Here again is another poll showing Obama leading by 4 points but his support level of 44% is incredibly low. This time in the state of Michigan. The polling outfit, Denno Research, is run by the chief of staff of a Democrat state legislator, so read what you will into any “house bias.” Romney leads by 9 with Independent 39 to 30. If Undecideds break 2/3 for the challenger Romney would be at 49.1% and Obama would be at 48.5%:
A new statewide poll shows a tight race between President Barack Obama and challenger Mitt Romney, as well as growing enthusiasm among Republicans for their nominee. Released Wednesday, the poll of 600 likely voters showed Obama leading Romney in Michigan, 44.2 percent to 40.5 percent, but Romney also within the sampling error of 4 percentage points — meaning it’s a tight race.
The poll was conducted by the Michigan polling firm Denno Research and commissioned by Grand Rapids-based Lambert, Edwards & Associates, which also has offices in Lansing. Dennis Denno, president of Denno Research, also is chief of staff to state Sen. Virgil Smith Jr., D-Detroit.
The poll shows Obama had gained a lead over Romney since Denno’s last state poll in June, when both candidates were tied at 40 percent. However, the most recent poll was conducted before last week’s vice presidential debate and Tuesday’s presidential debate. About 13.5 percent of voters were undecided.
The research also revealed a significant swelling of support among Republicans for Romney. In the latest survey, 44 percent of Republicans said they were very excited to vote for the Michigan native, compared to 16 percent in the June survey, before Romney was formally nominated by his party. By contrast, 48 percent of Democrats reported being very excited to vote for Obama, up from 39 percent in June.
As reported at MLive.com:
Among voters identifying themselves as independents, Romney had 38.5 percent to Obama’s 29.8 percent, with 26.6 percent unsure. Romney was up among men overall, 43.3 percent to 40.7 percent, but trailed Obama among women, 47 percent to 38.2 percent.