Romney Ground Game to Keep Pennsylvania in Play?

The ad dollars don’t lie and for now Team Romney is not aggressively playing for Pennsylvania in the all important TV ad game.  But the Super Saturdays continue apace and the numbers are staggering in their out-performance of McCain 2008. The one state that risks getting out of hand among Battlegrounds is Pennsylvania but the ground work tells a very different story:

Republican Mitt Romney and allied organizations are off the airwaves in Pennsylvania’s television markets for now, raising questions about how much the challenger is willing to contend for its 20 electoral votes. And yet Romney and his allies with the Republican National Committee are reaching out to voters in Pennsylvania (and other swing states) with a ground game that is far more intensive than the party was able to muster in support of John McCain four years ago.

So far, Romney volunteers have made nearly two million voter contacts by phone call and door-to-door canvassing, said Kate Meriwether, state spokeswoman for the Romney campaign. She said that 250,000 of those contacts had been door knocks. That was nine times more phone calls and 64 times more door visits than the John McCain campaign had managed in Pennsylvania within two weeks of election day 2008, Meriwether said. Last Saturday, which was the monthly “Super Saturday” for the Romney GOTV effort, volunteers knocked on about 50,000 doors and made more than 130,000 phone calls.

On Wednesday, the state’s top Republicans, Gov. Corbett and Sen. Pat Toomey, said that they believe Pennsylvania is competitive despite what the polls have said. “My sense is that the polls reported on in the press diverged completely from the polls I had internally,” Toomey said in a conference call with reporters. “I am just skeptical of the polling data I have seen.” Corbett said that private GOP polls, which he did not detail, “ lead me to believe that this race is much closer” than the 7.7 percentage point advantage Obama enjoyed in the average of all public Pennsylvania polls compiled by the Real Clear Politics website.

The governor also suggested that voters are inured to 30-second spots. “Television ads have been on in this race for over a year now – a lot of people see (an) ad and turn it right off,” Corbett said. “If we keep our head down and keep hitting these numbers, it’s going to be a real shock to Team Obama in late October,” Meriwether said.


  1. t m walsh
    Posted September 18, 2012 at 9:34 am | Permalink | Reply

    Do they know Teh Won has promised to remove coal as an energy source? Someone ought to remind them, and the UMW…

  2. David Weed
    Posted September 28, 2012 at 8:11 am | Permalink | Reply

    There’s no doubt that Mitt Romney has a better organized ground game than McCain did in 2008. But does the Romney/Ryan campaign have a better organization in the Keystone State than President Obama? No.

    When Romney ceded PA to Obama, he did it for good reason. Is there one instance in recent history where a true underdog has pulled OUT of a state (in ad dollars and visits) and ended up winning that state? Obviously, there aren’t a lot of examples, with Presidential elections only being held every four years. But to suggest that both the Romney and Obama campaigns have LESS data than you is far-fetched. Wishing for something doesn’t make it so.

    Before Romney can switch over to trying to take Pennsylvania, he’d need to SOLIDLY take leads in North Carolina, Virginia, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Colorado, and most importantly Ohio. Every number available supports this case, regardless of any spin by this site or the governor or senator from PA.

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