All Tied Up In Nevada 46 to 46 — Glen Bolger, Public Opinion Strategies

Glen Bolger is a partisan pollster for Republican candidates.  His reputation for accuracy, however, is well-documented.  He was among a scant few who thought Harry Reid would win the 2010 Senate race when everyone else was writing his obituary. Here are his results showing the race tied 46 to 46 in Nevada.

And the cross tabs with Party ID of D +5 (Dem 41, Rep 36, Ind 22). In 2008 party ID was D +8 (Dem 38, Rep 30, Ind 32) and in 2004 party ID was R +4 (Dem 35, Rep 39, Ind 26).

For President Percent
Barack Obama 46
Mitt Romney 46
Other 2
Undecided 2
None of the Above * 3

*NOTE: In Nevada “None of the Above” is a real option used by many Nevada voters

7 Comments

  1. Posted September 25, 2012 at 1:03 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Looks like this poll undersamples Independent voters by about 10 points.

  2. tim
    Posted September 25, 2012 at 1:58 pm | Permalink | Reply

    Any encouragement for a concerned conservative? Looking for some solid substantial reasons/statistics to believe Romney wins in November….

    • JoeThePimpernel
      Posted September 25, 2012 at 3:41 pm | Permalink | Reply

      The independents will fall 2:1 for Romney.

      • tim
        Posted September 25, 2012 at 4:14 pm | Permalink

        Appreciate the optimism!

  3. sunflower
    Posted September 25, 2012 at 2:37 pm | Permalink | Reply

    actually, according to the poll, it’s obama 47 (39 + 8 leaners =47) romney 46 (41 + 5 leaners = 46)
    that’s what i read on the graph. or did i miss something?

    • Posted September 25, 2012 at 2:49 pm | Permalink | Reply

      My guess is Bolger has the #s with tenths of a % and the 39 or 8 are really something like 38.7 and 7.6 which equals 46.3 whereas the rounded #s are 39 + 8 which equals 47.

  4. jeff
    Posted September 25, 2012 at 6:40 pm | Permalink | Reply

    I think the obama people know their losing nev col fl and nc and just want romney to spend money and time there.

One Trackback

  1. […] we have the explanation.  Respected Republican pollster Glen Bolger ran a poll for a pro-Romney PAC, the American Future Fund, and the results show President Obama […]

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