Another strong day for the GOP up north casting 3128 ballots compared to 2841 for the Democrats. Total ballots cast were 7679, down about 1300 day-over-day supporting the evolving story that the expected second week blow-out was not in the cards after the strong first week performance. Despite the muted second week performance thus far the final two days should will almost certainly see a nice pick-up in activity. Most concerning is the Democrats performance since this is their strength and enthusiasm questions continue to mount. Although in my count, today’s net gain for the GOP only shrinks the Democrat lead to 830 for in-person early voting, this net gain nearly erases the overall lead Democrats held going into today when including absentee and mail-in ballots. An all-around great day for Team Nevada in Washoe County.
Big contrast in the running tallies
|2012 thru Day 12||2008 Through Day 12|
|Dem – 36271 (41.3%)||Dem – 38329 (48.89%)|
|GOP -35441 (40.3%)||GOP – 26913 (34.37%)|
|NP – 16082 (18.3%)||NP – 13161 (16.79%)|
We see the election over election change in Democrat turnout is DOWN -2058 while the change in GOP turnout is UP +8528, a net 10,586 gain for the GOP versus 2008. Do you know what an enthusiasm gap looks like? Well now you do. Having erased Obama’s early vote advantage, this type of swing will go a long way to erasing Obama’s overall ~23k vote Washoe County win in 2008, half of which came from the early vote.