Ohhhh Snap! … Romney Running TV Ads in Minnesota

You heard it on this blog first that the Land of 10,000 Lakes would turn red on election night.  Now the Romney campaign has a Rousimar Palhares leglock (look it up) on the Obama campaign and is cracking that sucker. (h/t Tony)

Republican Mitt Romney is placing television ads in Minnesota, a move that pushes his presidential campaign into a state Democrats have held for more than three decades. Republicans and Democrats who track campaign spending confirmed late Thursday that Romney will begin running ads in Minnesota over the weekend. The investment is described as a small buy that Democrats suggest is simply intended to generate media coverage and force President Barack Obama’s campaign to invest there as well. Romney’s campaign would not comment on its advertising strategy.

48 Comments

  1. William Jefferson
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:41 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Why only “a small buy”? The guy has $170 million to spend in 2 weeks, and probably another $100 million being brought in over the same time period. That’s almost as much as Bush had for the entire 2004 campaign.

  2. Kyle F
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:42 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Make it rain!!!

  3. HillBilly
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:48 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Well Willard is not the bragging type like Obuzzard. Maybe he wants to keep things quite then ramp it up.

  4. Matt
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:48 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Wonder what the strategy is here. Are we looking at the Rochester area again? Is this simply to force Obama to spend in Minnesota or is this because they think they have a shot?

  5. Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:49 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Oh sure, Romney has plenty of cash, but so does Obama. Romney cannot afford to waste a dime of it. Making an ad-buy in MN as a publicity stunt wouldnt work for Romney, because the MSM wont mention it anyhow, and Romney’s team darn well knows it. If Romney is making a small ad-buy in Minnesota, it’s because his polls are showing something in Minnesota.

  6. Bryan
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:50 pm | Permalink | Reply

    As Pat Caddell said on Fox last night, who’d have thought that Indiana would turn blue in 2008? The Romney team needs to expand the battleground, and this does it. I agree that Ohio is key, but what if the 47-47 poll in Michigan isn’t an outlier and we can win there too? Minnesota’s a lower single digit race…that’s within reach, just like PA. They’ve got to be aggressive.

  7. docsazman
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:50 pm | Permalink | Reply

    So either the Romney campaign thinks it is losing Ohio and are therefore trying to scramble for electoral votes, or they think they are up big and want to go for the landslide. Let’s hope it is the latter.

  8. HillBilly
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:52 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Now Romney is playing hardball. Good for him. Don’t bring a stick to a bayonet fight :-).

  9. Eric
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:57 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Romney’s going to win. They’ve been playing it safe and hoarding their cash until the end. They haven’t been aggressively advertising in blue states because they don’t care if they win 280 electoral votes for 400. A win is a win, just like in the NFL.

    But this thing isn’t as close as most people think it is. Romney will win by at least 4%. I think it’ll be between 5-7% with upside for 9% or so if things fall the right way.

    I’ve been right about this stuff before too. In 2010, when people thought it was 50/50 whether Republicans won the House I was saying they would for sure win the House. The only question was the margin. I was saying it would be a 60-80 seat gain, most likely in the 70-75 range. Everyone else had it around 35 or so. The most optimistic I was reading said 50. I think it turned out to be 63. I was a bit disappointed while they were shocked it was so high.

    • Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:26 am | Permalink | Reply

      “They haven’t been aggressively advertising in blue states because they don’t care if they win 280 electoral votes for 400. A win is a win, just like in the NFL.”

      Well, to be honest, I hope not.

      Romney has the momentum and alot of money, and I’d hope that he’d be going all out to get as many EVs as possible. I don’t want to scratch out a “good” 280-290 EV win if it is possible to go for a 350EV monster…

      • Bryan
        Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:37 am | Permalink

        I agree…As Coach said in Remember the Titans…LEAVE NO DOUBT.

    • spottedreptile
      Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:29 am | Permalink | Reply

      Well, I don’t want him to squeak out a victory. I want there to be a clear mandate, plus Senate control. It’s the only way to undo the wreckage of the last 4 years.

    • Cheeta
      Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:31 am | Permalink | Reply

      COME on Minnesota.. GO RED….MITT Romney and Paul Ryan ALL the way… President Obama got to go now!!!

  10. john
    Posted October 25, 2012 at 11:58 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Only so much money you can saturate Ohio with 😉

  11. valleyforge
    Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:00 am | Permalink | Reply

    Maine CD-2 check
    Minnesota check
    Oregon pending
    New Mexico pending

    If you want some perspective, go to Google news and search “Reagan” with an early November 1980 timeframe and read the articles. Eerily familiar. And you’d never guess from the coverage what was about to transpire.

