Paul Ryan Iowa Bus Tour

With the top dogs sequestered for debate preparation, Paul Ryan is taking his show on the Hawkeye State road:

Rep. Paul Ryan returns to Iowa this week, the battleground state where he held his first solo event as GOP vice presidential nominee and where polls show a tight race between Mitt Romney and President Obama. Ryan (R-Wis.) kicks off his two-day bus tour along the eastern edge of the Hawkeye State with a 7:50 p.m. rally Monday night at Loras College in Dubuque. Then, on Tuesday, he will headline a morning town hall at the Clinton County Courthouse in Clinton, followed by an afternoon visit to Elly’s Tea and Coffee House in Muscatine and then a stop at a campaign office in Burlington. The trip comes as Iowans begin their second week of early voting. In the 2008 general election, about 30 percent of all ballots were cast early, making the 40 days leading up to Election Day as much a focus of the campaigns’ get-out-the-vote efforts as the day itself.

Monday, 7:30pm: Dubuque, Iowa:

Victory Rally with Paul Ryan and GOP Team
When: October 1, 2012 – 6:30pm
Where: Loras College Fieldhouse, 1550 Alta Vista Street, Dubuque, IA 52001
To RSVP click here: http://paulryanindubuque.eventbrite.co

Tuesday, 7:00am: Clinton, Iowa:

Victory Town Hall with Paul Ryan and GOP Team
When: October 2, 2012 – 7:00am
Where: Clinton County Courthouse, 612 North 2nd Street, Clinton, IA 52732
To RSVP, click here: http://townhallinclinton.eventbrite.com

2 Comments

  1. margaret
    Posted October 1, 2012 at 4:14 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Somehow I think Paul Ryan would be a good fit in IA, especially rural areas. It’s smart to send him there.

  2. Jesse
    Posted October 1, 2012 at 6:23 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Ten Reasons Why Romney Looks Good in Iowa:

    1. The Des Moines Register Poll shows a close race 49%-45% (in September) with the incumbent unable to break 50% despite outspending his rival and a razor focus on Iowa (three day bus tour, etc.).

    2. The Des Moines Register Poll shows 2% undecided and “10% say they could still be persuaded to vote for another candidate, the poll found, and that represents an opening for Romney.”

    3. The DMR Poll favors Democrats: A DMR Poll on Sept. 11, 2008 had Obama up over McCain 52%- 40% (12%). Similarly a Nov. 1, 2008 DMR poll had Obama up over McCain 54% – 37%, a whopping 17%! On Election Day McCain lost to Obama by 9% (54% to 44.7%). A DMR Poll on Oct. 31, 2004 had Kerry up 48% to 45%. On Election Day Kerry lost to Bush (49.9% to 49.3%)

    4. Obama’s Ceiling: The 2004 and 2008 DMR Polls did accurately predict Obama’s ceiling of 54% in 2008 and Kerry’s ceiling of 49% in 2004. Therefore, based on the new poll (49%) it is likely Obama’s Iowa ceiling is currently 48-50%.

    5. Early Vote Advantage a Myth: On October 31, 2004, the DMR Poll said the following: “Twenty-seven percent of Iowa adults surveyed said they had already voted. Kerry leads Bush, 52 percent to 41 percent, among that group of early-bird voters. Among the 73 percent who said they definitely would vote on Tuesday, Kerry and Bush are tied.” This was considered bad news for Bush at the time: “anything like an 11-point lead will be hard to make up.” 2004 Result: Bush won Iowa despite the early vote advantage.

    6. Republican Registration Advantage: As of August 2012, there were nearly 621,000 registered Republicans and about 602,000 Democrats and 666,000 voters not aligned with a political party. From January to August, Democratic registrations fell by 41,587 and no party voter registrations were down 53,126. Republican registrations rose by nearly 6,000 voters over that time.

    2004 (Republican victory): GOP – 31%: Dem – 31%: Ind – 38%
    2008 (Democratic victory): GOP – 29.6%: Dem – 34.9%: Ind – 35.5%
    2012: GOP – 32.8%; Dem – 31.8%; Ind – 35.2%

    7. If Romney holds Republicans and gets a majority of Independents he wins. Most polls show independents favoring Romney.

    8. Iowa demographics favor Romney (over 90% white, non-Hispanic).

    9. The Republican Secretary of State Matt Schultz has “cleaned” the voter rolls removing inactive voters: There is less chance of fraud (i.e. double voting, felons voting, etc.)

    10. In a sign that the state is competitive, the Obama campaign has substantially increased its spending on TV ads the last two weeks.

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