Fox News has another poll showing daylight between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama in Florida. Romney enjoys a 3-point lead in this latest survey, 48 to 45. Romney does a better job consolidating his base garnering 92% of the Republican vote and 7% of the Democrat vote. Obama garners 88% of the Democrat vote and 4% of the Republican vote. Independents favor Romney by 6%, 46 to 40. Romney has closed the gender gap trailing Obama by only 1-point 46 to 47 while maintaining an 8-point lead among men at 51 to 43. Obama’s support among White voters remains low at 35% and we find another poll where Mitt Romney shows great gains with Florida non-Whites (not just Hispanics) and leads Obama 48 to 45 — a real shocker there.
The party ID is D +1 (Dem 40, Rep 39, Ind 19). In 2008 it was D +3 (Dem 37, Rep 34, Ind 29) and in 2004 it was R+4 (Dem 37, Rep 41, Ind 23). Again probably low on Independents and a shade towards the Democrats but reasonable versus many other polling outfits. More good news for Team Romney in the Sunshine State.
The poll was conducted by telephone with live interviewers October 17-18, 2012, among a random sample of 1,215 Florida registered voters (RV). A subsample of 1,130 has been defined as likely voters (LV), with a margin of error of ± 3 percentage points.