse a GOP candidate?

      • No Tribe
        Posted October 25, 2012 at 2:16 pm | Permalink

        Maybe Nixon in ’72, or Dewey… otherwise Eisenhower?

  14. Matt
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 12:10 pm | Permalink | Reply

    If Mitt Romney said this I guarantee you this would be on the front page of every major news outlet. So far, I’m not really seeing this anywhere.

    • Todd
      Posted October 25, 2012 at 12:31 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Exactly. But the headline tweet from NYT this morning was “Romney must defend rape comments” as if Muordock’s words came out of Romney’s mouth. If the media wants to play this game it would be nice to see Obama have to defend Jesse Jackson Jr’s actions.

    • Posted October 25, 2012 at 2:11 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Yes Romney is defending an idiot that said something….but you see Romney is hated more so than an african american republican….because he was once pro-abortion and changed his mind to pro-life. That type of moral decision is just indefensible for democrats.

      Glorida Allred trying to tie some testimony in a divorce to Romney as some how bad (Romney said so what)….yet we never hear about Obama’s campaign taking illegal foreign money, governor of his state selling his senate seat (with possible knowledge by him), to his paling around with terrorists, the list goes on….all untouched, unmentioned by the media. Their investment was extreme and all encompassing they will not lose this one.

  15. margaret
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 1:26 pm | Permalink | Reply

    A picture IS worth a thousand words:

    http://www.jammiewf.com/2012/the-view-from-iowa-a-picture-says-a-thousand-words/

    I read an article yesterday written by a reporter who has seen many campaigns. He couched his words carefully but he was saying that Obama’s campaign was acting like the losing one – small themes, bitter words etc. Romney’s campaign was just different, confident etc.You can see the difference in the body language between the candidates as well, not just what they say.

  16. No Tribe
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 2:18 pm | Permalink | Reply

    The other corollary with ’92 is that the swing came late, during the second debate Clinton pulled ahead and it was too late for Bush to make a comeback pitch. Too late for Obama to as well.

    • Posted October 25, 2012 at 3:09 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Same can be said for any real logical hope of PA or MI or WI. Same could also make a case it may be too late in the game for Romney to overcome some of these state poll leads like Nevada, Iowa, Ohio, etc. I will be glad in 12 days when even if I am PO’d that Obama won or elated Romney won…I CAN freaking sleep at night 🙂

  17. MattWestfall
    Posted October 26, 2012 at 3:17 pm | Permalink | Reply

    New tumblr “dunce” photo at Obama campaign is exactly the same jump-the-shark bozo comment you remember from 1992. The OFA campaign is in text-book throes of cratering. This thing is playing out like a really, really good novel.

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