Obama +1 in New Hampshire — Rasmussen

The latest from Rasmussen Reports shows essentially a tied race in New Hampshire with President Obama kissing the 50% threshold, leading 50 to 49. Obama leads with Independents in this poll 58 to 40 which is obviously where his lead comes from. Romney’s approval rating is 52/48 which is great for him. Obama’s job approval in the survey was 50% Approve/49% Disapprove which exactly matches his vote %. That is not a coincidence which is why he is in real trouble elsewhere unless he changes the trajectory of the race:

The race for New Hampshire’s Electoral College votes remains a toss-up. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters finds the president with 50% support to Mitt Romney’s 49%. Only one percent (1%) remains undecided. This New Hampshire survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 15, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

For President Percent
Barack Obama 50
Mitt Romney 49
Other
Undecided 1

6 Comments

  1. Posted October 17, 2012 at 10:33 am | Permalink | Reply

    What is the model Ras is using for NH, +3 D ?

    • Posted October 17, 2012 at 10:45 am | Permalink | Reply

      I don’t subscribe to rasmussen so I don’t know any of the internals like party ID which is why I never break down party ID is Rasmussen polls. I do know Obama lead with Independents in this poll 58 to 40 which is obviously where his lead comes from. Romney’s approval rating is 52/48 which is great while Obama’s job approval was 50% Approve which exactly matches his vote %. That is not a coincidence which is why he is in real trouble unless he changes the trajectory of the race.

  2. damien
    Posted October 17, 2012 at 10:53 am | Permalink | Reply

    58/40 indies….must be some boston folks pretending to be indy since they moved to nh

  3. Posted October 17, 2012 at 10:58 am | Permalink | Reply

    In 2008, 0bama won the Indy vote 59-39. If Romney can win the crossover vote, then Romney will win NH.

One Trackback

  1. […] Reports checks in on Nevada where we again find Obama kissing the 50% threshold like we saw in New Hampshire earlier this morning.  The President leads by 3-points in this race though, 50 to 47 with only 1% Undecided: President […]

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