Obama +3 in Michigan — EPIC-MRA

The latest from well-respected EPIC-MRA has Obama leading by 3-points in Michigan, identical margin as the Foster McCollum poll below:

Republican candidate Mitt Romney’s strong performance in his first debate with President Barack Obama helped him trim Obama’s lead in Michigan to three percentage points, a poll released today to the Free Press shows. Obama’s 10 percentage point lead (47%-37%) in a poll conducted last month by EPIC-MRA of Lansing dropped to 3 points (48% to 45%), according to the poll of 600 likely voters conducted by EPIC-MRA of Lansing. The gap between Romney and Obama was within the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. Undecided voters shrank from the September survey’s 16% to just 7%. EPIC’s September poll and others last month appeared to put Michigan out of reach for Romney, a native son. “Romney has come back like gangbusters,” said EPIC-MRA President Bernie Porn. “Whether or not it’s long-lasting, only time will tell, but probably the remaining debates will be key.”

For President Percent
Barack Obama 48
Mitt Romney 45
Undecided 7


  1. Posted October 8, 2012 at 7:48 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Tomorrow Gallup switches to LV model and will show a tied race! http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/2012/10/gallup-polls-to-show-romney-obama-tied-among-likely-voters.html

  2. William Jefferson Jr.
    Posted October 8, 2012 at 8:03 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Gallup had completed all of their polling for today before 8:00 EST?

  3. Eric
    Posted October 8, 2012 at 8:24 pm | Permalink | Reply

    If Pennsylvania and Michigan are this close, then Romney is leading in Ohio.

    • margaret
      Posted October 8, 2012 at 11:09 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Some smart analysts on our side have been tracking absentee ballot requests in Ohio by county and comparing it back to 2004. Even weeks before the debate, when the polls were looking bad, when the liberal media were telling Romney he was finished and should give up, the absentee requests were showing anything but a 2008 pattern. The Republican-dominated counties were showing surging numbers, the Democrat-dominated big city counties were showing depressed numbers. We knew that Ohio wasn’t looking like the polls were saying. It’s still looking that way, and now agreeing with the post-debate polls showing the Romney surge in states bordering Ohio.

  4. Kevin
    Posted October 8, 2012 at 8:51 pm | Permalink | Reply

    But I thought Chuck Todd said it was over? (sarcasm)

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