  12. Eric
    Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:04 am | Permalink | Reply

    Democrats don’t even know what’s about to hit them. Well, some of them do. Those Obama staffers who are applying for work in Chicago know. Also the Obama people who just purchased that home in Hawaii know. Michelle Obama’s mom is thrilled about moving to Hawaii. But most of the every day Democrats and the Kos kids have no idea.

    • Dave
      Posted October 26, 2012 at 5:52 am | Permalink | Reply

      I’d still take that secret service detail in Hawaii. At the third debate, at the end, when the wives came up to kiss their husbands , the camera caught Mrs Obamas face as she went for her husband. The look on her face was rahter downtroddened…one of consolation, rather than, say, happiness or attempting to put on that presidenital first lady smile. It caught me as odd. That would be consistent with his aggressive performance that nignt. And the the lack of family at the debate. Where were Obama’s childeren at the third debate? You couldn’t miss the Romney klan. Is the public so used to seeing the president’s childeren by now that the Obama campaign felt no need to present a picture of family to the public? Yes there is school and so forth but this is a presidential election and in a close race, impressions may matter.

      http://www.nydailynews.com/news/election-2012/obama-romney-pals-stage-debate-article-1.1189995

      All of this is to say, that there’a a bunch of strange stuff going on, that doesn’t add up to a candidate that thinks he is going to win, especially in a close race.

  13. HillBilly
    Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:04 am | Permalink | Reply

    He has a statistician working for him and he is using all permutations and combinations to his advantage. Willard is a darn genius. I am serious :-). I never thought he was this smart. He will be the smartest president in a long time.

    • fab4gal
      Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:12 am | Permalink | Reply

      I always thought he was exceptionally bright – to go from using an ironing board as a dining room table to making 30 million (and giving 1/3 of it away to charity, wow!) a year with investments takes a lot of brain power. I voted for McCain in 2008 because I would have voted for my foot over Obama, but this year I genuinely admire Mr. Romney and will be setting off fireworks with my neighbors on election night (don’t worry, they are legal in CO!). 🙂

      • Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:25 am | Permalink

        It’s too bad for Obama that (he confessed!) he can’t do math ROFLMAO

    • spottedreptile
      Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:32 am | Permalink | Reply

      Romney has run a brilliant campaign. Apparently he has made many of the decisions that seemed to us to be dodgy but have turned out perfectly in the end, such as the 3rd debate strategy. He’s obviously intelligent, but he’s also got a lot of hard business sense. He knows how to close the deal. I have complete faith in how he wants to run the final week and a half.

    • Dave
      Posted October 26, 2012 at 6:09 am | Permalink | Reply

      That’s not what y’all were saying just a few months ago. LOL. How impressions change with political fortunes.

  14. HillBilly
    Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:05 am | Permalink | Reply

    Sorry for posting soo much but I am excited. I don’t want Obumo to sell us out.

  15. Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:08 am | Permalink | Reply

    This is what winners do. They expand the map. If Obama were going into Georgia, Tennessee, and Indiana you would think he was in charge right now. Romney and the Super PACs are attacking no just the traditional swings, but some blue states as well.

    Minnesota has the gay marriage ban on the ballot and polling shows strong support. Remember what that did to help Bush in 2004. Minnesota has been trending Republican for years. It’s all about swinging the Minneapolis/St. Paul suburbs and Duluth.

    Agree on Oregon as well. Saw a poll from a week ago on RCP with Romney within 7 and Obama under 50. And state polls tend to trail national. I’d bet that Romney has moved up in that time.

    Obama’s campaign flailing also will not help him. And let’s not forget that turnout models don’t pick up waves very well.

    • spottedreptile
      Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:37 am | Permalink | Reply

      I’m willing to bet that the urban areas turn out to be the surprise of the election.

  16. Pete
    Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:11 am | Permalink | Reply

    Would lie to see how the push into WI with Ryan there puts WI in the forefront of the conversation. I think WI is prime to flip.

    • Pete
      Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:11 am | Permalink | Reply

      Like

    • Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:48 am | Permalink | Reply

      Romney’s heading there next week, I read.

      To REALLY mess with Obama’s head, Romney should do a quick drop in to MN or MI while he’s up there.

  17. petep
    Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:16 am | Permalink | Reply

    I would love to see Minn fall, given that the Gipper couldn’t get it. I would really love a Big Ten sweep. Expand the map, extend the mandate.

    I would think they are out of reach but I would love some effort at NJ and CT as well. Three are a lot of suburbanites in both states that would seem in line with Barone’s assessment.

