The latest from Rasmussen Reports shows essentially a tied race in New Hampshire with President Obama kissing the 50% threshold, leading 50 to 49. Obama leads with Independents in this poll 58 to 40 which is obviously where his lead comes from. Romney’s approval rating is 52/48 which is great for him. Obama’s job approval in the survey was 50% Approve/49% Disapprove which exactly matches his vote %. That is not a coincidence which is why he is in real trouble elsewhere unless he changes the trajectory of the race:
The race for New Hampshire’s Electoral College votes remains a toss-up. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters finds the president with 50% support to Mitt Romney’s 49%. Only one percent (1%) remains undecided. This New Hampshire survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 15, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.