Poor Jobs Report Creates Opportunity for Romney With African-Americans

No, Romney will not win this demographic nor will any Republican any time soon.  But what a Republican can do is erode the overwhelming support Democrats receive and specifically the astounding 95% support President Obama achieved in 2008.  The Romney campaign is already capitalizing on the disproportionate unemployment impact on Hispanics and the RNC has a web video emphasizing the unemployment impact on various groups like African-Americans while Obama and his elitists worry about his job:

Now we see that Friday’s jobs report disproportionately impacted African-Americans as well:

Last Friday’s unemployment news crashed the stock market and upended the presidential race…Nationally, unemployment in May rose from 8.1 percent to 8.2. This is bad, especially considering how much time has passed since our economic troubles began…Lost in [all] the…news that African-American unemployment, already significantly above general levels, rose by much more. As The Root reports, for African-Americans, however, the news was much, much worse. Unemployment among Blacks rose from 13.0 percent to 13.6 percent. This is serious news for a population that is already under great economic strain, but it is in line with some trends we’ve been following here.

This creates an undeniable opportunity should the Romney campaign choose to capitalize:

The decline of the blue social model is a challenge to the survival and dignity of the Black middle class. Heavily invested in government employment and well represented in organizations like the Postal Service, African Americans are vulnerable to changes in the structure of government and the cutbacks now rippling through traditionally stable employers like the USPS.

We are already seeing reduced support for Obama within the African-American community:

Obama is winning the African-American vote by gargantuan proportions: 90 percent to 5 percent in the first half of the survey and 88 percent to 6 percent in the second, not far off his 2008 showing (95 percent to 4 percent).

The opportunity is there for Romney but it won’t be easy. George Bush made concerted campaign efforts to court African-Americans despite the often hostile reception from activists within the African-American community.  This yielded 11% of the their vote nationally in 2004 (and 16% in Ohio), far better than McCain’s dismal 4% in 2008. Those Bush totals in 2004 and Obama’s incredibly 95% in 2008 swung all-important states like Ohio for each candidate.  With that state being ground zero for this year’s election, it would behoove the Romney campaign to get on this.

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