  18. Mick
    Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:20 am | Permalink | Reply

    I remember the 2010 midterm elections watching Congressman Oberstar (D), Minn 8, which includes Duluth, MN and the Iron Range (very liberal, blue collar areas) being stunned by Cravaack (R). Oberstar had held this seat, I believe since 1973, and had actually declared victory early in the night like he had for decades of elections. The grin was washed right off his face, as the votes continued to come in. He won the vote in 2008 with 67.9 percent of the vote. In 2010, he only got 46.6 percent of the vote. We’re talking a 21+ percent swing, in arguably the most democratic part of the state. Trust me, if guys like Oberstar can go down in Minn 8, Obama can easily go down in Minnesota. There are going to be a lot of stunned liberals on November 6th.

    • Brian
      Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:28 am | Permalink | Reply

      As Keith expertly pointed out, Minnesota’s trending toward the GOP, sooo….just needs a nudge. Gotta swing sometime. Why not now.

    • wholefoodsrepublican
      Posted October 26, 2012 at 7:05 am | Permalink | Reply

      but minnesota has a real pain in the butt with soros lackie ritchey as secretary of state … that guy has to go… minnesota dems also stole the election for senator joke (franken)… he too has to go, at least jesse ventura was a more serious politician than the bobsie twins ritchey and franken

  19. billyboy
    Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:26 am | Permalink | Reply

    what does everyone think if the bogud unemployment rate comes in at 7.5 on november 2nd

    • Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:28 am | Permalink | Reply

      won’t matter. Between California holding back the # in the weekly claims and last month’s phony #, the public will dismiss it.

      • fab4gal
        Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:32 am | Permalink

        Totally agree. It’d be too little too late for the liberals. Not that I don’t expect another fake #, I just agree with Keith that it won’t make any difference.

    • Bryan
      Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:42 am | Permalink | Reply

      That wouldn’t surprise me…I’m also concerned about possible military action in Libya on the part of Obama.

    • Dave
      Posted October 26, 2012 at 5:56 am | Permalink | Reply

      don’t forget bush did the same thing the friday before the election in 2004. but it won’t matter. most people are already decided i’d say by now.

  20. billyboy
    Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:26 am | Permalink | Reply

    bogus

  21. Tom
    Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:37 am | Permalink | Reply

    I said this a while back and will say again now. Romney will win ALL swing states of FL, NC, VA, OH, WI, IA, NH, CO, NV, and NM. In addition Romney will win MI, PA, and MN which puts him at 352 ev. In addition, he may very well have a surprise in either NJ, OR, or WA. Now go ahead and bash me just like on my previous post. We agree to disagree. MITT-mentum.

    • fab4gal
      Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:45 am | Permalink | Reply

      I like Greg Gutfeld’s term “Romentum” 😉 But I actually agree with you Tom, in fact I agree with the electoral map seen on unskewedpolls.com which has almost the entire country going red. It will be an enormous victory and an extremely joyous night after the 4 years of shame and anger we’ve had to endure.

    • Dave
      Posted October 26, 2012 at 6:03 am | Permalink | Reply

      “well have a surprise in either NJ, OR, or WA”

      Wishful thiunking about WA. No way will that happen in WA state. O+12

      http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/wa/washington_romney_vs_obama-2708.html

      • Dave
        Posted October 26, 2012 at 6:05 am | Permalink

        All the weed addicts in WA state are coming out en masse to vote for legalizing pot (and Obama). They want their pot without recrimination and free healthcare to take care them afterwards.

      • No Tribe
        Posted October 26, 2012 at 7:33 am | Permalink

        They will vote for Gary Johnson. The Elway poll just showed the GOP up in the Gov race. It will be less than 5% in Wa between Obama and Romney.

  22. Posted October 26, 2012 at 12:47 am | Permalink | Reply

    Gay Marriage vote coming to the polls so I would imagine that everybody who is against it will vote. Mayo Clinic is up there so remember Obama Care. They could very easily go GOP. I read where Maine could also.

    • No Tribe
      Posted October 26, 2012 at 7:35 am | Permalink | Reply

      Maine’s gay marriage looks likely to pass, at least at the polls, though under 50% support. I do think that the 1 EV in CD02 will go Romney, even before NH does. It got tweaked to be even more Republican with the ’10 redistricting.

  23. KN
    Posted October 26, 2012 at 1:15 am | Permalink | Reply

    This is awesome, but…MN is the only state that never elected Reagan!!!! I just can’t get over that fact but it’d be great if this happened!!!

    • EpiphoneKnight
      Posted October 26, 2012 at 2:58 am | Permalink | Reply

      Only cuz Fritz (Mondale) was a hometown boy… I’m making no prediction for MN to flip, but it is definitely in play. Ras has O+5 before MItt’s ads, so why not advertise? Unfortunately, I’m too broke to have TV so I won’t be able to see the ads.

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