Ohio continues to be a back-and-forth struggle with the latest from Gravis Marketing showing Mitt Romney leading by 1-point, 46 to 45 with 9% going for Undecided/Other:
Party ID is D +6 (Dem 36.4, Rep 30.5, Ind 33.1)
2008 was D +8 (Dem 39, Rep: 31, Ind 30)
2004 was R +5 (Dem 35, Rep 40, Ind: 25)
From October 6th through October 10th, Gravis Marketing, a non-partisan research firm, conducted a survey of 1,594 registered voters in the Ohio, of which 1,313 indicated they would likely vote. The questions covered the presidential and senate elections, among others. The poll has a margin of error of about 2.7%. A full list of questions is given on page 5. Overall, among just likely voters, Romney leads Obama by a 45.9% to 45.1% margin. When looking at the entire registered voter population, Obama holds the advantage by 46.3% to 44.8%. The following page contains a time series of the presidential race since the beginning of September. This is the first time since the convention bounce that Romney has held the lead.