Romney +2 in Virginia — Rasmussen

The latest from Rasmussen Reports in Virginia shows a small 2-point lead for Mitt Romney, 49 to 47:

Mitt Romney now has a two-point lead in Virginia. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters shows Romney with 49% of the vote, while President Obama earns 47% support. One percent (1%) likes another candidate in the race, and three percent (3%) are undecided. The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on October 11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Candidate Percent
Barack Obama 47
Mitt Romney 49
Other 1
Undecided 3


  1. WillBest
    Posted October 12, 2012 at 12:49 pm | Permalink | Reply

    The tides have turned.

    If Romney has FL, NC, VA and CO locked up then its Romney that has more paths to victory and its Obama that needs to run the table on the remaining swing states. (NV, NH, IA, WI, OH)

    • Tim
      Posted October 12, 2012 at 12:58 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Any thoughts on the VA+7 poll that was on drudge this morning!

      • Posted October 12, 2012 at 1:01 pm | Permalink

        McLaughlin is a respected pollster but unless I can see the #s I don’t like to blog polls. The only think I see is’s write-up.

      • No Tribe
        Posted October 12, 2012 at 1:02 pm | Permalink

        There’s a memo on the poll, complete with RDI. It looks fine. Substantiates what WAA found.

      • housebroken dad
        Posted October 12, 2012 at 1:11 pm | Permalink

        McLaughlin oversampled Indys a little bit so re-weighted to projected turnout, it’s probably around R+5. Couple that with this poll where R is +4 on those not going to change their mind and R+3 of those certain to vote and it’s obvious R/R has some sort of lead in VA. Question is can he keep it over the next three weeks.

  2. damien
    Posted October 12, 2012 at 1:07 pm | Permalink | Reply

    looks like suffolk was on to something…i wish it was november 6 instead of october 12…looooooooong looooooooong three weeks ahead of us…and you know the press has a october suprise waiting

    • No Tribe
      Posted October 12, 2012 at 1:13 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Right. My guess is that Romney has another week to go with momentum. And then we see some sort of shift again. One way or the other.

  3. No Tribe
    Posted October 12, 2012 at 1:12 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Romney is campaigning much harder than Obama over the past 30 days, 31 campaign events for Obama, 58 campaign events for Romney.

    Obama seems like he would rather be doing fundraisers than going to do these campus events.

    Obama last 30 days events:

    Holding Wisconsin for Obama is now more important than holding Florida.

    • WillBest
      Posted October 12, 2012 at 1:17 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Florida was done 2 weeks ago when Obama’s SuperPac pulled its ads. The only reason Obama hasn’t pulled out is 1) they have more money than they know what to do with; 2) it would have caused widespread panic.

  4. wholefoodsrepublican
    Posted October 12, 2012 at 2:11 pm | Permalink | Reply

    let’s lock down FL, VA, NC, OH. then concentrate on IA, NH, WI, CO, Once the firewall is breached. Obama-Biden-Chicago politics will not go down easily. especially with a billion dollars invested in them. Romney needs to peak on Nov 6 (but is that model still true with so much early voting? the partisans vote early, no?)

  5. jvnvch
    Posted October 12, 2012 at 2:27 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Suffolk wouldn’t have made a public announcement they were pulling out of Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida if there was a realistic chance President Obama could win them. Paleologos knows better than to do something that foolish. The writing was on the wall, and he read it.

  6. Posted October 12, 2012 at 3:52 pm | Permalink | Reply

    I say this less than half heartedly…but I am beginning to wonder if Obama really does want a second term? I know the egomaniac in him doesn’t want to be a 1 termer. But the lazy guy in him (that most close to him say is always there) maybe wants to settle down and get paid. He can always, with the media help, fan the idea that he lost cause America went from electing him in a modern landslide to massive racism and it will work. And then he can go to Hawaii and live in luxury, write a gazillion dollar book, travel the world making speeches and pocking hundreds of millions.

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