Obama’s 1st Stop After the Debate is Wisconsin … I Guess it’s Not As Safe as the Polls Say

Could be those union members have long memories after getting stiffed by a President who said he’d march the picket lines with them and then found himself too busy in every state around Wisconsin to stop in to support their recall efforts:

President Barack Obama will hit the campaign trail following the Wednesday presidential debate, stumping in four states rated on the CNN Electoral Map as toss ups, according to schedules released by his campaign and the White House. On Thursday, Obama will hold an event in the debate host city – Denver – then continue on to Madison, Wisconsin, to meet with supporters, his campaign said.

He will then return to Washington before holding events in Virginia and Ohio on Friday. His Virginia event will be in Vienna, the White House said, before an event in Cleveland. Obama’s campaign said it was rescheduling a previously announced event in Columbus, Ohio, for the following Tuesday.

His Republican challenger, Mitt Romney, has not yet announced post-debate campaign plans. Both candidates are in debate preparation mode. Romney is in Massachusetts but plans to travel to Colorado on Monday, while Obama heads to Nevada for debate prep on Sunday.

15 Comments

  1. WillBest
    Posted September 29, 2012 at 4:01 pm | Permalink | Reply

    He threw them under a bus, they spent all their money fighting for themselves, and they lost. Why would they be happy about helping him?

  2. margaret
    Posted September 29, 2012 at 4:17 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Obama campaigning in: WI, OH, VA, CO
    Romney campaigning (so I hear from another board) in: IA, WI, PA, NH, CO

    PA pops up again for Romney. Got to be seeing an opportunity there.
    Who seems to be playing offense and who is playing defense?

    Haven’t the media and Romney “insiders” told us the race is over, it’s all locked up by Obama??

    • No Tribe
      Posted September 29, 2012 at 5:29 pm | Permalink | Reply

      “PA pops up again for Romney. Got to be seeing an opportunity there.”

      Yea, more money, haha.

      Obama
      Now-Nevada
      Thursday-Colorado, Wisconsin
      Thursday night- Washington DC
      Friday- Virginia, Ohio
      Sat-
      Sun-
      Mon-
      Tue-Ohio

      That’s a brutal Thursday and Friday. Where will he be on Sat, Sun, Mon? Probably raising money and New Hampshire.

  3. jpcapra1
    Posted September 29, 2012 at 4:36 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Another interesting point is neither candidate is in Florida anytime soon. This is signifigant for Romney especially because he really can’t win without FL. I volunteer at the St. Petersburg Victory Office, and I can tell you having worked on every campaign since 2000 this is by far the most organized Republican campaign I have ever seen. The office is packed all day long with volunteers, and dozens more doing precinct walks. We will have walked EVERY precinct in this county multiple times, using microtargeting, and following up on mailed absentee ballots to ensure they get returned. And while the obama camp. is still organized, we have intel that they are not nearly as well staffed this time. Other important factors in our favor:

    1)250,000 fewer democrats registered(his margin of victory was less than that)
    2)McCain had no ground game and was ouspent here 2-1, and still only lost by 2.5%
    3)Romney has not recently outspent obama in the major markets here, which leads me to believe he is ahead because he would almost certainly be outspending him here if he was behind.

    • WillBest
      Posted September 29, 2012 at 5:19 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Thats more true this week then in previous weeks.
      Biden was in FL yesterday. But neither Obama nor Romney has been in FL since the Univision thing on the 20th and Ryan hasn’t been in FL since the 22nd.

      So either Romney is sitting pretty in FL or the election really is over. Romney really does appear to be campaigning as if Obama +4 means a tie, and incidentally Obama seems to be campaigning in that manner as well.

      I tend to agree with your assessment that the republicans have by and large seriously upped their ground game efforts, and further add that appears to be across the board and not just FL.

