This is the companion poll to the one below with We Ask America polling Iowa and finding President Obama with a 3-point lead, 49 to 46. The party ID is D +3 (Dem 36, Rep 33, Ind 31 ). This compares to 2008 of D +1 (Dem 34, Rep 33, Ind 33) and 2004 R +2 (Dem 34, Rep 36, Ind 30). Considering how little the Iowa electorate swings between the previous two elections which were the widest swings in 30 years, it is silly to expect and even larger turnout for Obama in 2012 than he had in 2008. And with the President only leading by 3-points with this unusually high turnout advantage, it is a good sign for Romney”
We try to fulfill as many poll requests as possible, especially when someone reminds us that we haven’t re-polled two states lately that could play important roles in a tight presidential race: Iowa and Colorado. Both are considered swing states, but their political underpinnings vary as much as their terrains. Still, each have earned their Swing State status by having an electorate that doesn’t fit comfortably into political molds.
On the evening of October 15, we called 1,499 likely voters in Iowa (Margin of Error: ±2.6%) and asked them who they plan to vote for plus an array of demographic questions. We included Libertarian Gary Johnson to measure support for a third party. [T]he following results have been weighted to correct for any over-/under-sampling, and we’ve included the breakdown of self-described Republicans / Democrats / Independents that completed the questions.