Am I Going to Have to Blog Connecticut?

The second poll in a week shows Mitt Romney with a single-digit deficit in Connecticut — a state Barack Obama won by 23 points in 2008:

President Barack Obama holds a narrow 52 – 45 percent lead over Gov. Mitt Romney, his Republican challenger, among Connecticut likely voters. Twelve percent of Obama voters and 12 percent of Romney backers say they might change their mind. The gender gap is yawning with women backing Obama 59 – 38 percent while men back Romney 53 – 45 percent. Independent voters are divided with 49 percent for Romney and 47 percent for Obama. Obama leads among all income groups except for a 49 – 49 percent split among voters making more than $100,000 per year. Voters in all age groups back the president.

Obama gets a 51 – 46 percent favorability while Romney has a negative 41 – 44 percent. Vice President Joseph Biden gets a negative 38 – 43 percent favorability, compared to a negative 30 – 33 percent for U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan. Another 37 percent don’t know enough about Romney’s running mate to form an opinion. Connecticut voters say 43 – 35 percent that Biden is qualified to be president, compared to 29 – 26 percent, with 44 percent undecided, for Ryan.

The economy will be “extremely important” to their presidential vote, 58 percent of voters say, higher than any other issue. Medicare will be “extremely important,” 41 percent say. Romney would do a better job on the economy, Connecticut voters say 49 – 44 percent. Obama would be better on Medicare, voters say 51 – 41 percent.

“Although President Barack Obama is ahead of Gov. Mitt Romney, his 7-point lead is a far cry from his 23-point victory in 2008 over John McCain. We shouldn’t, however, expect to see the candidates campaigning in Connecticut, which hasn’t voted for a Republican since 1988,” Dr. Schwartz said. From August 22 – 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,472 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.

The party ID in the poll was fair at D +11.  In 2008 the party ID in Connecticut was D +16 and in 2004 it was D +7.

One Trackback

  1. By Connecticut???… Again? « Battleground Watch on October 9, 2012 at 2:13 pm

    […] in late August 2 polls came out with a poll in Connecticut showing Barack Obama with single-digit leads over Mitt Romney.  Now Rasmussen has released another poll in the Nutmeg State showing Obama with […]

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