Obama +3 in Ohio — Caddell Associates (SecureAmericaNow.org)

Pat Caddell and Jeri Thompson (Sen. Fred Thompson’s wife for those who don’t know) ran a couple independent polls for an organization called SecureAmericaNow showing Romney up in Florida and Obama up in Ohio. Party ID in Ohio was D+3, Democrat 40.6, Republican 38.0, Independent 17.3. In 2008 it was D +6 and in 2005 it was R +5 so Ohio remains volatile and this sampling appears reasonable.

SecureAmericaNow.org has just completed two surveys the influential states of Florida and Ohio. The poll of 600 likely general election voters in Florida was conducted on September 11 and 12, 2012. The Ohio survey of 600 likely general election voters was conducted between September 13 and 15, 2012. All interviews were conducted via telephone by professional interviewers. Interview selection was random within predetermined election units. These units are structured to correlate with actual voter turnout during a presidential election. Each poll of 600 likely general election voters has an accuracy of +/-4.0% at a 95% confidence interval.

For President Percent
Barack Obama 46.9
Mitt Romney 44.0
Undecided 9.0

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