The latest from Gravis Marketing shows Mitt Romney with a 1-point lead in Florida. Mitt Romney leads among Independents by 3-points 47 to 44. He also has stronger support among Republicans garnering the vote 90 to 9 while President Obama has less support among democrats with supporter outnumbering crossovers 86 to 13. Despite these results Romney still only nominally leads due to the party identification split. The party ID was D +2 (Dem 41, Rep 39, Ind 20). In 2008 it was D +3 (Dem 37, Rep 34, Ind 29) and in 2004 it was R+4 (Dem 37, Rep 41, Ind 23). This is a fairly aggressive turnout in favor of Obama with a turnout almost equal to 2008 which quite simply is not happening in 2012:
Mitt Romney holds a narrow 1-point lead over President Obama among Florida likely voters.
· President Obama has a 7-point net negative job performance rating in Florida. 43 percent approve and 50 percent do not approve of his performance.
· There is a strong gender gap as President Obama has a 4-point lead with women, while Governor Romney has a 9-point lead with men.
· Mitt Romney leads with independents by a 3-point margin, 47 to 44 percent.Gravis Marketing a non-partisan research firm, conducted a survey of 617 likely voters on October 13-14, 2012. The margin of error for the survey is +/-4.0 % and higher for subgroups.