Obama +3 in Michigan — Foster McCollum White Baydoun (FMWB)

Another tight poll in a Battleground State thought to be trending strongly towards Obama.  For the critics of this polling organization, they have met the challengers head on and stand by their polls. In their latest survey of Michigan President Obama has a 3-point lead (3.45 to be exact) over Mitt Romney, 49 to 46.  This compares to a 2-point lead for Obama in their their survey last month:

The past three weeks have been a mixed series of positive and negatives for both President Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney including an extremely weak debate performance for President Obama. In spite of these challenges for both candidates our current poll conducted on October 5 reflects President Obama opening up a slightly wider lead in Michigan. President Obama leads Republican nominee Mitt Romney 49.30% to 45.85%, a lead of 3.45 points, which is above the margin of error of 2.93%…The current shift from Romney back to Obama now is 7.25 points from August. “The past three weeks have not helped either candidate overall. President Obama has lost confidence of some Michigan voters with his debate performance and the handling of the embassy attacks in the Middle East,” per Eric Foster, chief pollster for Foster McCollum White Baydoun. “At the same time, Romney’s comments about 47% of Americans being dependent on Government and not taking responsibility for their lives hurt the Governor’s creditability significantly with women and senior voters in Michigan”. The data findings suggest that these candidate missteps have balanced each other.

Highlights:

  • Romney has a 14.14 point lead with self identified independent voters (Romney 51.03% to Obama 36.90%).
  • Romney and Obama are still statistically tied in the critical swing 4 county cluster (Oakland, Macomb, Monroe and Kalamazoo) group (Romney 48.55% to Obama 47.59%), which is critical to his viability.
  • 50.88% of Michigan voters stated that the Debate confirmed their choice and 35.71% stated that the Debate had no impact on their decision. Only 4.35% stated that the debate changed their opinion.
For President Percent
Barack Obama 49.30
Mitt Romney 45.85
Other 2.24
Undecided 2.61

3 Comments

  1. Tim
    Posted October 8, 2012 at 6:58 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Now we know why Ryan is in Michigan today. 🙂 Their internals must be might good as well.

  2. William Jefferson Jr.
    Posted October 8, 2012 at 6:58 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Isn’t Ryan campaigning there? Would Romney waste sending him to Michigan–instead of Iowa or Ohio–if Michigan was out of reach? I’ll be interested to listen to what states Biden mentions in the VP debate this week. If he mentions Michigan, like Obama did, I think this state is firmly in play.

    • Timothy
      Posted October 8, 2012 at 9:23 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Let’s hope he mentions them the same way Jennifer Granholm did at the DNC convention.

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