Obama +6 in Nevada — We Ask America

Super Late Update: I should have beaten up on this poll a lot. Romney leads with Independents in this poll by a whopping 12 points but is down 6 overall?  There is a zero % chance that is possible.

Another strong showing for the President in Nevada from We Ask America who smartly included Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson who should have some impact in the Mountain West states:

Nevada was chosen as our first poll to include a third-party candidate for President: Libertarian Gary Johnson. With many predicting a presidential race that will end in a photo finish, third-party candidates may certainly play an important role in deciding the eventual winner by siphoning off enough votes to count. We’ll include his name on state polls where he is documented to have qualified to be on the ballot. (He hasn’t been blessed for Wisconsin yet.) Hint to those who want to talk pollsters into including their candidate: the Johnson backers who contacted us were extraordinarily civil and reasoned in their request to include the Libertarian. That type of approach doesn’t work every time, but you have a much better chance of success if you keep the snark in check.

Nevada is a swing state in every sense of the term. In 2010–a good GOP year most places–Democrats won most statewide offices, but Republicans captured the Governor and Lt. Gov’s offices. While the GOP picked up some state House and Senate seats, they are still in the minority in the state legislature. The Silver State has gone through some very hard economic times over the past few years with higher-than-average unemployment rates and a housing market that rolled craps. Bad times must produce discontent for the incumbent among the electorate, right? Not so much:

For President Percent
Barack Obama 49
Mitt Romney 43
Gary Johnson 2
Undecided 6

Poll type: Automated Date: July 17-18, 2012 – Participants: 1,092 Likely Voters – Margin of Error: ± 2.95%

One Trackback

  1. […] out of Illinois has been aggressive this cycle with fair polls early on but skewing more and more over-sampling Democrats in July before I stopped hearing from them. This one unfortunately ranks with the growing […]

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