Ohio Dead Heat 45 to 45 — Columbus Dispatch

Ranking even with Virginia, Ohio holds the key to this year’s election and polls have been stubbornly in Obama’s favor.  The latest survey from The Columbus Dispatch, however,  shows the race for Ohio’s 18 electoral votes perfectly tied. Interestingly the Senate race in the state is also hotly with Josh Mandel also tied with Sherrod Brown.  This type of competitiveness should help Romney with Mandel gamely championing the Republican causes while Romney stumps nationwide:

The closest Dispatch Poll in modern history shows the races for president and U.S. Senate in a dead heat in battleground Ohio. For the record, Republican Mitt Romney holds a “lead” of 0.22 percentage point over President Barack Obama. That’s a mere 2 votes out of more than 1,730 cast for president in the mail poll. By comparison, Sen. Sherrod Brown has a landslide going over GOP state Treasurer Josh Mandel with a margin of 0.87 point. That’s a whopping 15-ballot bulge. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 2.1 percentage points, so the takeaway is that the presidential matchup is tied at 45 percent and the Senate struggle at 44 percent among likely voters.

As the intense and expensive presidential campaign rounds the corner through two weeks of political conventions and heads for the fall home stretch, the candidates must try to win over the 10 percent of Ohio voters who remain undecided. Many are in groups already being carried easily by Romney: Protestants, nonunion households, residents of southeastern Ohio. Others, however, are in the demographics where Obama is prevailing, such as low-income households. And nearly half the undecided voters said they voted for Obama in 2008. In the Senate race, 12 percent of voters haven’t yet made up their minds.

The survey bears out the observation of many party leaders and political consultants: Central Ohio is the heart of this presidential war zone this year. The Columbus media market, won narrowly by Obama four years ago, is just as deadlocked as the statewide poll. Signs of voter unhappiness are sprinkled throughout the poll. Sixty-two percent say the country is on the wrong track. A total of 55 percent — including 1 out of 7 Obama supporters — say the president’s performance since taking office has been worse than they hoped.

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  1. […] (Dem 39, Rep 31, Ind 30) and in 2004 it was R +5 (Dem 35, Rep 40, Ind 25). This poll contrasts the 45-45 tie by the Columbus Dispatch in August when party ID was split evenly between the […]

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