      • Corey
        Posted September 29, 2012 at 6:30 pm | Permalink

        I am in Central Florida and I see Obama ads 2:1 over Romney for the last month and just recently this week seen it go to 1:1 with the help of Super Pacs which some just look devastating towards Obama, alot of small businesses complaining about Obamas policies keeping them from hiring and a couple ads with women saying they voted for Obama but he just hasn’t lived up to his promises.

        If Romney/Ryan visit the state again than that could mean they are just shoring it up. I’d doubt Romney would ever concede FL even if he was 50 points back. The electoral votes are too precious to his win unless he sees another path without FL. I think it’s more Obama desperation as Obama is just blanketing the airwaves and can only run even. That’s an ominous sign for an incumbent. The last 2-3 weeks of the campaign is when Romney is going to drop the hammer with spending and that will be all she wrote.

    • No Tribe
      Posted September 29, 2012 at 5:32 pm | Permalink | Reply

      Good points jp. Florida has got to be where Obama is either this weekend (see above what I posted) or by mid next week at the latest. Obama is spending Sun, Mon, Tue in Nevada? There’s gotta be some California $ mixed in there.

      • WillBest
        Posted September 29, 2012 at 5:39 pm | Permalink

        He is doing his debate prep in Nevada and probably doing a few fundraisers and grassroot stuff on the side. I think that is a smarter play than Romney who is going to be in Boston this week (unless he plans to step out and up to NH a few times).

      • No Tribe
        Posted September 29, 2012 at 6:28 pm | Permalink

        I could see him heading up to NH a day. But, Romney focusing and doing it right is worth him missing out right now. I think the debate will be scored about even, and that the media will be nit-picking on Obama more than on Romney. Romney is really good and safe in debates. Obama without a teleprompter is a bit of a wildcard when he is surprised by a question. So the more he is distracted the better for Romney.

      • No Tribe
        Posted September 29, 2012 at 6:30 pm | Permalink

        Obama hasn’t debated in 4 years, and his main frame of reference is getting beaten by Clinton so badly at the end that he reacted by sending a FU middle finger before saying there will be no more debates, lol.

  4. No Tribe
    Posted September 29, 2012 at 6:26 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Romney bottomed out on Intrade today I will predict. At 21, what a buy. I wish I could get into that, tried but what a hassle to do. Will have to fly over there with $10K or move it from the Cayman’s account that I still haven’t set up. But man, this is an easy 50-100% trade on Romney from 21 to to to 32-42 sometime before the election.

  5. David Weed
    Posted September 29, 2012 at 7:18 pm | Permalink | Reply

    I totally agree, No Tribe. I think there’s a lot of money to be made on InTrade regarding Romney. If you wait until after the first debate, you might miss out. The race is very likely to tighten up soon. And even if it doesn’t, Romney’s InTrade price simply can’t go much lower. I would think that a 10k investment in Romney right now could likely earn you another 10k, and that’s if the Romney market rises only to 40% or so!

  6. johnfisher
    Posted September 29, 2012 at 8:18 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Agree generally on comments re Florida. There is no way on Earth that R/R can would give up on FL this early. If he takes FL, that opens up tons of electoral possibilities even with losing OH or VA. Remember a 269-269 means we get a new president.

    • shane
      Posted September 30, 2012 at 7:52 pm | Permalink | Reply

      it is weird both have ignored the state…seems that it means one side has given it up to the other. Obama could give it up if a lost cause because he has more routes to 270. I can’t imagine Romney wound ever concede because it makes it ten.times harder for him to get to 270 without out.

      Does SEEM, APPEAR, LOOK LIKE (empahasis as a big if) tht both sides are trying towrap it up with the smallers.
      Obama can lose Florida, nc and ind and still win. So Ohio, Wisconsin, etc are vital

      Romney with Florida needs to peel Ohio, Nevada, colorado, wis, etc.

      Very interesting week.ahead

  7. ed
    Posted October 1, 2012 at 12:20 am | Permalink | Reply

    my spirits are buoyed by all this sound reasoning…It makes no sense that BO would not campaign in this state if he thought he could carry it given his (I presume) diminishing resources. Ohio looks like his firewall.

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